Pith. sign in

REVIEW 4 cited by

Not yet reviewed by Pith; the record is open.

This paper has not been read by Pith yet. Machine review is queued; the pith claim, tier, and objections will appear here once it completes.

SPECIMEN: schema-true, not a live event

T0 review · schema-true

One-sentence machine reading of the paper's core claim.

pith:XXXXXXXX · record.json · timestamp

arxiv 2207.01607 v2 pith:EWZRVT66 submitted 2022-07-04 astro-ph.HE gr-qc

Exploring realistic nanohertz gravitational-wave backgrounds

classification astro-ph.HE gr-qc
keywords binariesbackgroundbrightestindividualrealisticsignalstochastictiming
verification ladder T0 review T1 audit T2 compute T3 formal T4 reserved
0 comments
read the original abstract

Hundreds of millions of supermassive black hole binaries are expected to contribute to the gravitational-wave signal in the nanohertz frequency band. Their signal is often approximated either as an isotropic Gaussian stochastic background with a power-law spectrum, or as an individual source corresponding to the brightest binary. In reality, the signal is best described as a combination of a stochastic background and a few of the brightest binaries modeled individually. We present a method that uses this approach to efficiently create realistic pulsar timing array datasets using synthetic catalogs of binaries based on the Illustris cosmological hydrodynamic simulation. We explore three different properties of such realistic backgrounds which could help distinguish them from those formed in the early universe: i) their characteristic strain spectrum; ii) their statistical isotropy; and iii) the variance of their spatial correlations. We also investigate how the presence of confusion noise from a stochastic background affects detection prospects of individual binaries. We calculate signal-to-noise ratios of the brightest binaries in different realizations for a simulated pulsar timing array based on the NANOGrav 12.5-year dataset extended to a time span of 15 years. We find that $\sim$6% of the realizations produce systems with signal-to-noise ratios larger than 5, suggesting that individual systems might soon be detected (the fraction increases to $\sim$41% at 20 years). These can be taken as a pessimistic prediction for the upcoming NANOGrav 15-year dataset, since it does not include the effect of potentially improved timing solutions and newly added pulsars.

discussion (0)

Sign in with ORCID, Apple, or X to comment. Anyone can read and Pith papers without signing in.

Forward citations

Cited by 4 Pith papers

Reviewed papers in the Pith corpus that reference this work. Sorted by Pith novelty score.

  1. Population statistics of nanohertz gravitational wave sources

    astro-ph.HE 2026-07 conditional novelty 6.0

    A hierarchical Bayesian inference framework combining free-spectrum reconstruction with population-level likelihoods distinguishes finite SMBHB populations from Gaussian primordial GWB using mock PTA data.

  2. Searching for a waveform-agnostic gravitational wave signal in pulsar timing arrays

    gr-qc 2026-05 unverdicted novelty 6.0

    Presents a new Fourier-expansion Bayesian hierarchical model with Lorentzian hyperprior for waveform-agnostic searches of nanohertz gravitational wave sources in pulsar timing array data.

  3. Expectations for the first supermassive black-hole binary resolved by PTAs II: Milestones for binary characterization

    astro-ph.IM 2025-10 unverdicted novelty 5.0

    Simulations of continuous-wave searches show that PTA data first constrain GW frequency and strain amplitude together, then sky location, with chirp mass and inclination following later for evolving sources, with prec...

  4. Expectations for the first supermassive black-hole binary resolved by PTAs I: Model efficacy

    astro-ph.IM 2025-10 unverdicted novelty 5.0

    Simulations of PTA data show that a full gravitational-wave signal template achieves the highest Bayes factors and most robust parameter estimation for individual supermassive black hole binaries compared to an Earth-...