INDEX
Every paper Pith has read and judged, in one searchable index.
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math.ST arXiv submitted 2026-07-05Multiproposal pCN mixes with rates free of dimension and p
Giulia Carigi +3 · “On the mixing properties of some preconditioned multiproposal Markov Chain Monte Carlo algorithms”
2607.04466 -
cs.LG arXiv submitted 2026-07-05Local causal search plus known edges recovers optimal adjustments
Seong Woo Ahn +5 · “Knowledge-Informed Local Causal Discovery of Optimal Adjustment Sets”
2607.04447 -
stat.ML arXiv submitted 2026-07-05Score error at low noise closes the diffusion gap
Benjamin Dupuis +4 · “Tightening the Score Matching Gap for Diffusion Models”
2607.04442 -
stat.ML arXiv submitted 2026-07-05Pairwise quantile regression achieves log(n)/n rates
Romain Th\'er\'ezien +3 · “On Pairwise Quantile Regression - Statistical Guarantees and Applications”
2607.04431 -
stat.ML arXiv submitted 2026-07-05Pairwise quantiles of similarity scores learn at 1/n rate
Romain Th\'er\'ezien +3 · “On Pairwise Quantile Regression - Statistical Guarantees and Applications”
2607.04431 -
math.PR arXiv submitted 2026-07-05Elementary proof recovers the classic DKW-Massart bound
Jean-Yves Le Boudec · “An Elementary Proof of the Dvoretzky--Kiefer--Wolfowitz--Massart Inequality”
2607.04387 -
math.ST arXiv submitted 2026-07-05Spatial depth alone pins down every probability law
Alberto Gonz\'alez-Sanz +1 · “Spatial depth characterizes probability measures”
2607.04375 -
stat.ML arXiv submitted 2026-07-05Sample-only averaging matches oracle risk for generators
Shijin Gong +2 · “Optimal Mixture-of-Experts Model Averaging for Conditional Generative Models”
2607.04360 -
math.ST arXiv submitted 2026-07-05For any fixed breakdown point
Subhrajyoty Roy +3 · “Universally Optimal Robustness-Efficiency Tradeoffs for a General Class of Minimum Divergence Estimators”
2607.04343 -
stat.ME arXiv submitted 2026-07-05External anchors unmask smaller target effects in published trials
Dan Kasumi +2 · “External anchors reveal target-population effects hidden by published clinical-trial evidence”
2607.04327 -
stat.ML arXiv submitted 2026-07-05Bandit finds best treatment ignoring the mediator pathway
Harsh Shrivastava +3 · “Fixed-Confidence Best-Arm Identification for Causal Mediation Analysis”
2607.04315 -
physics.med-ph arXiv submitted 2026-07-05Migrants show 70% fewer strong comorbidity links in hospital data
Elma Dervic +4 · “Comorbidity Network Analysis Reveals Diagnostic Disparities Between Austrian and Non-Austrian Inpatients: A Population-Wide Cohort Study”
2607.04296 -
cs.CL arXiv submitted 2026-07-05LLMs miss causal traps in science-style games
Zhenhao Chen +9 · “CausalGame: Benchmarking Causal Thinking of LLM Agents in Games”
2607.04293 -
q-fin.CP arXiv submitted 2026-07-05Deep nets learn the certainty equivalent
Xianhua Peng +1 · “Deep Learning for Dynamic Programming with Recursive Utility”
2607.04278 -
stat.ME arXiv submitted 2026-07-05BTD plus IVA could fix TPICA for realistic fMRI unmixing
Eleftherios Kofidis · “Beyond Tensor Probabilistic Independent Component Analysis -- Putting Block-Term Decomposition and Independent Vector Analysis Together”
2607.04272 -
stat.ME arXiv submitted 2026-07-05One relabeling gives exact spillover tests in saturation designs
Jizhou Liu +2 · “Randomization Tests in Randomized Saturation Designs”
2607.04257 -
cs.LG arXiv submitted 2026-07-05Finer time grains inflate fit but compound recursive forecast error
Hugo Moreira · “The Granularity Paradox: How Temporal Disaggregation Inflates In-Sample Fit and Compounds Out-of-Sample Error”
2607.05450 -
stat.ML arXiv submitted 2026-07-05Conformal scores that shrink when the prior is wrong
Kianoosh Ashouritaklimi +2 · “Robust Bayes-Assisted Conformal Prediction”
2607.04236 -
stat.ME arXiv submitted 2026-07-05Gamma rainfall fits stay stable under outliers with one knob
Arnab Hazra · “Minimum Density Power Divergence Estimation for the Gamma Distribution with Applications to Robust Rainfall Modeling”
2607.04226 -
stat.AP arXiv submitted 2026-07-05Borrow phase II survival data
Meihua Long +6 · “A Bayesian predictive framework for adaptive interim-analysis timing with robust borrowing in confirmatory trials”
2607.04205 -
stat.AP arXiv submitted 2026-07-05Climate extremes lift hypertensive death shares at older ages
Michelle Dong +3 · “Climate sensitivity analysis -- A case study from forty years of US compositional cause of death data”
2607.04198 -
cs.LG arXiv submitted 2026-07-05Masked and causal pretraining share ICL risk rates
Chenrui Liu +4 · “A Unified Framework for In-Context Learning with Causal and Masked Language Models”
2607.04081 -
stat.ME arXiv submitted 2026-07-05One auxiliary variable can flip regression signs on demand
Jie Hu +1 · “Sign Hacking with Auxiliary Variable Exploration in the Age of Big Data”
2607.04078 -
stat.CO arXiv submitted 2026-07-05Free MATLAB tool builds efficient choice surveys with annealing
Yinfu Liu +1 · “DCEDesignSA: A MATLAB-based Graphical User Interface for Discrete Choice Experiment Design Using Simulated Annealing”
2607.04066 -
cs.CL arXiv submitted 2026-07-05Early token-repetition bias still flags LLM text
Christopher Nassif +1 · “Telescope: Improving Zero Shot Detection of LLM Generated Content By Measuring Token Repetition Probability”
2607.04061 -
math.ST arXiv submitted 2026-07-04MA(1) likelihood has exactly 8(n-1) complex critical points
Carlos Am\'endola +1 · “Likelihood Geometry of Moving Average and Autoregressive Processes”
2607.04046 -
cs.CV arXiv submitted 2026-07-04Siamese students regularize JEPA and speed early learning
Makoto Yamada · “SiamJEPA: On the Role of Siamese Student Encoders in JEPA”
2607.04044 -
cs.CV arXiv submitted 2026-07-04Twin student encoders lift JEPA accuracy by 1.2 points
Makoto Yamada · “SiamJEPA: On the Role of Siamese Student Encoders in JEPA”
2607.04044 -
stat.ME arXiv submitted 2026-07-04Observational data hits a hard ceiling for trial effect estimates
Amir Asiaee +1 · “B-CALM: Bias-Limited Bayesian Borrowing for RCT-Anchored Treatment Effects under Covariate Mismatch”
2607.04036 -
stat.ME arXiv submitted 2026-07-04Bias prior caps how much observational data can sharpen a trial
Amir Asiaee +1 · “B-CALM: Bias-Limited Bayesian Borrowing for RCT-Anchored Treatment Effects under Covariate Mismatch”
2607.04036 -
stat.ME arXiv submitted 2026-07-04Set ε by how much an adversary’s odds may grow
Ruwimal Y. Pathiraja +1 · “Setting the Privacy Budget in Differential Privacy by Bounding Adversaries' Odds of Learning Sensitive Information”
2607.04004 -
stat.ME arXiv submitted 2026-07-04Hybrid tree finds treatment effects and keeps honest intervals
Pantelis Z. Hadjipantelis +2 · “Significance-First Splitting: Aligning Treatment Heterogeneity Detection with Honest Estimation”
2607.03999 -
stat.ME arXiv submitted 2026-07-04Hybrid causal tree hits nominal coverage
Pantelis Z. Hadjipantelis +2 · “Significance-First Splitting: Aligning Treatment Heterogeneity Detection with Honest Estimation”
2607.03999 -
math.PR arXiv submitted 2026-07-04Stein recursion solves Wilks’ 1934 Wishart-minor moment problem
Robert E. Gaunt +1 · “On Wilks' problem: Exact recursive formulas via Stein's method for the joint moments of disjoint principal minors of Wishart random matrices”
2607.03984 -
stat.ME arXiv submitted 2026-07-04Kernel density estimates get Bayesian credibility bands
Dennis Christensen +3 · “Posterior uncertainty for kernel density estimates”
2607.03927 -
stat.ME arXiv submitted 2026-07-04Adaptive LGC bandwidths help only at moderate dependence
Akash Deep +1 · “Local Gaussian Correlation in the Tails: A Scarcity Diagnostic, an Optimal Local Bandwidth, and the Limits of Adaptivity”
2607.03888 -
stat.ME arXiv submitted 2026-07-04Tail LGC is limited by scarcity
Akash Deep +1 · “Local Gaussian Correlation in the Tails: A Scarcity Diagnostic, an Optimal Local Bandwidth, and the Limits of Adaptivity”
2607.03888 -
cs.LG arXiv submitted 2026-07-04Preconditioned MMD descent reaches global minima without convexity
Sophia Seulkee Kang +4 · “A Gradient Flow Perspective on Minimum MMD Estimation”
2607.03871 -
stat.AP arXiv submitted 2026-07-04Keep fine weather maps when claims arrive only by county
Lisa Gao +2 · “A zero-inflated mixed-effects spatial point process for grouped storm loss data”
2607.03852 -
stat.CO arXiv submitted 2026-07-04Inspectable torch nets that plug into R tuning workflows
Antoine Soetewey (1) +6 · “kindling: A Higher-Level torch Interface for Generating, Training, and Tuning Neural Networks in R”
2607.03832 -
stat.ME arXiv submitted 2026-07-04Targeted HAL estimates curves at rates set only by their smoothness
Vanessa Rodriguez +3 · “Targeted Highly Adaptive Lasso Minimum Loss Estimation of Target Functions”
2607.03824 -
cs.LG arXiv submitted 2026-07-04Simplex EMA weights fix brittle flow mixtures
Benjamin Wiriyapong +3 · “Stable Global Weighting of Flow Mixtures using Simplex Exponential Moving Average”
2607.03809 -
math.ST arXiv submitted 2026-07-04GBS step-down testing matches the Bayes Oracle under sparsity
Prasenjit Ghosh +1 · “Asymptotic Bayes Optimality Under Sparsity of the Gavrilov-Benjamini-Sarkar Step-Down Testing Procedure”
2607.03719 -
cs.LG arXiv submitted 2026-07-04Neural maps learn spectral features with a tunable Dirichlet metric
Varvara Nazarenko +2 · “PIEFS: Physics-Informed Eigenfunction Features with Learnable Scaling”
2607.03692 -
stat.ME arXiv submitted 2026-07-04CV measures prediction instability and often beats bootstrap MAPE
Nop Khongthon +8 · “A repeated k-fold cross-validation approach for evaluating the instability of clinical prediction models: an empirical comparison to the bootstrap approach”
2607.03676 -
cs.LG arXiv submitted 2026-07-04GELU is a hard gate with a Gaussian random threshold
Roberto Rossi · “A Structural Interpretation of GELU and Threshold-Transmission Activations via the First-Order Loss Function”
2607.03664 -
cs.LG arXiv submitted 2026-07-04GELU is a Gaussian threshold-transmission gate
Roberto Rossi · “A Structural Interpretation of GELU and Threshold-Transmission Activations via the First-Order Loss Function”
2607.03664 -
cs.LG arXiv submitted 2026-07-04Derive GELU from a Gaussian-threshold gate
Roberto Rossi · “A Structural Interpretation of GELU and Threshold-Transmission Activations via the First-Order Loss Function”
2607.03664 -
stat.ML arXiv submitted 2026-07-04Correlated prompts shrink usable context for ICL
Mary Letey +3 · “Sequential Correlations Change In-Context Learning: Effective Context Length and Architectural Mismatch”
2607.03660 -
stat.ML arXiv submitted 2026-07-03Impute missing values by sampling the manifold they live on
Zelong Bi +2 · “Missing Data Imputation under Manifold Hypothesis”
2607.03641