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TUNE: Algorithm-Agnostic Inference after Changepoint Detection

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arxiv 2409.15676 v1 pith:JSE4CEJI submitted 2024-09-24 stat.ME math.STstat.TH

classification stat.MEmath.STstat.TH
keywords tunechangepointdetectioninferenceacrossalgorithm-agnosticalgorithmschangepoints
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In multiple changepoint analysis, assessing the uncertainty of detected changepoints is crucial for enhancing detection reliability -- a topic that has garnered significant attention. Despite advancements through selective p-values, current methodologies often rely on stringent assumptions tied to specific changepoint models and detection algorithms, potentially compromising the accuracy of post-detection statistical inference. We introduce TUNE (Thresholding Universally and Nullifying change Effect), a novel algorithm-agnostic approach that uniformly controls error probabilities across detected changepoints. TUNE sets a universal threshold for multiple test statistics, applicable across a wide range of algorithms, and directly controls the family-wise error rate without the need for selective p-values. Through extensive theoretical and numerical analyses, TUNE demonstrates versatility, robustness, and competitive power, offering a viable and reliable alternative for model-agnostic post-detection inference.

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Reviewed papers in the Pith corpus that reference this work. Sorted by Pith novelty score. Full citation record

  1. ART: Distribution-Free and Model-Agnostic Changepoint Detection with Finite-Sample Guarantees

    stat.ME 2025-01 conditional novelty 7.0 of 10

    ART gives exact finite-sample false-alarm control for changepoint testing, localization, and post-detection inference by ranking order-symmetric scores, with no distributional or model assumptions.

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