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arxiv 2507.18170 v1 pith:5TGPHTPP submitted 2025-07-24 math.ST stat.MLstat.TH

Trek-Based Parameter Identification for Linear Causal Models With Arbitrarily Structured Latent Variables

classification math.ST stat.MLstat.TH
keywords variableseffectslatentlinearcausalcriterionmodelmodels
verification ladder T0 review T1 audit T2 compute T3 formal T4 reserved
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We develop a criterion to certify whether causal effects are identifiable in linear structural equation models with latent variables. Linear structural equation models correspond to directed graphs whose nodes represent the random variables of interest and whose edges are weighted with linear coefficients that correspond to direct causal effects. In contrast to previous identification methods, we do not restrict ourselves to settings where the latent variables constitute independent latent factors (i.e., to source nodes in the graphical representation of the model). Our novel latent-subgraph criterion is a purely graphical condition that is sufficient for identifiability of causal effects by rational formulas in the covariance matrix. To check the latent-subgraph criterion, we provide a sound and complete algorithm that operates by solving an integer linear program. While it targets effects involving observed variables, our new criterion is also useful for identifying effects between latent variables, as it allows one to transform the given model into a simpler measurement model for which other existing tools become applicable.

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  1. Identifying Direct Causal Effects in Latent Factor Models by Accounting for Unidentified Parents

    stat.ME 2026-05 unverdicted novelty 6.0

    New identification criterion for direct effects in latent factor models that accounts for unidentified parents to handle denser confounding graphs, with network-flow based algorithm.