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Statistical inference for Linear Stochastic Approximation with Markovian Noise

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arxiv 2505.19102 v1 pith:3ORFSKVW submitted 2025-05-25 stat.ML cs.LGmath.OCmath.STstat.TH

Statistical inference for Linear Stochastic Approximation with Markovian Noise

classification stat.ML cs.LGmath.OCmath.STstat.TH
keywords approximationmarkoviannoisenon-asymptoticstochasticalgorithmconfidenceconvergence
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In this paper we derive non-asymptotic Berry-Esseen bounds for Polyak-Ruppert averaged iterates of the Linear Stochastic Approximation (LSA) algorithm driven by the Markovian noise. Our analysis yields $\mathcal{O}(n^{-1/4})$ convergence rates to the Gaussian limit in the Kolmogorov distance. We further establish the non-asymptotic validity of a multiplier block bootstrap procedure for constructing the confidence intervals, guaranteeing consistent inference under Markovian sampling. Our work provides the first non-asymptotic guarantees on the rate of convergence of bootstrap-based confidence intervals for stochastic approximation with Markov noise. Moreover, we recover the classical rate of order $\mathcal{O}(n^{-1/8})$ up to logarithmic factors for estimating the asymptotic variance of the iterates of the LSA algorithm.

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Cited by 4 Pith papers

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    Derived rates of order up to n^{-1/6} log^4(n S A) for the high-dimensional CLT of averaged asynchronous Q-learning iterates, plus a general martingale-difference CLT.

  2. A Diffusion Approximation for Temporal-Difference Learning with Linear Features under Markovian Noise

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  4. Central Limit Theorems for Asynchronous Averaged Q-Learning

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    Establishes non-asymptotic and functional central limit theorems for asynchronous averaged Q-learning with explicit rates depending on iterations, state-action space, discount factor, and exploration quality.