LightGBM models on citation and diversity features predict exogenous diffusion of quantum computing concepts with R² up to 0.78 while endogenous reinforcement remains largely unpredictable after growth controls, with replications in other fields.
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A two-stage LightGBM model on 59 features from concept networks forecasts link formation and intensity with ROC-AUC 0.95-0.967 across domains.
MIRAI predicts 5-year PageRank and citation impact from paper title/abstract/date with Spearman's ρ 0.47/0.62, and generates ideas judged 4:3 more impactful by LLM.
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MIRAI: Prediction and Generation of High-Impact Academic Research
MIRAI predicts 5-year PageRank and citation impact from paper title/abstract/date with Spearman's ρ 0.47/0.62, and generates ideas judged 4:3 more impactful by LLM.