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A combined analysis of the $H_0$ late time direct measurements and the impact on the Dark Energy sector
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abstract
We combine 23 Hubble constant measurements based on Cepheids-SN Ia, TRGB-SN Ia, Miras-SN Ia, Masers, Tully Fisher, Surface Brightness Fluctuations, SN II, Time-delay Lensing, Standard Sirens and $\gamma$-ray Attenuation, obtaining our best {\it optimistic} $H_0$ estimate, that is $H_0=72.94\pm0.75$ km/s/Mpc at 68\% CL. This is in $5.9\sigma$ tension with the $\Lambda$CDM model, therefore we evaluate its impact on the extended Dark Energy cosmological models that can alleviate the tension. We find more than $4.9\sigma$ evidence for a phantom Dark Energy equation of state in the $w$CDM scenario, the cosmological constant ruled out at more than $3\sigma$ in a $w_0w_a$CDM model and more than $5.7\sigma$ evidence for a coupling between Dark Matter and Dark Energy in the IDE scenario. Finally, we check the robustness of our results, and we quote two additional combinations of the Hubble constant. The {\it ultra-conservative} estimate, $H_0=72.7\pm 1.1$ km/s/Mpc at 68\% CL, is obtained removing the Cepheids-SN Ia and the Time-Delay Lensing based measurements, and confirms the evidence for new physics.
Forward citations
Cited by 3 Pith papers
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Robust Preference for Dark Sector Interactions
Interacting dark matter–dark energy models fit DESI BAO and CMB data as well as evolving-dark-energy (CPL) models, with a coupling preference that persists under DES-Dovekie supernova recalibration.
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Sign Switching in Dark Sector Coupling Interactions as a Candidate for Resolving Cosmological Tensions
A sign-switching dark-sector coupling, fitted to CMB, DESI BAO, and supernova data, can simultaneously raise H0 and lower S8, but the preference over LambdaCDM depends on using SH0ES-calibrated supernovae.
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Solving an Interacting Quintessence Model with a Sound Horizon Initial Condition and its Observational Constraints
An interacting quintessence model with initial conditions set by the CMB sound horizon angle increases H0 with coupling strength, but observational constraints show it does not resolve the H0 or S8 tensions.
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