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VisionTS: Visual Masked Autoencoders Are Free-Lunch Zero-Shot Time Series Forecasters

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arxiv 2408.17253 v4 pith:E2DRMARX submitted 2024-08-30 cs.CV cs.AIcs.LG

classification cs.CVcs.AIcs.LG
keywords seriesmodelstimefoundationvisiontsforecastingvisualachieve
verification ladder T0 review T1 audit T2 compute T3 formal
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Foundation models have emerged as a promising approach in time series forecasting (TSF). Existing approaches either repurpose large language models (LLMs) or build large-scale time series datasets to develop TSF foundation models for universal forecasting. However, these methods face challenges due to the severe cross-domain gap or in-domain heterogeneity. This paper explores a new road to building a TSF foundation model from rich, high-quality natural images. Our key insight is that a visual masked autoencoder, pre-trained on the ImageNet dataset, can naturally be a numeric series forecaster. By reformulating TSF as an image reconstruction task, we bridge the gap between image pre-training and TSF downstream tasks. Surprisingly, without further adaptation in the time series domain, the proposed VisionTS could achieve better zero-shot forecast performance than existing TSF foundation models. With fine-tuning for one epoch, VisionTS could further improve the forecasting and achieve state-of-the-art performance in most cases. Extensive experiments reveal intrinsic similarities between images and real-world time series, suggesting that visual models may offer a "free lunch" for TSF and highlight the potential for future cross-modality research. Our code is publicly available at https://github.com/Keytoyze/VisionTS.

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Forward citations

Cited by 6 Pith papers

Reviewed papers in the Pith corpus that reference this work. Sorted by Pith novelty score. Full citation record

  1. TSRouter: Dynamic Modality-Model Selection for Time Series Reasoning

    cs.LG 2026-07 conditional novelty 6.5 of 10

    A heterogeneous-graph router jointly selects the optimal modality (text, vision, or both) and model per time series query, beating prior routing baselines and generalizing to unseen models and tasks.

  2. Time Series Representations for Classification Lie Hidden in Pretrained Vision Transformers

    cs.LG 2025-06 conditional novelty 6.0 of 10

    Frozen vision transformers, applied to image representations of time series, produce classification features that outperform or match time series foundation models on UCR and UEA benchmarks.

  3. BLAST: Balanced Sampling Time Series Corpus for Universal Forecasting Models

    cs.LG 2025-05 conditional novelty 6.0 of 10

    A balanced sampling strategy over statistically characterized time series patterns lets universal forecasting models train on 78 billion tokens instead of 419 billion, with equal or better zero-shot accuracy.

  4. Output Scaling: YingLong-Delayed Chain of Thought in a Large Pretrained Time Series Forecasting Model

    cs.LG 2025-05 conditional novelty 6.0 of 10

    Forecasting with a non-causal encoder-only model improves fixed-horizon accuracy when the model is asked to output extra future tokens, an effect the authors call delayed chain-of-thought.

  5. Harnessing Vision Models for Time Series Analysis: A Survey

    cs.LG 2025-02 conditional novelty 6.0 of 10

    A survey organizing existing methods that encode time series as images and apply vision models, with a dual-view taxonomy of imaging and modeling approaches.

  6. Towards Measuring and Modeling Geometric Structures in Time Series Forecasting via Image Modality

    cs.CV 2025-07 conditional novelty 4.0 of 10

    A new image-based similarity metric (TGSI) and a three-part training loss (SATL) that together aim to improve the geometric fidelity of time series forecasts.

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