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Catoni-style Confidence Sequences under Infinite Variance

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arxiv 2208.03185 v1 pith:JXTXHATB submitted 2022-08-05 math.ST cs.LGstat.MLstat.TH

classification math.STcs.LGstat.MLstat.TH
keywords confidencesequencesvariancecatoni-styleresultscasefinitehaving
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abstract

In this paper, we provide an extension of confidence sequences for settings where the variance of the data-generating distribution does not exist or is infinite. Confidence sequences furnish confidence intervals that are valid at arbitrary data-dependent stopping times, naturally having a wide range of applications. We first establish a lower bound for the width of the Catoni-style confidence sequences for the finite variance case to highlight the looseness of the existing results. Next, we derive tight Catoni-style confidence sequences for data distributions having a relaxed bounded~$p^{th}-$moment, where~$p \in (1,2]$, and strengthen the results for the finite variance case of~$p =2$. The derived results are shown to better than confidence sequences obtained using Dubins-Savage inequality.

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Reviewed papers in the Pith corpus that reference this work. Sorted by Pith novelty score. Full citation record

  1. Catoni-Style Change Point Detection for Regret Minimization in Non-Stationary Heavy-Tailed Bandits

    cs.LG 2025-05 reject novelty 5.0 of 10

    For heavy-tailed piecewise-stationary bandits, this paper presents a Catoni-style change-point detector and a UCB-style algorithm whose regret matches a claimed lower bound up to logarithmic factors.

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