Pith Number

pith:C7XFUXW2

pith:2024:C7XFUXW26STJBLVJPUQN46U3ZT

not attested not anchored not stored refs pending

Reasoning and Tools for Human-Level Forecasting

Elvis Hsieh, Jonathan Chen, Preston Fu

arxiv:2408.12036 v2 · 2024-08-21 · cs.LG · cs.AI · cs.CL · cs.IR

Open paper page JSON Open Graph Bundle Merged state Verified badge What is a Pith Number?

Add to your LaTeX paper

\usepackage{pith}
\pithnumber{C7XFUXW26STJBLVJPUQN46U3ZT}

Prints a linked badge after your title and injects PDF metadata. Compiles on arXiv. Learn more · Embed verified badge

Record completeness

1 Bitcoin timestamp

2 Internet Archive

3 Author claim open · sign in to claim

4 Citations open

5 Replications open

✓ Portable graph bundle live · download bundle · merged state

The bundle contains the canonical record plus signed events. A mirror can host it anywhere and recompute the same current state with the deterministic merge algorithm.

Cited by

1 paper in Pith

Agentic Forecasting using Sequential Bayesian Updating of Linguistic Beliefs

Receipt and verification

First computed	2026-07-05T09:29:32.632423Z
Builder	pith-number-builder-2026-05-17-v1
Signature	Pith Ed25519 (`pith-v1-2026-05`) · public key
Schema	pith-number/v1.0

Canonical hash

17ee5a5edaf4a690aea97d20de7a9bccecde27a2bd8ace7e10587b4d782dab56

Aliases

arxiv: 2408.12036 · arxiv_version: 2408.12036v2 · doi: 10.48550/arxiv.2408.12036 · pith_short_12: C7XFUXW26STJ · pith_short_16: C7XFUXW26STJBLVJ · pith_short_8: C7XFUXW2

Agent API

Resolver JSON Graph JSON Events JSON Schema Signing key

Verify this Pith Number yourself

curl -sH 'Accept: application/ld+json' https://pith.science/pith/C7XFUXW26STJBLVJPUQN46U3ZT \
  | jq -c '.canonical_record' \
  | python3 -c "import sys,json,hashlib; b=json.dumps(json.loads(sys.stdin.read()), sort_keys=True, separators=(',',':'), ensure_ascii=False).encode(); print(hashlib.sha256(b).hexdigest())"
# expect: 17ee5a5edaf4a690aea97d20de7a9bccecde27a2bd8ace7e10587b4d782dab56

Canonical record JSON

{
  "metadata": {
    "abstract_canon_sha256": "b9305e56849fc80ada964419ec4891732956e21a2ce5e876975c81619328a0aa",
    "cross_cats_sorted": [
      "cs.AI",
      "cs.CL",
      "cs.IR"
    ],
    "license": "http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
    "primary_cat": "cs.LG",
    "submitted_at": "2024-08-21T23:42:06Z",
    "title_canon_sha256": "e87cb33c507522091ea87d8cca9e215d0671079c2aa18395b8eca83eb18889e6"
  },
  "schema_version": "1.0",
  "source": {
    "id": "2408.12036",
    "kind": "arxiv",
    "version": 2
  }
}