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arxiv 2010.11652 v1 pith:VVLV4ENB submitted 2020-10-22 cs.LG stat.ML

CoinDICE: Off-Policy Confidence Interval Estimation

classification cs.LG stat.ML
keywords confidenceintervalcoindicefunctiongeneralizedintervalsoff-policyaccess
verification ladder T0 review T1 audit T2 compute T3 formal T4 reserved
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We study high-confidence behavior-agnostic off-policy evaluation in reinforcement learning, where the goal is to estimate a confidence interval on a target policy's value, given only access to a static experience dataset collected by unknown behavior policies. Starting from a function space embedding of the linear program formulation of the $Q$-function, we obtain an optimization problem with generalized estimating equation constraints. By applying the generalized empirical likelihood method to the resulting Lagrangian, we propose CoinDICE, a novel and efficient algorithm for computing confidence intervals. Theoretically, we prove the obtained confidence intervals are valid, in both asymptotic and finite-sample regimes. Empirically, we show in a variety of benchmarks that the confidence interval estimates are tighter and more accurate than existing methods.

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