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Simulation-based inference methods for particle physics

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arxiv 2010.06439 v2 pith:5O6D3AK5 submitted 2020-10-13 hep-ph hep-exphysics.data-anstat.ML

Simulation-based inference methods for particle physics

classification hep-ph hep-exphysics.data-anstat.ML
keywords datainferencehigh-dimensionalmethodsparticlephysicssimulation-basedsimulator
verification ladder T0 review T1 audit T2 compute T3 formal T4 reserved
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Our predictions for particle physics processes are realized in a chain of complex simulators. They allow us to generate high-fidelity simulated data, but they are not well-suited for inference on the theory parameters with observed data. We explain why the likelihood function of high-dimensional LHC data cannot be explicitly evaluated, why this matters for data analysis, and reframe what the field has traditionally done to circumvent this problem. We then review new simulation-based inference methods that let us directly analyze high-dimensional data by combining machine learning techniques and information from the simulator. Initial studies indicate that these techniques have the potential to substantially improve the precision of LHC measurements. Finally, we discuss probabilistic programming, an emerging paradigm that lets us extend inference to the latent process of the simulator.

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Cited by 3 Pith papers

Reviewed papers in the Pith corpus that reference this work. Sorted by Pith novelty score.

  1. Flow-Based Surrogates for High-Dimensional Likelihoods in Experimental Neutrino Physics

    hep-ex 2026-07 accept novelty 6.0

    A hybrid coupling-plus-autoregressive normalizing flow reproduces a 110-parameter non-Gaussian near-detector likelihood at 98% relative ESS versus ~5% for the post-fit Gaussian, matching MCMC while remaining evaluable...

  2. Flow-Based Surrogates for High-Dimensional Likelihoods in Experimental Neutrino Physics

    hep-ex 2026-07 accept novelty 6.0

    A hybrid coupling-plus-autoregressive normalizing flow trained on a 110-parameter T2K-like near-detector likelihood reaches 98% relative ESS versus 5% for the post-fit Gaussian and matches MCMC flux predictions.

  3. Bring the noise: exact inference from noisy simulations in collider physics

    hep-ph 2025-02 unverdicted novelty 6.0

    Introduces pseudo-marginal MCMC with unbiased Poisson likelihood estimator for exact inference despite noisy collider Monte Carlo simulations.