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arxiv 2501.17233 v2 pith:UWRV7XY5 submitted 2025-01-28 astro-ph.HE astro-ph.IMgr-qc

Reconstructing parametric gravitational-wave population fits from non-parametric results without refitting the data

classification astro-ph.HE astro-ph.IMgr-qc
keywords datapopulationgravitational-wavemodelmodelsmultiplenon-parametricanalyses
verification ladder T0 review T1 audit T2 compute T3 formal T4 reserved
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Combining multiple events into population analyses is a cornerstone of gravitational-wave astronomy. A critical component of such studies is the assumed population model, which can range from astrophysically motivated functional forms to non-parametric treatments that are flexible but difficult to interpret. In practice, the current approach is to fit the data multiple times with different population models to identify robust features. We propose an alternative strategy: assuming the data have already been fit with a flexible model, we present a practical recipe to reconstruct the population distribution of a different model. As our procedure postprocesses existing results, it avoids the need to access the underlying gravitational-wave data again and handle selection effects. Additionally, our reconstruction metric provides a goodness-of-fit measure to compare multiple models. We apply this method to the mass distribution of black-hole binaries detected by LIGO/Virgo/KAGRA. Our work paves the way for streamlined gravitational-wave population analyses by fitting the data once and for all with advanced non-parametric methods and careful handling of selection effects, while the astrophysical interpretation is then made accessible using our reconstruction procedure on targeted models. The key principle is that of conceptually separating data description from data interpretation.

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Cited by 2 Pith papers

Reviewed papers in the Pith corpus that reference this work. Sorted by Pith novelty score.

  1. Comparing astrophysical models to gravitational-wave data in the observable space

    gr-qc 2025-07 unverdicted novelty 7.0

    Demonstrates direct comparison of observable compact-binary populations from GW data to astrophysical models, with unbiased inference shown possible and applied to O3 data.

  2. Inferring the population properties of galactic binaries from LISA's stochastic foreground

    astro-ph.HE 2026-02 unverdicted novelty 6.0

    A neural posterior estimator trained on simulated LISA foreground spectra recovers galactic binary population parameters, including total number, with good accuracy in validation tests.