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International Agreements on AI Safety: Review and Recommendations for a Conditional AI Safety Treaty

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arxiv 2503.18956 v1 pith:KRLKDAJN submitted 2025-03-18 cs.CY cs.AI

International Agreements on AI Safety: Review and Recommendations for a Conditional AI Safety Treaty

classification cs.CY cs.AI
keywords internationalsafetyreviewriskstreatyagreementsconsensusdevelopment
verification ladder T0 review T1 audit T2 compute T3 formal T4 reserved
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The malicious use or malfunction of advanced general-purpose AI (GPAI) poses risks that, according to leading experts, could lead to the 'marginalisation or extinction of humanity.' To address these risks, there are an increasing number of proposals for international agreements on AI safety. In this paper, we review recent (2023-) proposals, identifying areas of consensus and disagreement, and drawing on related literature to assess their feasibility. We focus our discussion on risk thresholds, regulations, types of international agreement and five related processes: building scientific consensus, standardisation, auditing, verification and incentivisation. Based on this review, we propose a treaty establishing a compute threshold above which development requires rigorous oversight. This treaty would mandate complementary audits of models, information security and governance practices, overseen by an international network of AI Safety Institutes (AISIs) with authority to pause development if risks are unacceptable. Our approach combines immediately implementable measures with a flexible structure that can adapt to ongoing research.

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Cited by 2 Pith papers

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  1. How to Catch a GPU: A Taxonomy of Verification and Enforcement Mechanisms for International AI Agreements

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  2. Hardware-Level Governance of AI Compute: A Feasibility Taxonomy for Regulatory Compliance and Treaty Verification

    cs.CR 2026-04 unverdicted novelty 5.0

    Proposes a feasibility taxonomy of 20 hardware-level AI compute governance mechanisms organized by monitoring, verification, and enforcement, with mappings to regulatory scenarios that highlight immaturity of treaty-v...