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Quantifying Classification Uncertainty using Regularized Evidential Neural Networks

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arxiv 1910.06864 v1 pith:F5N7IQY7 submitted 2019-10-15 cs.LG cs.AIcs.CV

classification cs.LGcs.AIcs.CV
keywords uncertaintyneuralclassclassificationdatadifferentevidenceprobabilities
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Traditional deep neural nets (NNs) have shown the state-of-the-art performance in the task of classification in various applications. However, NNs have not considered any types of uncertainty associated with the class probabilities to minimize risk due to misclassification under uncertainty in real life. Unlike Bayesian neural nets indirectly infering uncertainty through weight uncertainties, evidential neural networks (ENNs) have been recently proposed to support explicit modeling of the uncertainty of class probabilities. It treats predictions of an NN as subjective opinions and learns the function by collecting the evidence leading to these opinions by a deterministic NN from data. However, an ENN is trained as a black box without explicitly considering different types of inherent data uncertainty, such as vacuity (uncertainty due to a lack of evidence) or dissonance (uncertainty due to conflicting evidence). This paper presents a new approach, called a {\em regularized ENN}, that learns an ENN based on regularizations related to different characteristics of inherent data uncertainty. Via the experiments with both synthetic and real-world datasets, we demonstrate that the proposed regularized ENN can better learn of an ENN modeling different types of uncertainty in the class probabilities for classification tasks.

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  1. Density-Informed Pseudo-Counts for Calibrated Evidential Deep Learning

    stat.ML 2026-02 conditional novelty 5.0 of 10

    DIP-EDL sets Dirichlet pseudo-counts to the product of marginal input density and learned class probabilities, concentrating on the true label distribution while sending OOD inputs to the prior.

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