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A Unified Neural Network Approach for Estimating Travel Time and Distance for a Taxi Trip
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In building intelligent transportation systems such as taxi or rideshare services, accurate prediction of travel time and distance is crucial for customer experience and resource management. Using the NYC taxi dataset, which contains taxi trips data collected from GPS-enabled taxis [23], this paper investigates the use of deep neural networks to jointly predict taxi trip time and distance. We propose a model, called ST-NN (Spatio-Temporal Neural Network), which first predicts the travel distance between an origin and a destination GPS coordinate, then combines this prediction with the time of day to predict the travel time. The beauty of ST-NN is that it uses only the raw trips data without requiring further feature engineering and provides a joint estimate of travel time and distance. We compare the performance of ST-NN to that of state-of-the-art travel time estimation methods, and we observe that the proposed approach generalizes better than state-of-the-art methods. We show that ST-NN approach significantly reduces the mean absolute error for both predicted travel time and distance, about 17% for travel time prediction. We also observe that the proposed approach is more robust to outliers present in the dataset by testing the performance of ST-NN on the datasets with and without outliers.
Forward citations
Cited by 3 Pith papers
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RLER-TTE: An Efficient and Effective Framework for En Route Travel Time Estimation with Reinforcement Learning
RLER-TTE adds a reinforcement-learning decision maker that decides when to recompute en-route travel time estimates, reducing model calls while improving accuracy on three taxi datasets.
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SPTTE: A Spatiotemporal Probabilistic Framework for Travel Time Estimation
SPTTE models time-varying travel time distributions with a GRU-based Gaussian parameterization and prior-based graph smoothing, reporting modest gains over ProbETA.
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TAS-TsC: A Data-Driven Framework for Estimating Time of Arrival Using Temporal-Attribute-Spatial Tri-space Coordination of Truck Trajectories
TAS-TsC, a tri-space framework of temporal, attribute, and spatial features, improves truck ETA accuracy on Shenzhen GPS trajectories compared to existing methods.
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