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Epistemic Neural Networks
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Intelligence relies on an agent's knowledge of what it does not know. This capability can be assessed based on the quality of joint predictions of labels across multiple inputs. In principle, ensemble-based approaches produce effective joint predictions, but the computational costs of training large ensembles can become prohibitive. We introduce the epinet: an architecture that can supplement any conventional neural network, including large pretrained models, and can be trained with modest incremental computation to estimate uncertainty. With an epinet, conventional neural networks outperform very large ensembles, consisting of hundreds or more particles, with orders of magnitude less computation. The epinet does not fit the traditional framework of Bayesian neural networks. To accommodate development of approaches beyond BNNs, such as the epinet, we introduce the epistemic neural network (ENN) as an interface for models that produce joint predictions.
Forward citations
Cited by 5 Pith papers
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A Mutual Information Lower Bound for Multimodal Regression Active Learning
Derives MI-LB acquisition function from mutual information in a two-index epistemic-aleatoric framework and shows it outperforms baselines on multimodal regression benchmarks.
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Benchmarking and Improving Monitors for Out-Of-Distribution Alignment Failure in LLMs
MOOD benchmark shows guard models fail to generalize to OOD alignment failures in LLMs, but combining them with Mahalanobis and perplexity OOD detectors improves recall from 39% to 45% with better scaling than larger ...
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Benchmarking and Improving Monitors for Out-Of-Distribution Alignment Failure in LLMs
Introduces MOOD benchmark for OOD LLM alignment failures and shows guard models plus Mahalanobis and perplexity OOD detectors improve recall from 39% to 45% with positive scaling.
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Structurally Separated Uncertainty in Supervised Latent Variable Models
A credal concept-bottleneck model that supervises aleatoric uncertainty with annotator disagreement and epistemic uncertainty with prediction error yields near-zero correlation between the two uncertainty estimates.
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Composite Bayesian Optimization In Function Spaces Using NEON -- Neural Epistemic Operator Networks
NEON provides uncertainty-aware operator learning for composite Bayesian optimization in function spaces using a single network, achieving claimed SOTA with orders of magnitude fewer parameters than ensembles.
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