Pith. sign in

REVIEW 3 cited by

Universal Log-Optimality for General Classes of e-processes and Sequential Hypothesis Tests

Not yet reviewed by Pith; the record is open.

This paper has not been read by Pith yet. Machine review is queued; the pith claim, tier, and objections will appear here once it completes.

SPECIMEN: schema-true, not a live event

T0 review · schema-true

One-sentence machine reading of the paper's core claim.

pith:XXXXXXXX · record.json · timestamp

arxiv 2504.02818 v1 pith:QVCAZ3RP submitted 2025-04-03 math.ST stat.MEstat.TH

classification math.STstat.MEstat.TH
keywords testinggeneralnotionsequentialaforementionedboundedcasescomposite
verification ladder T0 review T1 audit T2 compute T3 formal
0 comments
abstract

We consider the problem of sequential hypothesis testing by betting. For a general class of composite testing problems -- which include bounded mean testing, equal mean testing for bounded random tuples, and some key ingredients of two-sample and independence testing as special cases -- we show that any $e$-process satisfying a certain sublinear regret bound is adaptively, asymptotically, and almost surely log-optimal for a composite alternative. This is a strong notion of optimality that has not previously been established for the aforementioned problems and we provide explicit test supermartingales and $e$-processes satisfying this notion in the more general case. Furthermore, we derive matching lower and upper bounds on the expected rejection time for the resulting sequential tests in all of these cases. The proofs of these results make weak, algorithm-agnostic moment assumptions and rely on a general-purpose proof technique involving the aforementioned regret and a family of numeraire portfolios. Finally, we discuss how all of these theorems hold in a distribution-uniform sense, a notion of log-optimality that is stronger still and seems to be new to the literature.

Discussion (0). Continue with ORCID to comment.

Forward citations

Cited by 3 Pith papers

Reviewed papers in the Pith corpus that reference this work. Sorted by Pith novelty score. Full citation record

  1. Confidence Horizons

    stat.ME 2026-08 conditional novelty 8.0 of 10

    A new family of 'asymptotic confidence horizons' provides large-sample anytime-valid coverage on bounded time windows, with closed-form boundary quantiles and connections to group sequential methods.

  2. Dice, but don't slice: Optimizing the efficiency of ONEAudit

    stat.ME 2025-07 conditional novelty 6.0 of 10

    New betting strategies for ONEAudit reduce expected audit workloads by 70-85% in simulations and about half in the 2024 San Francisco mayoral race, while stratification hurts.

  3. Global Sequential Testing for Multi-Stream Auditing

    stat.ML 2026-02 conditional novelty 5.0 of 10

    A balanced sequential test for the global null across k streams achieves O(ln(k/alpha)) expected stopping time in sparse alternatives and O((1/k)ln(1/alpha)) in dense alternatives, matching the best of Bonferroni and ...

Pith tools