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Adaptive Bayesian Learning with Action and State-Dependent Signal Variance

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arxiv 2311.12878 v2 pith:GBNZSH4T submitted 2023-11-20 stat.ME cs.LGecon.EMmath.STstat.TH

Adaptive Bayesian Learning with Action and State-Dependent Signal Variance

classification stat.ME cs.LGecon.EMmath.STstat.TH
keywords bayesianlearningmodelsstate-dependentactioncomplexdecision-makingeconomic
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This manuscript presents an advanced framework for Bayesian learning by incorporating action and state-dependent signal variances into decision-making models. This framework is pivotal in understanding complex data-feedback loops and decision-making processes in various economic systems. Through a series of examples, we demonstrate the versatility of this approach in different contexts, ranging from simple Bayesian updating in stable environments to complex models involving social learning and state-dependent uncertainties. The paper uniquely contributes to the understanding of the nuanced interplay between data, actions, outcomes, and the inherent uncertainty in economic models.

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