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arxiv 2107.00753 v3 pith:7GEYQQ5G submitted 2021-07-01 cs.CL cs.LG

An Investigation of the (In)effectiveness of Counterfactually Augmented Data

classification cs.CL cs.LG
keywords datafeaturesrobustcorrelationseffectivenessexamplesgeneralizationlanguage
verification ladder T0 review T1 audit T2 compute T3 formal T4 reserved
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While pretrained language models achieve excellent performance on natural language understanding benchmarks, they tend to rely on spurious correlations and generalize poorly to out-of-distribution (OOD) data. Recent work has explored using counterfactually-augmented data (CAD) -- data generated by minimally perturbing examples to flip the ground-truth label -- to identify robust features that are invariant under distribution shift. However, empirical results using CAD for OOD generalization have been mixed. To explain this discrepancy, we draw insights from a linear Gaussian model and demonstrate the pitfalls of CAD. Specifically, we show that (a) while CAD is effective at identifying robust features, it may prevent the model from learning unperturbed robust features; and (b) CAD may exacerbate existing spurious correlations in the data. On two crowdsourced CAD datasets, our results show that the lack of perturbation diversity limits their effectiveness on OOD generalization, calling for innovative crowdsourcing procedures to elicit diverse perturbation of examples.

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  1. Stance Detection in Prediction Markets: Addressing Imbalanced Trader Commentary via Counterfactual Augmentation and Market Context

    cs.CL 2026-05 unverdicted novelty 6.0

    First stance detection study on prediction market commentary finds market context raises 3-class Anti recall from 0.10 to 0.45 while 50% counterfactual augmentation is optimal and full augmentation hurts performance.