FGLP: A Federated Fine-Grained Location Prediction System for Mobile Users

Fine-grained location prediction on smart phones can be used to improve app/system performance. Application scenarios include video quality adaptation as a function of the 5G network quality at predicted user locations, and augmented reality apps that speed up content rendering based on predicted user locations. Such use cases require prediction error in the same range as the GPS error, and no existing works on location prediction can achieve this level of accuracy. We present a system for fine-grained location prediction (FGLP) of mobile users, based on GPS traces collected on the phones. FGLP has two components: a federated learning framework and a prediction model. The framework runs on the phones of the users and also on a server that coordinates learning from all users in the system. FGLP represents the user location data as relative points in an abstract 2D space, which enables learning across different physical spaces. The model merges Bidirectional Long Short-Term Memory (BiLSTM) and Convolutional Neural Networks (CNN), where BiLSTM learns the speed and direction of the mobile users, and CNN learns information such as user movement preferences. FGLP uses federated learning to protect user privacy and reduce bandwidth consumption. Our experimental results, using a dataset with over 600,000 users, demonstrate that FGLP outperforms baseline models in terms of prediction accuracy. We also demonstrate that FGLP works well in conjunction with transfer learning, which enables model reusability. Finally, benchmark results on several types of Android phones demonstrate FGLP's feasibility in real life.