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With the intensification of global aging, health management of the elderly has become a focus of social attention. This study designs and implements a smart elderly care service model to address issues such as data diversity, health status complexity, long-term dependence and data loss, sudden changes in behavior, and data privacy in the prediction of health behaviors of the elderly. The model achieves accurate prediction and dynamic management of health behaviors of the elderly through modules such as multimodal data fusion, data loss processing, nonlinear prediction, emergency detection, and privacy protection. In the experimental design, based on multi-source data sets and market research results, the model demonstrates excellent performance in health behavior prediction, emergency detection, and personalized services. The experimental results show that the model can effectively improve the accuracy and robustness of health behavior prediction and meet the actual application needs in the field of smart elderly care. In the future, with the integration of more data and further optimization of technology, the model will provide more powerful technical support for smart elderly care services.