REVIEW 5 cited by
Bayesian model selection without evidences: application to the dark energy equation-of-state
Not yet reviewed by Pith; the record is open.
This paper has not been read by Pith yet. Machine review is queued; the pith claim, tier, and objections will appear here once it completes.
SPECIMEN: schema-true, not a live event
T0 review · schema-true
One-sentence machine reading of the paper's core claim.
pith:XXXXXXXX · record.json · timestamp
abstract
A method is presented for Bayesian model selection without explicitly computing evidences, by using a combined likelihood and introducing an integer model selection parameter $n$ so that Bayes factors, or more generally posterior odds ratios, may be read off directly from the posterior of $n$. If the total number of models under consideration is specified a priori, the full joint parameter space $(\theta, n)$ of the models is of fixed dimensionality and can be explored using standard Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) or nested sampling methods, without the need for reversible jump MCMC techniques. The posterior on $n$ is then obtained by straightforward marginalisation. We demonstrate the efficacy of our approach by application to several toy models. We then apply it to constraining the dark energy equation-of-state using a free-form reconstruction technique. We show that $\Lambda$CDM is significantly favoured over all extensions, including the simple $w(z){=}{\rm constant}$ model.
Forward citations
Cited by 5 Pith papers
-
Data-Driven Discovery of a Simple Phantom-Crossing Dark Energy Parametrization
Bayesian reconstruction and exhaustive symbolic regression on CMB, BAO, and supernova data yield the one-parameter dark energy parametrization w(a) = w0 / sqrt(a) that fits observations comparably to CPL and better th...
-
Parameter Estimation for Eccentric Supermassive Black Hole Binaries with Pulsar Timing Arrays
By injecting eccentric binary signals into simulated PTA data, the paper shows individual masses are recoverable at high frequencies, while low-frequency signals can be confused with the stochastic background and yiel...
-
The NANOGrav 15 yr Data Set: Customized Chromatic Noise Models
Customized chromatic noise models for 67 pulsars detect non-dispersive delays in 21 cases, alter achromatic noise inferences in 19, and enable solar wind density estimates over 1.5 cycles.
-
unimpeded: A Public Grid of Nested Sampling Chains for Cosmological Model Comparison and Tension Analysis
A public library of pre-computed nested-sampling chains for 8 cosmological models and a large dataset grid enables fast Bayesian model comparison; combined analyses most often prefer ΛCDM, with DES–Planck and SH0ES–Pl...
-
The NANOGrav 15 yr Data Set: Impacts of Customized Chromatic Noise Models on Gravitational Wave Analyses
Customized chromatic noise models applied to NANOGrav 15 yr data raise the Bayes factor for Hellings-Downs GWB correlations by a factor of ~8, lower the amplitude to 2.1e-15, and increase the spectral index to 3.5.
Discussion (0). Continue with ORCID to comment.