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Paper Citation Record · LEDGER

Skillful joint probabilistic weather forecasting from marginals

As of 23 August 2026, this Paper Citation Record lists 26 of 26 outbound references and 27 inbound Pith citation observations for arXiv:2506.10772.

A citation records a reference. It does not transfer a finding from one paper to another.

pith.paper-citation-record.v1
2506.10772 v1

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measured 26 of 26 reference resolution

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Pith citing papers itemized under the disclosed page cap.

Source: paper_references, paper_reference_links, observed 2026-08-07T14:48:58.325218Z

measured 1 of 1 external citation measurements

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Source: arxiv_reference, observed 2026-08-05T02:28:24.338817Z

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26 of 26 outbound references displayed

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Outbound references

Observation 3d39ec6c-a96a-4fd4-9ec9-50b42bf43f87 · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

Skillful joint probabilistic weather forecasting from marginals Unresolved cited work

Reference 7

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Observation 115ad061-eb54-4c95-a818-01c267cdd7a9 · outbound

This paper cites Forecasting Global Weather with Graph Neural Networks.

Skillful joint probabilistic weather forecasting from marginals Forecasting Global Weather with Graph Neural Networks

Reference 12

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Observation 98e5964a-1067-436d-a417-0c2ceb17b581 · outbound

This paper cites FourCastNet: Accelerating Global High-Resolution Weather Forecasting using Adaptive Fourier Neural Operators.

Skillful joint probabilistic weather forecasting from marginals FourCastNet: Accelerating Global High-Resolution Weather Forecasting using Adaptive Fourier Neural Operators

Reference 14

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This paper cites AIFS-CRPS: Ensemble forecasting using a model trained with a loss function based on the Continuous Ranked Probability Score.

Skillful joint probabilistic weather forecasting from marginals AIFS-CRPS: Ensemble forecasting using a model trained with a loss function based on the Continuous Ranked Probability Score

Reference 16

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Observation ca54161c-b841-40c9-9d31-716373500f29 · outbound

This paper cites GenCast: Diffusion-based ensemble forecasting for medium-range weather.

Skillful joint probabilistic weather forecasting from marginals GenCast: Diffusion-based ensemble forecasting for medium-range weather

Reference 17

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This paper cites WeatherBench 2: A benchmark for the next generation of data-driven global weather models.

Skillful joint probabilistic weather forecasting from marginals WeatherBench 2: A benchmark for the next generation of data-driven global weather models

Reference 18

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Skillful joint probabilistic weather forecasting from marginals Unresolved cited work

Reference 19

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Observation 3ca60fc6-2d36-4bcb-8403-c863357ee0a2 · outbound

This paper cites Tent: Fully Test-time Adaptation by Entropy Minimization.

Skillful joint probabilistic weather forecasting from marginals Tent: Fully Test-time Adaptation by Entropy Minimization

Reference 20

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This paper cites pre-training.

Skillful joint probabilistic weather forecasting from marginals pre-training

Reference 22

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This paper cites pressure level.

Skillful joint probabilistic weather forecasting from marginals pressure level

Reference 23

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This paper cites (2025), and confirming that GenCast is indeed the appropriate state-of-the-art baseline in the operational setting.

Skillful joint probabilistic weather forecasting from marginals (2025), and confirming that GenCast is indeed the appropriate state-of-the-art baseline in the operational setting

Reference 25

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Skillful joint probabilistic weather forecasting from marginals Unresolved cited work

Reference 26

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Skillful joint probabilistic weather forecasting from marginals Unresolved cited work

Reference 512

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Observation 3ebb48d9-4189-42b9-b526-3d54621ee795 · outbound

This paper cites Neural General Circulation Models for Weather and Climate.

Skillful joint probabilistic weather forecasting from marginals Neural General Circulation Models for Weather and Climate

Reference 2010

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This paper cites FengWu-GHR: Learning the Kilometer-scale Medium-range Global Weather Forecasting.

Skillful joint probabilistic weather forecasting from marginals FengWu-GHR: Learning the Kilometer-scale Medium-range Global Weather Forecasting

Reference 2012

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Observation 3a0eaa98-384a-4d3c-aa53-1b2929cf5809 · outbound

This paper cites Noisy Networks for Exploration.

Skillful joint probabilistic weather forecasting from marginals Noisy Networks for Exploration

Reference 2014

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Skillful joint probabilistic weather forecasting from marginals Unresolved cited work

Reference 2016

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Observation c974fd4f-a1d1-44f6-bd7a-234a5e30ccb3 · outbound

This paper cites GraphCast: Learning skillful medium-range global weather forecasting.

Skillful joint probabilistic weather forecasting from marginals GraphCast: Learning skillful medium-range global weather forecasting

Reference 2017

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Observation a61b78ca-eda5-4f2b-9f74-786e158f5a2d · outbound

This paper cites FuXi-ENS: A machine learning model for medium-range ensemble weather forecasting.

Skillful joint probabilistic weather forecasting from marginals FuXi-ENS: A machine learning model for medium-range ensemble weather forecasting

Reference 2018

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This paper cites URLhttps://www.ecmwf.int/node/19309.

Skillful joint probabilistic weather forecasting from marginals URLhttps://www.ecmwf.int/node/19309

Reference 2019

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This paper cites Haiden, M.

Skillful joint probabilistic weather forecasting from marginals Haiden, M

Reference 2020

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This paper cites ArchesWeather & ArchesWeatherGen: a deterministic and generative model for efficient ML weather forecasting.

Skillful joint probabilistic weather forecasting from marginals ArchesWeather & ArchesWeatherGen: a deterministic and generative model for efficient ML weather forecasting

Reference 2021

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This paper cites Pangu-Weather: A 3D High-Resolution Model for Fast and Accurate Global Weather Forecast.

Skillful joint probabilistic weather forecasting from marginals Pangu-Weather: A 3D High-Resolution Model for Fast and Accurate Global Weather Forecast

Reference 2022

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This paper cites Deep pNML: Predictive Normalized Maximum Likelihood for Deep Neural Networks.

Skillful joint probabilistic weather forecasting from marginals Deep pNML: Predictive Normalized Maximum Likelihood for Deep Neural Networks

Reference 2023

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Skillful joint probabilistic weather forecasting from marginals Hersbach, B

Reference 2024

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This paper cites doi: 10.1038/s41586-025-09005-y.

Skillful joint probabilistic weather forecasting from marginals doi: 10.1038/s41586-025-09005-y

Reference 2025

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Pith citing papers

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Inferring processes within dynamic forest models using hybrid modeling cites this paper.

Inferring processes within dynamic forest models using hybrid modeling Skillful joint probabilistic weather forecasting from marginals

Reference 14

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Point-wise Diffusion Models for Physical Systems with Shape Variations: Application to Spatio-temporal and Large-scale system cites this paper.

Point-wise Diffusion Models for Physical Systems with Shape Variations: Application to Spatio-temporal and Large-scale system Skillful joint probabilistic weather forecasting from marginals

Reference 17

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MoWE : A Mixture of Weather Experts cites this paper.

MoWE : A Mixture of Weather Experts Skillful joint probabilistic weather forecasting from marginals

Reference 21

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EnScale: Temporally-consistent multivariate generative downscaling via proper scoring rules cites this paper.

EnScale: Temporally-consistent multivariate generative downscaling via proper scoring rules Skillful joint probabilistic weather forecasting from marginals

Reference 2

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CRPS-LAM: Probabilistic Regional Weather Forecasting with Continuous Ranked Probability Score cites this paper.

CRPS-LAM: Probabilistic Regional Weather Forecasting with Continuous Ranked Probability Score Skillful joint probabilistic weather forecasting from marginals

Reference 2

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Uncertainty Quantification for Regression: A Unified Framework based on kernel scores cites this paper.

Uncertainty Quantification for Regression: A Unified Framework based on kernel scores Skillful joint probabilistic weather forecasting from marginals

Reference 2

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AI-boosted rare event sampling to characterize extreme weather cites this paper.

AI-boosted rare event sampling to characterize extreme weather Skillful joint probabilistic weather forecasting from marginals

Reference 45

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U-Cast: A Surprisingly Simple and Efficient Frontier Probabilistic AI Weather Forecaster cites this paper.

U-Cast: A Surprisingly Simple and Efficient Frontier Probabilistic AI Weather Forecaster Skillful joint probabilistic weather forecasting from marginals

Reference 2

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Explanation of Dynamic Physical Field Predictions using WassersteinGrad: Application to Autoregressive Weather Forecasting cites this paper.

Explanation of Dynamic Physical Field Predictions using WassersteinGrad: Application to Autoregressive Weather Forecasting Skillful joint probabilistic weather forecasting from marginals

Reference 3

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Earth System Foundation Model (ESFM): A unified framework for heterogeneous data integration and forecasting cites this paper.

Earth System Foundation Model (ESFM): A unified framework for heterogeneous data integration and forecasting Skillful joint probabilistic weather forecasting from marginals

Reference 1

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Extreme Weather Bench: A framework and benchmark for evaluation of high-impact weather cites this paper.

Extreme Weather Bench: A framework and benchmark for evaluation of high-impact weather Skillful joint probabilistic weather forecasting from marginals

Reference 3

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arxiv_id, observed 2026-05-09T19:20:11.208429Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-23T06:30:58.430688+00:00.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-05-09T19:19:56.376479Z digest=sha256:45c5f69410b24d8727549162088ea7ae024c46f540385f37c1aab02701c8a520

Observation f52eac9b-6a80-4bdb-a10c-e8fb34d72448 · inbound

Cast3: Translating numerical weather prediction principles into data-driven forecasting cites this paper.

Cast3: Translating numerical weather prediction principles into data-driven forecasting Skillful joint probabilistic weather forecasting from marginals

Reference 17

Resolution
verified exact
arxiv_id, observed 2026-05-08T19:34:04.596385Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-23T06:30:58.430688+00:00.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-05-08T19:30:45.851820Z digest=sha256:e4e1a840ac63c5144895c26cdde9201380fc0a8a3739fb485bf33de882de5d00

Observation 72bdbb9e-1f04-4448-b12f-b20cbfb8f997 · inbound

Tyche: One Step Flow for Efficient Probabilistic Weather Forecasting cites this paper.

Tyche: One Step Flow for Efficient Probabilistic Weather Forecasting Skillful joint probabilistic weather forecasting from marginals

Reference 1

Resolution
metadata mismatch
arxiv_id, observed 2026-05-11T04:50:55.526054Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-23T06:30:58.430688+00:00.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-05-11T01:03:10.009202Z digest=sha256:da73d4c1c39875e1f153b84c3158086b56bd821fa25aa8ede234ed9d7e363eac

Observation 8decf13c-89db-4e7f-954c-5677cab785ef · inbound

Njord: A Probabilistic Graph Neural Network for Ensemble Ocean Forecasting cites this paper.

Njord: A Probabilistic Graph Neural Network for Ensemble Ocean Forecasting Skillful joint probabilistic weather forecasting from marginals

Reference 22

Resolution
metadata mismatch
arxiv_id, observed 2026-05-19T14:47:36.381721Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-23T06:30:58.430688+00:00.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-05-19T14:44:38.892457Z digest=sha256:cc2f66fc243b21fec089844ee9da387d796482496c4ee82cdbaba1329cf274a7

Observation 818bf1cc-18af-4a30-a534-9153a8623b2d · inbound

Njord: A Probabilistic Graph Neural Network for Ensemble Ocean Forecasting cites this paper.

Njord: A Probabilistic Graph Neural Network for Ensemble Ocean Forecasting Skillful joint probabilistic weather forecasting from marginals

Reference 22

Resolution
metadata mismatch
arxiv_id, observed 2026-06-30T20:55:04.209643Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-23T06:30:58.430688+00:00.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-06-30T20:50:34.277577Z digest=sha256:f77f80a0bd170c8eb372e1c960f4fc9e11033a29bb20d766649056cde0a9dc68

Observation 10140e38-cf57-4cf2-893f-1bcc8ba836ac · inbound

Uncertainty-aware Machine Learning Interatomic Potentials via Learned Functional Perturbations cites this paper.

Uncertainty-aware Machine Learning Interatomic Potentials via Learned Functional Perturbations Skillful joint probabilistic weather forecasting from marginals

Reference 12

Resolution
verified exact
arxiv_id, observed 2026-05-20T04:28:05.779970Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-23T06:30:58.430688+00:00.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-05-20T04:25:59.481607Z digest=sha256:4901ab41b3966f22dd4f4105224b1de219cf04f8b460104d447d5ced9281ff6d

Observation 299dac66-9542-4ef6-a539-ddd8eba07a7d · inbound

Uncertainty-aware Machine Learning Interatomic Potentials via Learned Functional Perturbations cites this paper.

Uncertainty-aware Machine Learning Interatomic Potentials via Learned Functional Perturbations Skillful joint probabilistic weather forecasting from marginals

Reference 1

Resolution
metadata mismatch
arxiv_id, observed 2026-06-30T17:34:57.929884Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-23T06:30:58.430688+00:00.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-06-30T17:28:05.641890Z digest=sha256:edda42eb06483ece57f94fbddaedc3100eb90b2896b28b2e7f0fabc9dab7d24a

Observation 3ac478fa-1273-4061-b757-508c60008363 · inbound

The physics of AI weather models cites this paper.

The physics of AI weather models Skillful joint probabilistic weather forecasting from marginals

Reference 1

Resolution
verified exact
arxiv_id, observed 2026-05-25T02:25:14.470271Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-23T06:30:58.430688+00:00.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-05-25T02:20:39.109304Z digest=sha256:f92ead4716dab83ef2542fbbb3ae5ed2ea7dc97352546b41d423a9216b5b23e1

Observation 158cd56e-97af-43ef-b9ed-ef94a33e385e · inbound

Towards a Foundation Model for the Martian Atmosphere cites this paper.

Towards a Foundation Model for the Martian Atmosphere Skillful joint probabilistic weather forecasting from marginals

Reference 108

Resolution
metadata mismatch
arxiv_id, observed 2026-06-30T19:05:00.772932Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-23T06:30:58.430688+00:00.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-06-30T19:01:31.373340Z digest=sha256:21763a1e62eab77ab96f46ecd34aa1629abf99678367411561839b26d054bfeb

Observation 942706f5-6730-42ce-aab6-720b8d3728ef · inbound

Reliability of Probabilistic Emulation of Physical Systems cites this paper.

Reliability of Probabilistic Emulation of Physical Systems Skillful joint probabilistic weather forecasting from marginals

Reference 1

Resolution
metadata mismatch
arxiv_id, observed 2026-07-03T13:38:19.252166Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-23T06:30:58.430688+00:00.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-06-27T07:44:47.619651Z digest=sha256:3a59841524ec0ab607bc63a54df79588bfa3c5ba1683bc156086f4bebcf57c5e

Observation 68e4a814-d835-441d-bf2b-9a8ab00fbaa8 · inbound

Rigorous uncertainty quantification of probabilistic AI weather forecasts with conformal prediction cites this paper.

Rigorous uncertainty quantification of probabilistic AI weather forecasts with conformal prediction Skillful joint probabilistic weather forecasting from marginals

Reference 36

Resolution
verified exact
arxiv_id, observed 2026-07-04T03:09:30.320625Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-23T06:30:58.430688+00:00.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-06-26T18:21:41.472210Z digest=sha256:58f37e981ef986bedd83df793c1da6fcb6633a43469ae07509230b9aade1ee93

Observation 78424a7c-417e-47bc-b2d5-c8c98d9c34b8 · inbound

Rigorous uncertainty quantification of probabilistic AI weather forecasts with conformal prediction cites this paper.

Rigorous uncertainty quantification of probabilistic AI weather forecasts with conformal prediction Skillful joint probabilistic weather forecasting from marginals

Reference 108

Resolution
metadata mismatch
arxiv_id, observed 2026-06-26T18:29:41.639688Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-23T06:30:58.430688+00:00.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-06-26T18:21:41.472210Z digest=sha256:a7d10492546a623d38574cc9188d517c425e4ecdfd82da003a52b582bd67d529

Observation 0b504a72-4cda-427d-be7e-7237b919ead5 · inbound

Towards Fair Comparisons of AI- and Physics-Based Weather Models for Extreme Events via the Weighted Potential CRPS cites this paper.

Towards Fair Comparisons of AI- and Physics-Based Weather Models for Extreme Events via the Weighted Potential CRPS Skillful joint probabilistic weather forecasting from marginals

Reference 52

Resolution
verified exact
arxiv_id, observed 2026-07-04T07:39:39.411322Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-23T06:30:58.430688+00:00.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-06-26T13:01:57.843950Z digest=sha256:6553bb22f7c898ff42988c42fe73f20ec76e44480daae79e6119f7ddf8122e78

Observation fe03b334-465c-4699-8300-f7cfebc0b9e9 · inbound

Evaluation of medium range machine learning models for sub-seasonal prediction cites this paper.

Evaluation of medium range machine learning models for sub-seasonal prediction Skillful joint probabilistic weather forecasting from marginals

Reference 1

Resolution
verified exact
arxiv_id, observed 2026-07-04T20:20:07.908262Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-23T06:30:58.430688+00:00.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-06-25T20:12:46.696053Z digest=sha256:7a33514bca88e2237bd4a18933c2db7b86980e7395933301e67d5b142e525207

Observation a6ee5d73-8901-4a67-b731-209de3af08fd · inbound

Otter Weather: Skillful and Computationally Efficient Medium-Range Weather Forecasting cites this paper.

Otter Weather: Skillful and Computationally Efficient Medium-Range Weather Forecasting Skillful joint probabilistic weather forecasting from marginals

Reference 1

Resolution
metadata mismatch
arxiv_id, observed 2026-07-04T15:49:57.729324Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-23T06:30:58.430688+00:00.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-06-26T01:19:10.927926Z digest=sha256:b323aa9a6b93e8ccd5f78966b82b75146bbfb921bd61f9656cd792ba0c08b0ae

Observation 2865554e-ca8c-4fd6-bbcc-ac243c62d692 · inbound

Kastor: An efficient fine-tuning strategy for generative emulation of PDE simulations cites this paper.

Kastor: An efficient fine-tuning strategy for generative emulation of PDE simulations Skillful joint probabilistic weather forecasting from marginals

Reference 21

Resolution
unresolved
no resolver link, observed 2026-08-07T14:48:58.325218Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-08-07T14:48:58.325218Z digest=sha256:50a17d7c351ad2cbd6f16aae6391d85f82f1430ef6d47ecded86deb954b07fd5

Observation 9f3a4057-1d61-422a-8977-2446d3c31a75 · inbound

Timestep-Conditioned Transformers for Global Weather Forecasting cites this paper.

Timestep-Conditioned Transformers for Global Weather Forecasting Skillful joint probabilistic weather forecasting from marginals

Reference 1

Resolution
unresolved
no resolver link, observed 2026-08-07T11:44:11.738488Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-07T11:44:11.738488Z digest=sha256:0e9d7c0a3c51256f0d1885e746aa17131599e06199fcb32ccadfb3616fc56d82