REVIEW 2 cited by
Not yet reviewed by Pith; the record is open.
This paper has not been read by Pith yet. Machine review is queued; the pith claim, tier, and objections will appear here once it completes.
SPECIMEN: schema-true, not a live event
T0 review · schema-true
One-sentence machine reading of the paper's core claim.
pith:XXXXXXXX · record.json · timestamp
Near-optimal inference in adaptive linear regression
read the original abstract
When data is collected in an adaptive manner, even simple methods like ordinary least squares can exhibit non-normal asymptotic behavior. As an undesirable consequence, hypothesis tests and confidence intervals based on asymptotic normality can lead to erroneous results. We propose a family of online debiasing estimators to correct these distributional anomalies in least squares estimation. Our proposed methods take advantage of the covariance structure present in the dataset and provide sharper estimates in directions for which more information has accrued. We establish an asymptotic normality property for our proposed online debiasing estimators under mild conditions on the data collection process and provide asymptotically exact confidence intervals. We additionally prove a minimax lower bound for the adaptive linear regression problem, thereby providing a baseline by which to compare estimators. There are various conditions under which our proposed estimators achieve the minimax lower bound. We demonstrate the usefulness of our theory via applications to multi-armed bandit, autoregressive time series estimation, and active learning with exploration.
Forward citations
Cited by 2 Pith papers
-
Bandit Simulation for Average Reward Inference
BSI fits an environment simulator from bandit data and propagates parameter uncertainty to produce asymptotically valid confidence intervals for mean reward under arbitrary evaluation policies, including black-box ada...
-
Statistical Inference for Misspecified Contextual Bandits
Develops IPW-Z estimation framework for misspecified contextual bandits, establishing consistency and asymptotic normality under scaled inverse-propensity convergence for marginal moment targets.
discussion (0)
Sign in with ORCID, Apple, or X to comment. Anyone can read and Pith papers without signing in.