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REVIEW 3 major objections 7 minor 97 references

Towards Uncertainty Aware Task Delegation and Human-AI Collaborative Decision-Making

T0 review · 3 major / 7 minor · reviewed 2026-08-07 · deepseek-v4-flash

Pith's one-line read Showing clinicians where a case sits relative to class centers in embedding space, rather than giving them a bare probability, improves how they use AI predictions for stroke rehabilitation assessment.

desk verdict The paper's headline claim about distance-based confidence scores is confounded by bundled interactive explanations; the UQ comparison and system building are solid, but the user-study result needs heavy revision. read the letter →

arxiv 2505.18066 v1 pith:U6CUIVVX submitted 2025-05-23 cs.HC cs.AIcs.LG

classification cs.HCcs.AIcs.LG
keywords human-AIcollaborationuncertaintyquantificationconfidencescorestaskdelegationexplainableAIstrokerehabilitationclinicaldecisionsupportappropriatereliance
verification ladder T0 review T1 audit T2 compute T3 formal

The pith

A machine-rendered reading of the paper's core claim, the machinery that carries it, and where it could break.

The reading

The paper claims that how AI confidence is shown to a human decision-maker changes how well the person uses the AI: distance-based scores, computed by measuring how far a case sits from each class's center in the model's learned embedding space and then visualized alongside similar cases, improved decision accuracy relative to numerical probability scores in a stroke rehabilitation assessment task. In a user study with 29 health professionals and medical/health students (27 retained for analysis), participants using the distance-based interface arrived at 74.34% correct decisions versus 66.14% for those seeing numerical scores, switched wrong decisions into correct ones 7.15% more often, and made 7.14% fewer switches into error (p<0.01). The same distance measure, tested alone, flagged AI's uncertain cases more reliably than probability-based methods, reaching a 93.63% average F1-score in a technical evaluation. The paper positions this as a path toward helping non-expert users understand when to lean on AI rather than trusting or dismissing it wholesale.

What carries the argument

The central object is the distance-based confidence score: for a $K$-class model, the system computes the distance $d$ between the input's representation and the centroid of each class in the model's processed layers, normalizes it by the maximum observed distance ($\hat{d} = 1 - d/d_{\max}$), and applies a softmax to obtain confidence values $e^{\hat{d}} / \sum_{j=0}^{K} e^{\hat{d}_j}$. Around this score the paper builds an interface with two interactive features: a threshold-exploration step where users adjust a confidence cutoff and see AI performance on delegated cases from a held-out dataset, and an embedding visualization that shows the case as a point among its $k$-nearest neighbors and class centroids (using t-SNE and Euclidean distance), with hover and click access to neighbor images, AI performance, and therapist agreement. The distance score does the work of flagging which cases the model is unsure about, while the visualization and examples are what the paper argues make that uncertainty legible and actionable to users without machine-learning backgrounds.

What would settle it

Run a 2x2 user study that crosses the two interface elements independently, numerical scores with and without interactive example explanations and distance-based scores with and without them, and check whether the roughly 8% accuracy advantage of the distance condition survives when explanations are held constant; if it does not, the headline attribution to distance-based confidence scores fails. On the technical side, an independent evaluation on out-of-distribution data where distance-based scores do not rank errors above maximum class probability would also refute the claim.

Watch

Extended reading notes

Core claim

The paper's core claim is that replacing a bare numerical confidence value with a distance-based score shown as an embedding visualization, accompanied by interactive example-based explanations, produces more accurate and better-calibrated human reliance on AI than the same decision-support system without those features. Two results carry this claim: a technical comparison in which a feed-forward neural network using distance-to-centroid uncertainty achieved a 93.63% average F1-score at identifying cases whose AI prediction should be replaced by an expert label, versus 82.86% for maximum class probability (the strongest probability-based alternative), and a 2x2 user study in which the distance-based condition raised correct decisions from 66.14% to 74.34%, raised the rate at which participants changed wrong decisions into right ones, and lowered the rate of changes into wrong answers.

Load-bearing premise

The paper assumes the user-study comparison isolates the effect of distance-based confidence scores, but the experimental condition adds interactive example-based explanations on top of the distance visualization, so the measured gains could come from the explanations or the extra effort they demand rather than from the distance measure itself.

Editorial extensions

If this is right

  • In clinical decision support, distance-to-centroid confidence could serve as the screening criterion for which cases need human review, since it separated uncertain from certain cases more cleanly than probability outputs in the paper's evaluation.
  • Allowing users to set and inspect a delegation threshold before reviewing AI outputs reduced overreliance on wrong AI outputs (by 3.58% with numerical scores and 1.85% with distance-based scores), suggesting that threshold exploration acts as a cognitive forcing function.
  • The distance-based condition converted a small performance decline under numerical scores (from 67% to 66%) into a complementary gain (from 71% to 74%), indicating that human and AI errors overlapped less when uncertainty was visualized.
  • Both expert therapists and novices improved their correct-decision rate (7.94% and 8.33% respectively), so the benefit did not depend on prior domain expertise.

Reading between the lines

Editorial extensions of the paper, not claims the author makes directly.

  • The experimental condition bundles the distance-based visualization together with interactive example-based explanations, so the paper's attribution of the 8.20% gain to distance-based confidence scores is not isolated; a 2x2 ablation crossing the two features independently would be needed to separate their contributions.
  • If the improvement comes largely from the extra analytical engagement the interactive display forces, then simpler interventions that slow users down, such as requiring a written justification before agreeing with AI, might reproduce part of the effect without any embedding visualization.
  • The distance score's advantage on data from healthy participants, inputs the model was not trained to classify, points toward out-of-distribution flagging as its most natural use case; testing the same interface in other domains where models meet unfamiliar inputs would clarify how far the result generalizes.
  • Preference responses hint at a practical tension: several participants found numerical scores faster and easier to read, so real-world adoption may require offering both presentations rather than replacing one with the other.
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Editorial analysis

A structured set of objections, weighed in public.

Desk editor's note, referee report, and a circularity audit.

Referee Report

3 major / 7 minor

Summary. The paper presents an AI-based decision support system for physical stroke rehabilitation assessment and investigates two interactive features: (1) exploration of confidence-score thresholds for task delegation to AI, and (2) distance-based visualizations of confidence scores with interactive example-based explanations, compared against a numerical confidence-score baseline. The authors first evaluate several uncertainty quantification methods offline, finding that a feed-forward NN distance-based method best identifies uncertain cases. They then report a 2x2 mixed-design user study with 29 recruited participants (27 analyzed) including therapists and novices. The headline results are that, compared to numerical confidence scores, the distance-based condition yields an 8.20% higher rate of correct decisions, a 7.15% higher rate of changing decisions to correct ones, and a 7.14% lower rate of incorrect changes, with p<0.01 claimed in the abstract.

Significance. If the central claim were supported, the paper would make a useful contribution to human-AI collaborative decision-making by showing how uncertainty visualization can improve appropriate reliance, particularly for non-technical users in a clinical context. The offline comparison of multiple uncertainty quantification techniques on a real clinical dataset is a strength, as is the inclusion of both domain experts and novices in the user study. However, the main causal attribution is currently undermined by a confound in the experimental design, so the significance is contingent on the authors resolving that confound and correcting the statistical overstatements.

major comments (3)
  1. [§3.3.1, Abstract] The two experimental conditions do not isolate distance-based confidence scores. The 'Distance-based Confidence Scores' condition includes all baseline features plus the distance-based visualization and interactive example-based explanations, while the 'Numerical Confidence Scores' condition includes neither. Consequently, the observed improvements (8.20% higher correct decisions, 7.15% higher ChangedRight, 7.14% lower ChangedWrong in some subgroups) could be driven entirely by the interactive example-based explanations (showing neighbor images, therapist agreement, and embedding context) rather than by the distance-based uncertainty score itself. This confound directly affects the headline claim in the abstract and the framing in the title. Section 5.3 does not acknowledge this issue. The authors should either add an experimental condition that presents numerical scores with the same interactive explanations, or reanalyze the data to separate the effect of the confidence-score representation from the effect of the additional interactive explanation content, and revise the claims accordingly.
  2. [Abstract vs. Table 8, §4.3] The abstract reports p<0.01 for all three improvements, but the data in Table 8 do not support this. The overall ChangedRight comparison has p=0.03, and the overall ChangedWrong comparison has p=0.24; only the Exp subgroup shows a significant reduction in ChangedWrong (p=0.0006). The 7.14% lower incorrect-changes figure is not an overall result but a subgroup result. The abstract and Section 5.2 should be corrected to report the exact p-values and to attribute the significance to the appropriate subgroups rather than claiming uniform p<0.01 for all three overall comparisons.
  3. [§5.1, Table 7] The text states that Exp participants had a 3.58% lower overreliance rate (agreeing with wrong AI outputs) with numerical confidence scores and a 1.85% lower rate with distance-based confidence scores, but no p-values are given. Table 7 shows that the overall 'Agree with Wrong AI outputs' comparison has p=0.27 and all subgroup p-values are greater than 0.05. These claims should be reported as non-significant trends with the corresponding p-values, or the analysis should be clarified if a different test or subgroup was used.
minor comments (7)
  1. [§5.2] The text refers to 'Table 4.3' which does not exist; the intended reference is likely Table 2.
  2. [§3.2.3] The formula for distance-based confidence scores uses 'e^{d_j}' in the softmax, but the normalized quantity is defined as ʄd = 1 − d/dmax; the notation should be made consistent (e.g., e^{ʄd_j}) and the summation index should be clearly defined (e.g., over the K classes).
  3. [§4.2.1] The text references 'Appendix. Figure 3' for the complementary performance gain, but the main text earlier refers to 'Figure 3'; please make the cross-referencing consistent.
  4. [§3.3.3] The procedure for determining the default threshold of 40% for the NoExp group is described only as a 'grid-search over confidence thresholds ranging from 0 to 1'; it is unclear whether this was based on the offline evaluation, pilot data, or a separate criterion, and this should be clarified.
  5. [Table 6] Several rows for student participants (e.g., NV06, NV07, NV08, NV09, NV10, NV11, NV12, NV13, NV14, NV18, NV19) have missing entries for 'Setting' or '# of yrs'; consider using 'N/A' or a dash for clarity.
  6. [§4.1.1] The term 'NonExp' is used in this section while the rest of the paper uses 'NoExp'; please unify the terminology.
  7. [§4.5] The post-study questionnaire preference results (11 vs. 7 vs. 9) are reported without any statistical test; at a minimum, state whether the distribution differs from chance or report this as a descriptive trend.

Circularity Check

0 steps flagged · score 0.0 of 10

No significant circularity: the central result is an empirical user-study comparison, not a derivation that reduces to its own inputs.

full rationale

This paper's headline claim is an empirical finding from a 2x2 mixed-design user study, measuring participants' decision correctness and decision changes after interacting with two interface conditions. The outcome metrics are behavioral measurements, not quantities derived from the uncertainty-score formula, so the result does not reduce to the inputs by construction. The distance-based confidence score is a fixed transformation of distances to class centroids with a maximum-distance normalization and softmax; the normalization is computed from the model's embedding data and is not fitted to the user-study labels or to participants' decisions, so this is not a fitted-input-called-prediction case. The Section 3.2.3 comparison of uncertainty quantification techniques uses a standard threshold-replacement evaluation with therapist ground truth; selecting the best-performing UQ method on held-out data and then using it in a subsequent user study is a normal model-selection pipeline, not circularity. The paper includes several self-citations (e.g., [50], [51], [52]) for domain context, dataset construction, and design preferences, but none is load-bearing for the central user-study result, and none is invoked as a uniqueness theorem or as the sole justification for the claimed improvement. The abstract's attribution of the improvement specifically to distance-based uncertainty scores is weakened by the experimental confound that the 'Distance-based Confidence Scores' condition also adds interactive example-based explanations; however, a confound is an internal-validity limitation rather than a circular reduction, and the instructions restrict circularity findings to cases where a specific derivation or fit is equivalent to its own inputs. No such equivalence is present here, so the appropriate finding is no significant circularity.

Assumptions & free parameters 6 free parameters · 5 assumptions · 0 invented entities

The central claims rest on model hyperparameters tuned by grid search, a data-dependent distance normalization, and domain assumptions about therapist labels and confidence-correctness correlation. No new theoretical entities are introduced.

free parameters (6)
  • ROM model architecture and learning rate = 3x256 hidden units, lr 0.005
    Selected by grid-search with LOSO CV; supplies AI outputs for ROM decisions.
  • Compensation model architecture and learning rate = 3 layers (32/64), lr 0.0005
    Selected by grid-search; supplies AI outputs for Compensation decisions.
  • MCDropout rate = 0.3
    Selected from 0.1 to 0.5 for the Bayesian UQ baseline.
  • NoExp default delegation threshold = 40%
    Empirically determined by grid-search over confidence thresholds in Section 3.3.3.
  • t-SNE dimensionality reduction and k-NN metric = t-SNE, Euclidean, k=5-30
    Chosen from Appendix Table 5; controls the interactive embedding visualization.
  • Distance normalization scale and softmax = 1 - d/d_max, softmax temp 1
    Uses the maximum observed distance as a data-dependent calibration statistic for distance-based confidence.
assumptions (5)
  • domain assumption Therapist annotations from a clinically validated assessment tool are correct ground truth.
    Used to define right/wrong decisions and to evaluate UQ; Section 3.2.1 and Section 3.3.4.
  • domain assumption Correct AI predictions tend to have higher confidence scores than incorrect ones.
    Stated explicitly in Section 3.2.3: 'we assume that successful, right AI predictions tend to be associated with high confidence scores...' This underpins the threshold-based task delegation.
  • standard math Leave-one-subject-out cross-validation gives unbiased estimates of model and UQ performance.
    Used for all model evaluations in Section 3.2.2 and Appendix A.2.
  • domain assumption The held-out dataset shown during threshold exploration is representative of real AI performance.
    Exp participants learn from this held-out performance when setting delegation thresholds; Section 3.2, Figure 1a.
  • domain assumption Within-subject counterbalancing of the two conditions removes carryover effects.
    Assumed by the mixed-design analysis; Section 3.3.3.

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Cite this review

Pith. "Pith review of Towards Uncertainty Aware Task Delegation and Human-AI Collaborative Decision-Making." pith.science (2026). https://pith.science/paper/U6CUIVVX

@misc{pith2026250518066,
  author       = {Pith},
  title        = {Pith review of: Towards Uncertainty Aware Task Delegation and Human-AI Collaborative Decision-Making},
  year         = {2026},
  howpublished = {\url{https://pith.science/paper/U6CUIVVX}},
  note         = {Machine review of arXiv:2505.18066}
}
abstract

Despite the growing promise of artificial intelligence (AI) in supporting decision-making across domains, fostering appropriate human reliance on AI remains a critical challenge. In this paper, we investigate the utility of exploring distance-based uncertainty scores for task delegation to AI and describe how these scores can be visualized through embedding representations for human-AI decision-making. After developing an AI-based system for physical stroke rehabilitation assessment, we conducted a study with 19 health professionals and 10 students in medicine/health to understand the effect of exploring distance-based uncertainty scores on users' reliance on AI. Our findings showed that distance-based uncertainty scores outperformed traditional probability-based uncertainty scores in identifying uncertain cases. In addition, after exploring confidence scores for task delegation and reviewing embedding-based visualizations of distance-based uncertainty scores, participants achieved an 8.20% higher rate of correct decisions, a 7.15% higher rate of changing their decisions to correct ones, and a 7.14% lower rate of incorrect changes after reviewing AI outputs than those reviewing probability-based uncertainty scores ($p<0.01$). Our findings highlight the potential of distance-based uncertainty scores to enhance decision accuracy and appropriate reliance on AI while discussing ongoing challenges for human-AI collaborative decision-making.

Figures

Figures reproduced from arXiv: 2505.18066 by the authors.

Figure 1
Figure 1. (a) Users can explore different thresholds of confidence scores, review AI performance on delegated cases from a [PITH_FULL_IMAGE:figures/full_fig_p002_1.png] view at source ↗
Figure 2
Figure 2. Interface for AI-assisted decision-making. For each case, the system shows the video of a patient along with an [PITH_FULL_IMAGE:figures/full_fig_p002_2.png] view at source ↗
Figure 3
Figure 3. Performance of AI-assisted decision-making on [PITH_FULL_IMAGE:figures/full_fig_p015_3.png] view at source ↗

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Pith tools

Reviewed August 7, 2026 · model on record in the stance chip above.