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Computational Complexity of Statistics: New Insights from Low-Degree Polynomials

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arxiv 2506.10748 v1 pith:H3HJWE3E submitted 2025-06-12 math.ST cs.CCstat.MLstat.TH

Computational Complexity of Statistics: New Insights from Low-Degree Polynomials

classification math.ST cs.CCstat.MLstat.TH
keywords low-degreecomputationalpolynomialsproblemsboundscomplexityframeworklower
verification ladder T0 review T1 audit T2 compute T3 formal T4 reserved
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This is a survey on the use of low-degree polynomials to predict and explain the apparent statistical-computational tradeoffs in a variety of average-case computational problems. In a nutshell, this framework measures the complexity of a statistical task by the minimum degree that a polynomial function must have in order to solve it. The main goals of this survey are to (1) describe the types of problems where the low-degree framework can be applied, encompassing questions of detection (hypothesis testing), recovery (estimation), and more; (2) discuss some philosophical questions surrounding the interpretation of low-degree lower bounds, and notably the extent to which they should be treated as evidence for inherent computational hardness; (3) explore the known connections between low-degree polynomials and other related approaches such as the sum-of-squares hierarchy and statistical query model; and (4) give an overview of the mathematical tools used to prove low-degree lower bounds. A list of open problems is also included.

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Cited by 11 Pith papers

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