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A fast deep-learning approach to probing primordial black hole populations in gravitational wave events

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arxiv 2505.15530 v2 pith:N5EJXA3K submitted 2025-05-21 gr-qc astro-ph.COastro-ph.IMhep-th

A fast deep-learning approach to probing primordial black hole populations in gravitational wave events

classification gr-qc astro-ph.COastro-ph.IMhep-th
keywords eventsfastposteriorapproachblackdeep-learninggw-eventpopulation
verification ladder T0 review T1 audit T2 compute T3 formal T4 reserved
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Primordial black holes (PBHs), envisioned as a compelling dark matter candidate and a window onto early-Universe physics, may contribute to some of the gravitational-wave (GW) signals detected by the LIGO-Virgo-KAGRA network. Traditional hierarchical Bayesian analysis, which relies on precise GW-event posterior estimates to extract information on potential PBH populations from GW events, becomes computationally demanding for catalogs with a large number of events. Here, we present a fast deep-learning framework, leveraging Transformer and normalizing flows, that maps GW-event posterior samples to joint posterior distributions over the hyperparameters of the PBH population. Our approach yields credible intervals with acceptable accuracy while delivering an order-of-magnitude speedup. These results highlight the potential of deep learning for fast and accurate PBH population studies, and its applicability to next-generation GW detectors when combined with appropriate event-level inference models.

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Cited by 6 Pith papers

Reviewed papers in the Pith corpus that reference this work. Sorted by Pith novelty score.

  1. End-to-End Population Inference from Gravitational-Wave Strain using Transformers

    gr-qc 2026-05 unverdicted novelty 7.0

    Dingo-Pop uses a transformer to perform amortized, end-to-end population inference from GW strain data in seconds, bypassing per-event Monte Carlo sampling.

  2. Comparing astrophysical models to gravitational-wave data in the observable space

    gr-qc 2025-07 unverdicted novelty 7.0

    Demonstrates direct comparison of observable compact-binary populations from GW data to astrophysical models, with unbiased inference shown possible and applied to O3 data.

  3. Measurement prospects for the pair-instability mass cutoff with gravitational waves

    astro-ph.HE 2026-02 conditional novelty 6.0

    Simulations show a 40-50 solar-mass black-hole cutoff is not guaranteed to be confidently recovered from GWTC-4-like catalogs, spurious detections are unlikely, and O4 data would reduce cutoff-mass uncertainty by at l...

  4. Model-Agnostic Population Inference for Gravitational-Wave Astronomy: From LVK to LISA

    astro-ph.IM 2026-01 conditional novelty 5.0

    A flow-guided mixture density network with Gaussian copulas recovers black-hole merger population shapes and rates from sparse, selection-biased gravitational-wave catalogs.

  5. Constraining supermassive primordial black hole clustering with the angular auto-correlation of $z\simeq 6$ quasars

    astro-ph.CO 2026-06 unverdicted novelty 4.0

    MCMC comparison of projected PBH correlation functions with z≈6 quasar angular auto-correlation data yields posterior constraints f_PBH∼10^{-3}, m_PBH∼10^{12}M_⊙ for Poisson models and ξ_eff≃2.1, r_cl≃76 Mpc for clust...

  6. Machine Learning for Multi-messenger Probes of New Physics and Cosmology: A Review and Perspective

    hep-ph 2026-04 unverdicted novelty 3.0

    A review summarizing machine learning methods for multi-messenger probes of dark matter and new physics, with a proposed plan for future integrated analyses.