LightGBM models on citation and diversity features predict exogenous diffusion of quantum computing concepts with R² up to 0.78 while endogenous reinforcement remains largely unpredictable after growth controls, with replications in other fields.
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3 Pith papers cite this work. Polarity classification is still indexing.
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A two-stage LightGBM model on 59 features from concept networks forecasts link formation and intensity with ROC-AUC 0.95-0.967 across domains.
SciPaths benchmark with 262 expert gold pathways and 2444 silver pathways evaluates LLMs on recovering enabling contributions and prior-work groundings for ML/NLP discoveries, with best model at 0.189 F1.
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SciPaths: Forecasting Pathways to Scientific Discovery
SciPaths benchmark with 262 expert gold pathways and 2444 silver pathways evaluates LLMs on recovering enabling contributions and prior-work groundings for ML/NLP discoveries, with best model at 0.189 F1.