Evaluating the False Trust Engendered by LLM Explanations
Pith reviewed 2026-05-20 21:47 UTC · model grok-4.3
The pith
Reasoning traces and post-hoc explanations from LLMs increase user acceptance of predictions whether correct or incorrect, while dual explanations improve distinction between them.
A machine-rendered reading of the paper's core claim, the machinery that carries it, and where it could break.
Core claim
In a between-subject user study simulating a setting where users do not have the means to verify the solution, reasoning traces and post-hoc explanations are persuasive but not informative: they increase user acceptance of LLM predictions regardless of their correctness. In contrast, dual explanation is the only condition that genuinely improves users' ability to distinguish correct from incorrect AI outputs.
What carries the argument
A between-subjects user study that compares four explanation conditions (reasoning traces, trace summaries, post-hoc explanations, and contrastive dual explanations) in a simulated non-verification scenario.
If this is right
- Reasoning traces and post-hoc explanations boost acceptance of LLM answers irrespective of accuracy.
- Dual explanations enhance users' ability to discriminate between correct and incorrect outputs.
- Standard explanation methods do not aid in identifying errors in AI predictions.
- The choice of explanation type directly influences the level of false trust users develop.
Where Pith is reading between the lines
- Interfaces for LLMs in critical domains might benefit from defaulting to balanced pro-and-con arguments rather than single-sided traces.
- The pattern may extend to other generative AI tools where users lack the expertise to check outputs directly.
- Developers could test whether automatically generating counter-arguments improves judgment accuracy across different model types.
Load-bearing premise
The evaluation protocol assumes that the simulated setting where users do not have the means to verify the solution accurately captures real-world scenarios in which people rely on LLM explanations without external verification.
What would settle it
A replication study in which participants can independently verify the correctness of AI answers and then measuring whether acceptance rates and error-detection accuracy still follow the same pattern across explanation conditions.
Figures
read the original abstract
Large Language Models (LLMs) and Large Reasoning Models (LRMs) are increasingly used for critical tasks, yet they provide no guarantees about the correctness of their solutions. Users must decide whether to trust the model's answer, aided by reasoning traces, their summaries, or post-hoc generated explanations. These reasoning traces, despite evidence that they are neither faithful representations of the model's computations nor necessarily semantically meaningful, are often interpreted as provenance explanations. It is unclear whether explanations or reasoning traces help users identify when the AI is incorrect, or whether they simply persuade users to trust the AI regardless. In this paper, we take a user-centered approach and develop an evaluation protocol to study how different explanation types affect users' ability to judge the correctness of AI-generated answers and engender false trust in the users. We conduct a between-subject user study, simulating a setting where users do not have the means to verify the solution and analyze the false trust engendered by commonly used LLM explanations - reasoning traces, their summaries and post-hoc explanations. We also test a contrastive dual explanation setting where we present arguments for and against the AI's answer. We find that reasoning traces and post-hoc explanations are persuasive but not informative: they increase user acceptance of LLM predictions regardless of their correctness. In contrast, dual explanation is the only condition that genuinely improves users' ability to distinguish correct from incorrect AI outputs.
Editorial analysis
A structured set of objections, weighed in public.
Referee Report
Summary. The manuscript reports a between-subjects user study comparing four explanation conditions (reasoning traces, summaries of reasoning traces, post-hoc explanations, and dual/contrastive explanations) in a simulated no-verification setting. It claims that reasoning traces and post-hoc explanations increase user acceptance of LLM outputs irrespective of correctness (persuasive but not informative), while only the dual-explanation condition improves users' ability to distinguish correct from incorrect AI answers.
Significance. If the empirical results prove robust, the work provides concrete evidence that common LLM explanation formats can engender false trust, with direct implications for explanation design in high-stakes domains. The inclusion of a dual-explanation baseline that demonstrably improves discrimination is a constructive contribution to the HCI and XAI literature.
major comments (2)
- [§4] §4 (User Study Protocol): The description of participant recruitment, sample size per condition, task selection, and statistical analysis (including any power analysis or correction for multiple comparisons) is absent or insufficiently detailed. These elements are load-bearing for the central claims about differential acceptance rates and distinction accuracy.
- [Results] Results section (around Tables 1–2 or equivalent): The manuscript states that reasoning traces and post-hoc explanations increase acceptance “regardless of their correctness,” yet does not report the raw acceptance percentages or statistical contrasts for correct versus incorrect trials within each condition. Without these numbers, the magnitude and reliability of the “persuasive but not informative” effect cannot be evaluated.
minor comments (2)
- [Abstract] Abstract: The phrase “dual explanation setting” should be briefly glossed so readers understand it presents arguments both for and against the AI answer.
- [Figures] Figure captions: Ensure all example explanations are legible at print size and that condition labels match the text exactly.
Simulated Author's Rebuttal
We thank the referee for their constructive feedback and for recognizing the potential significance of our findings on false trust in LLM explanations. We address each major comment below and will revise the manuscript accordingly to improve clarity and completeness.
read point-by-point responses
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Referee: [§4] §4 (User Study Protocol): The description of participant recruitment, sample size per condition, task selection, and statistical analysis (including any power analysis or correction for multiple comparisons) is absent or insufficiently detailed. These elements are load-bearing for the central claims about differential acceptance rates and distinction accuracy.
Authors: We agree that §4 currently provides insufficient detail on these protocol elements, which limits the ability to fully evaluate and replicate the study. In the revised manuscript we will expand this section with explicit descriptions of participant recruitment (including platform, screening, and consent procedures), the precise sample size per condition, the rationale and criteria for task selection, and the full statistical analysis plan including any power analysis conducted and corrections applied for multiple comparisons. revision: yes
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Referee: [Results] Results section (around Tables 1–2 or equivalent): The manuscript states that reasoning traces and post-hoc explanations increase acceptance “regardless of their correctness,” yet does not report the raw acceptance percentages or statistical contrasts for correct versus incorrect trials within each condition. Without these numbers, the magnitude and reliability of the “persuasive but not informative” effect cannot be evaluated.
Authors: We acknowledge that the current Results section reports aggregate acceptance rates and overall condition effects but omits the explicit per-condition breakdowns of acceptance rates for correct versus incorrect trials along with the corresponding within-condition statistical contrasts. In the revision we will add these raw percentages, effect sizes, and targeted statistical tests to the Results section (and associated tables) so that readers can directly assess the magnitude and reliability of the persuasive-but-not-informative pattern. revision: yes
Circularity Check
No significant circularity detected in empirical user study
full rationale
This paper reports a between-subjects user study comparing explanation conditions (reasoning traces, summaries, post-hoc, dual) on user acceptance and distinction accuracy in a simulated no-verification setting. The analysis relies on collected participant data and statistical comparisons rather than any derivations, equations, fitted parameters, or self-referential predictions. No load-bearing steps reduce to inputs by construction, and the central claims follow directly from the experimental protocol and results without circular reduction.
Axiom & Free-Parameter Ledger
axioms (2)
- domain assumption The chosen explanation types (reasoning traces, summaries, post-hoc, dual) are representative of commonly used LLM explanations.
- domain assumption Acceptance rates in the study reflect users' trust and judgment of correctness.
Lean theorems connected to this paper
-
IndisputableMonolith/Foundation/RealityFromDistinction.leanreality_from_one_distinction unclear?
unclearRelation between the paper passage and the cited Recognition theorem.
We conduct a between-subject user study, simulating a setting where users do not have the means to verify the solution and analyze the false trust engendered by commonly used LLM explanations
-
IndisputableMonolith/Cost/FunctionalEquation.leanwashburn_uniqueness_aczel unclear?
unclearRelation between the paper passage and the cited Recognition theorem.
False Trust = |{responses judged as correct ∩ actually incorrect}| / |{responses judged as correct}|
What do these tags mean?
- matches
- The paper's claim is directly supported by a theorem in the formal canon.
- supports
- The theorem supports part of the paper's argument, but the paper may add assumptions or extra steps.
- extends
- The paper goes beyond the formal theorem; the theorem is a base layer rather than the whole result.
- uses
- The paper appears to rely on the theorem as machinery.
- contradicts
- The paper's claim conflicts with a theorem or certificate in the canon.
- unclear
- Pith found a possible connection, but the passage is too broad, indirect, or ambiguous to say the theorem truly supports the claim.
Reference graph
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Reasons why the answer might be correct
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Reasons why the answer might be incorrect Question: {question} AI Answer: {answer} Reasons why this answer might be correct (within 250 words): Reasons why this answer might be incorrect (within 250 words): Do not include any other text outside of the format above. Solver Template (unified across answer types) Solve the following {subject} problem and pro...
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The participant read the problem statement and answer choices
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[59]
Do you know how to solve this question?
The participant was asked:“Do you know how to solve this question?”with three options: “I know the answer immediately,” “I might be able to solve it given more time,” or “I cannot solve this.”
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I know the answer immediately,
If the participant selected “I know the answer immediately,”they were shown the problem again and asked to select their own answer and rate their confidence:“How confident are you in your own answer?”(7-point Likert scale). They were then shown the AI system’s predicted answer along with the explanation corresponding to their assigned condition. If the pa...
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Do you think the AI’s answer is correct?
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How confident are you in your judgment about the AI’s answer?
The participant rated:“How confident are you in your judgment about the AI’s answer?” (7-point Likert scale)
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I trust the AI system’s outputs
The participant rated:“I trust the AI system’s outputs. ”(7-point Likert scale)
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Did the AI reasoning help you understand how the model reached its answer?
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