Typed states for the displayed outbound observations.
Source: paper_references, paper_reference_links, observed 2026-08-15T17:31:13.513076Z
Paper Citation Record · LEDGER
FutureX: An Advanced Live Benchmark for LLM Agents in Future Prediction
As of 18 August 2026, this Paper Citation Record lists 100 of 125 outbound references and 21 inbound Pith citation observations for arXiv:2508.11987.
A citation records a reference. It does not transfer a finding from one paper to another.
Coverage vector
One-hop event checks from named stored sources.
Source: scholarly_work_events, retraction_status_cache, observed 2026-08-18T06:34:40.430872+00:00
Pith citing papers itemized under the disclosed page cap.
Source: paper_references, paper_reference_links, observed 2026-08-10T04:29:41.376395Z
A source-named dated measurement, never combined with another source.
Source: arxiv_reference, observed 2026-08-05T02:28:24.338817Z
Reference resolution
100 of 125 outbound references displayed
- verified exact0
- verified fuzzy7
- unresolved93
- parse uncertain0
- malformed identifier0
- metadata mismatch0
External citation measurements
1
arxiv_reference, observed 2026-08-05T02:28:24.338817Z
Outbound references
Observation 3e194a3e-9829-4561-88d7-26640ae55a28 · outbound
This paper cites Babyagi, 2024.
FutureX: An Advanced Live Benchmark for LLM Agents in Future Prediction Babyagi, 2024
Reference 1
- Resolution
- unresolved
- no resolver link, observed 2026-08-15T17:31:13.050348Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.
Observation 06460b3b-61d8-427f-bfb2-4d26d474c0e0 · outbound
This paper cites LangChain, October 2022.
FutureX: An Advanced Live Benchmark for LLM Agents in Future Prediction LangChain, October 2022
Reference 2
- Resolution
- unresolved
- no resolver link, observed 2026-08-15T17:31:13.056049Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.
Observation f2d8bb70-06e2-4627-bd49-d33d5b5d01f2 · outbound
This paper cites Chatbot arena: An open platform for evaluating llms by human preference.
FutureX: An Advanced Live Benchmark for LLM Agents in Future Prediction Chatbot arena: An open platform for evaluating llms by human preference
Reference 3
- Resolution
- unresolved
- no resolver link, observed 2026-08-15T17:31:13.060588Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.
Observation bf422e0e-80c9-4b00-ab98-056523a10250 · outbound
This paper cites Gemini 2.5: Pushing the Frontier with Advanced Reasoning, Multimodality, Long Context, and Next Generation Agentic Capabilities.
FutureX: An Advanced Live Benchmark for LLM Agents in Future Prediction Gemini 2.5: Pushing the Frontier with Advanced Reasoning, Multimodality, Long Context, and Next Generation Agentic Capabilities
Reference 4
- Resolution
- unresolved
- no resolver link, observed 2026-08-15T17:31:13.065294Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.
Observation 7c1b6ecd-cfb8-4277-9028-159e3b89f08f · outbound
This paper cites Investigating data contamination in modern benchmarks for large language models.
FutureX: An Advanced Live Benchmark for LLM Agents in Future Prediction Investigating data contamination in modern benchmarks for large language models
Reference 5
- Resolution
- unresolved
- no resolver link, observed 2026-08-15T17:31:13.070144Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.
Observation bc2e53fb-a5fe-434c-8e70-d64c33671837 · outbound
This paper cites Mind2Web: Towards a Generalist Agent for the Web.
FutureX: An Advanced Live Benchmark for LLM Agents in Future Prediction Mind2Web: Towards a Generalist Agent for the Web
Reference 6
- Resolution
- unresolved
- no resolver link, observed 2026-08-15T17:31:13.074420Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.
Observation 12514600-a541-440f-b609-de155128e97d · outbound
This paper cites Gemini deep research — your personal research assistant, 2025.
FutureX: An Advanced Live Benchmark for LLM Agents in Future Prediction Gemini deep research — your personal research assistant, 2025
Reference 7
- Resolution
- unresolved
- no resolver link, observed 2026-08-15T17:31:13.080090Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.
Observation 84fbe904-434d-4b4a-98a2-b02056b91eb4 · outbound
This paper cites OpenEP: Open-Ended Future Event Prediction.
FutureX: An Advanced Live Benchmark for LLM Agents in Future Prediction OpenEP: Open-Ended Future Event Prediction
Reference 8
- Resolution
- unresolved
- no resolver link, observed 2026-08-15T17:31:13.084498Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.
Observation c97879ef-bcea-4e98-b986-64ce28a1e5f2 · outbound
This paper cites DeepSeek-R1: Incentivizing Reasoning Capability in LLMs via Reinforcement Learning.
FutureX: An Advanced Live Benchmark for LLM Agents in Future Prediction DeepSeek-R1: Incentivizing Reasoning Capability in LLMs via Reinforcement Learning
Reference 9
- Resolution
- unresolved
- no resolver link, observed 2026-08-15T17:31:13.089118Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.
Observation fa19d272-f3d1-4064-8a45-80a99dc0088b · outbound
This paper cites Measuring massive multitask language understanding.
FutureX: An Advanced Live Benchmark for LLM Agents in Future Prediction Measuring massive multitask language understanding
Reference 10
- Resolution
- unresolved
- no resolver link, observed 2026-08-15T17:31:13.093866Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.
Observation 99966f50-ea3e-47c8-a6b4-07b5b267f69d · outbound
This paper cites Deep Research Agents: A Systematic Examination And Roadmap.
FutureX: An Advanced Live Benchmark for LLM Agents in Future Prediction Deep Research Agents: A Systematic Examination And Roadmap
Reference 11
- Resolution
- unresolved
- no resolver link, observed 2026-08-15T17:31:13.098417Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.
Observation 411280b0-8e7d-4bb6-b58d-897ec64d1531 · outbound
This paper cites LiveCodeBench: Holistic and Contamination Free Evaluation of Large Language Models for Code.
FutureX: An Advanced Live Benchmark for LLM Agents in Future Prediction LiveCodeBench: Holistic and Contamination Free Evaluation of Large Language Models for Code
Reference 12
- Resolution
- unresolved
- no resolver link, observed 2026-08-15T17:31:13.103114Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.
Observation c59bd6c5-ae23-40e1-948f-08b79835bb9a · outbound
This paper cites Swe-bench: Can language models resolve real-world github issues? InThe TwelfthInternational Conference on Learning Representations, 2024.
FutureX: An Advanced Live Benchmark for LLM Agents in Future Prediction Swe-bench: Can language models resolve real-world github issues? InThe TwelfthInternational Conference on Learning Representations, 2024
Reference 13
- Resolution
- unresolved
- no resolver link, observed 2026-08-15T17:31:13.107874Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.
Observation d7035609-437d-4f96-8ff7-ef3b6c8c7203 · outbound
This paper cites Forecastqa: A question answering challenge for event forecasting with temporal text data.
FutureX: An Advanced Live Benchmark for LLM Agents in Future Prediction Forecastqa: A question answering challenge for event forecasting with temporal text data
Reference 14
- Resolution
- unresolved
- no resolver link, observed 2026-08-15T17:31:13.112246Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.
Observation 46a199f1-f03c-4c35-9647-230c1c33c5ee · outbound
This paper cites Forecastbench: A dynamic benchmark of ai forecasting capabilities.
FutureX: An Advanced Live Benchmark for LLM Agents in Future Prediction Forecastbench: A dynamic benchmark of ai forecasting capabilities
Reference 15
- Resolution
- unresolved
- no resolver link, observed 2026-08-15T17:31:13.116505Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.
Observation 16f4c670-6f2e-4890-ba48-5fe977810206 · outbound
This paper cites Gonzalez, and Ion Stoica.
FutureX: An Advanced Live Benchmark for LLM Agents in Future Prediction Gonzalez, and Ion Stoica
Reference 16
- Resolution
- unresolved
- no resolver link, observed 2026-08-15T17:31:13.121019Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.
Observation c8c21130-530f-45e6-85d9-a459e45afe2b · outbound
This paper cites Agentbench: Evaluating llms as agents.
FutureX: An Advanced Live Benchmark for LLM Agents in Future Prediction Agentbench: Evaluating llms as agents
Reference 17
- Resolution
- unresolved
- no resolver link, observed 2026-08-15T17:31:13.125440Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.
Observation f7f83edb-7a6d-445c-8f57-fe2840b15a38 · outbound
This paper cites Gaia: a benchmark for general ai assistants.
FutureX: An Advanced Live Benchmark for LLM Agents in Future Prediction Gaia: a benchmark for general ai assistants
Reference 18
- Resolution
- unresolved
- no resolver link, observed 2026-08-15T17:31:13.130533Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.
Observation a8a428d5-e6af-4422-bf04-1c05f6421c9c · outbound
This paper cites Navigating Tomorrow: Reliably Assessing Large Language Models Performance on Future Event Prediction.
FutureX: An Advanced Live Benchmark for LLM Agents in Future Prediction Navigating Tomorrow: Reliably Assessing Large Language Models Performance on Future Event Prediction
Reference 19
- Resolution
- unresolved
- no resolver link, observed 2026-08-15T17:31:13.134859Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.
Observation 595e59bf-0ba2-4942-a057-20e9434b3a96 · outbound
This paper cites Introducing SWE-Bench verified, 2024.
FutureX: An Advanced Live Benchmark for LLM Agents in Future Prediction Introducing SWE-Bench verified, 2024
Reference 20
- Resolution
- unresolved
- no resolver link, observed 2026-08-15T17:31:13.139707Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.
Observation 99b2f3db-8100-4a17-9159-ba990cc53e40 · outbound
This paper cites Introducing deep research, 2025.
FutureX: An Advanced Live Benchmark for LLM Agents in Future Prediction Introducing deep research, 2025
Reference 21
- Resolution
- unresolved
- no resolver link, observed 2026-08-15T17:31:13.144153Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.
Observation 4e04179f-4312-42db-b81a-1ea31fa61dcb · outbound
This paper cites Pitfalls in Evaluating Language Model Forecasters.
FutureX: An Advanced Live Benchmark for LLM Agents in Future Prediction Pitfalls in Evaluating Language Model Forecasters
Reference 22
- Resolution
- unresolved
- no resolver link, observed 2026-08-15T17:31:13.148632Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.
Observation fcc28586-f289-4270-b69d-958a0be20b99 · outbound
This paper cites Training software engineering agents and verifiers with swe-gym.
FutureX: An Advanced Live Benchmark for LLM Agents in Future Prediction Training software engineering agents and verifiers with swe-gym
Reference 23
- Resolution
- unresolved
- no resolver link, observed 2026-08-15T17:31:13.153150Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.
Observation 28083c10-b729-4aae-997f-c48c9769f970 · outbound
This paper cites Generative Agents: Interactive Simulacra of Human Behavior.
FutureX: An Advanced Live Benchmark for LLM Agents in Future Prediction Generative Agents: Interactive Simulacra of Human Behavior
Reference 24
- Resolution
- unresolved
- no resolver link, observed 2026-08-15T17:31:13.157492Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.
Observation 62a37435-d5e6-49fe-8d9b-0ea0ffb32736 · outbound
This paper cites Open- source deepresearch – freeing our search agents, 2025.
FutureX: An Advanced Live Benchmark for LLM Agents in Future Prediction Open- source deepresearch – freeing our search agents, 2025
Reference 25
- Resolution
- unresolved
- no resolver link, observed 2026-08-15T17:31:13.162263Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.
Observation 0a86d6d8-10b8-4eb3-9a12-f9bea9e01228 · outbound
This paper cites ‘smola- gents‘: a smol library to build great agentic systems.https://github.com/huggingface/smolagents, 2025.
FutureX: An Advanced Live Benchmark for LLM Agents in Future Prediction ‘smola- gents‘: a smol library to build great agentic systems.https://github.com/huggingface/smolagents, 2025
Reference 26
- Resolution
- unresolved
- no resolver link, observed 2026-08-15T17:31:13.166970Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.
Observation fe37f0aa-3835-480c-b8f0-ba884b832dbc · outbound
This paper cites an unresolved cited work.
FutureX: An Advanced Live Benchmark for LLM Agents in Future Prediction Unresolved cited work
Reference 27
- Resolution
- unresolved
- no resolver link, observed 2026-08-15T17:31:13.171424Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.
Observation 575f892a-375a-4177-8df8-c4361484a34b · outbound
This paper cites Aime: Towards Fully-Autonomous Multi-Agent Framework.
FutureX: An Advanced Live Benchmark for LLM Agents in Future Prediction Aime: Towards Fully-Autonomous Multi-Agent Framework
Reference 28
- Resolution
- unresolved
- no resolver link, observed 2026-08-15T17:31:13.175711Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.
Observation 11458517-c073-48c1-bdee-09fe074be153 · outbound
This paper cites an unresolved cited work.
FutureX: An Advanced Live Benchmark for LLM Agents in Future Prediction Unresolved cited work
Reference 29
- Resolution
- unresolved
- no resolver link, observed 2026-08-15T17:31:13.180268Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.
Observation b7f6b38a-12b5-47ec-8ca2-9d5e08af573d · outbound
This paper cites Futurebench: Evaluating agents’ future prediction capabilities, 2025.
FutureX: An Advanced Live Benchmark for LLM Agents in Future Prediction Futurebench: Evaluating agents’ future prediction capabilities, 2025
Reference 30
- Resolution
- unresolved
- no resolver link, observed 2026-08-15T17:31:13.184735Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.
Observation 2b3ab6a0-f9b5-424c-809a-82452b308dff · outbound
This paper cites Superglue: A stickier benchmark for general-purpose language understanding systems.Advances in neural information processing systems, 32, 2019.
FutureX: An Advanced Live Benchmark for LLM Agents in Future Prediction Superglue: A stickier benchmark for general-purpose language understanding systems.Advances in neural information processing systems, 32, 2019
Reference 31
- Resolution
- unresolved
- no resolver link, observed 2026-08-15T17:31:13.189375Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.
Observation e36dc413-0095-4501-8c10-8d271cbf4040 · outbound
This paper cites BrowseComp: A Simple Yet Challenging Benchmark for Browsing Agents.
FutureX: An Advanced Live Benchmark for LLM Agents in Future Prediction BrowseComp: A Simple Yet Challenging Benchmark for Browsing Agents
Reference 33
- Resolution
- unresolved
- no resolver link, observed 2026-08-15T17:31:13.199520Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.
Observation a125ae74-d851-4901-a6d2-a7974fcc6c78 · outbound
This paper cites Livebench: A challenging, contamination-limited llm benchmark.
FutureX: An Advanced Live Benchmark for LLM Agents in Future Prediction Livebench: A challenging, contamination-limited llm benchmark
Reference 34
- Resolution
- unresolved
- no resolver link, observed 2026-08-15T17:31:13.204668Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.
Observation 96e3731a-e52c-4dc3-bfaa-b2cc7c812603 · outbound
This paper cites Bench to the Future: A Pastcasting Benchmark for Forecasting Agents.
FutureX: An Advanced Live Benchmark for LLM Agents in Future Prediction Bench to the Future: A Pastcasting Benchmark for Forecasting Agents
Reference 35
- Resolution
- unresolved
- no resolver link, observed 2026-08-15T17:31:13.209293Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.
Observation a4da1ea2-fac3-4ae1-8c68-a8f806f1ae16 · outbound
This paper cites Agentic reasoning: A streamlined framework for enhancing llm reasoning with agentic tools.
FutureX: An Advanced Live Benchmark for LLM Agents in Future Prediction Agentic reasoning: A streamlined framework for enhancing llm reasoning with agentic tools
Reference 36
- Resolution
- unresolved
- no resolver link, observed 2026-08-15T17:31:13.214269Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.
Observation e7976a1c-8123-4c6e-92ad-8bc047f2c5d6 · outbound
This paper cites Reasoning or memorization? unreliable results of reinforcement learning due to data contamination.
FutureX: An Advanced Live Benchmark for LLM Agents in Future Prediction Reasoning or memorization? unreliable results of reinforcement learning due to data contamination
Reference 37
- Resolution
- unresolved
- no resolver link, observed 2026-08-15T17:31:13.218894Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.
Observation b198f921-ab03-4e50-8a2f-c333763b787a · outbound
This paper cites Evaluation-driven development of llm agents: A process model and reference architecture.arXiv preprint arXiv:2411.13768, 2024.
FutureX: An Advanced Live Benchmark for LLM Agents in Future Prediction Evaluation-driven development of llm agents: A process model and reference architecture.arXiv preprint arXiv:2411.13768, 2024
Reference 38
- Resolution
- unresolved
- no resolver link, observed 2026-08-15T17:31:13.223580Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.
Observation fcc2eeb3-38b4-4b31-84c0-2a19f75e0681 · outbound
This paper cites SWE-smith: Scaling Data for Software Engineering Agents.
FutureX: An Advanced Live Benchmark for LLM Agents in Future Prediction SWE-smith: Scaling Data for Software Engineering Agents
Reference 39
- Resolution
- unresolved
- no resolver link, observed 2026-08-15T17:31:13.228055Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.
Observation 4e2dd0cc-3873-488c-81ae-cc79847d0f30 · outbound
This paper cites ReAct: Synergizing Reasoning and Acting in Language Models.
FutureX: An Advanced Live Benchmark for LLM Agents in Future Prediction ReAct: Synergizing Reasoning and Acting in Language Models
Reference 40
- Resolution
- unresolved
- no resolver link, observed 2026-08-15T17:31:13.232811Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.
Observation b09dc4a8-32a4-4a98-8c37-997bdb9d5e37 · outbound
This paper cites InThe Thirteenth International Conference on Learning Representations, 2025.
FutureX: An Advanced Live Benchmark for LLM Agents in Future Prediction InThe Thirteenth International Conference on Learning Representations, 2025
Reference 41
- Resolution
- unresolved
- no resolver link, observed 2026-08-15T17:31:13.237685Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.
Observation ec20545b-2014-4374-8bbf-7be8daae8e1e · outbound
This paper cites Survey on Evaluation of LLM-based Agents.
FutureX: An Advanced Live Benchmark for LLM Agents in Future Prediction Survey on Evaluation of LLM-based Agents
Reference 42
- Resolution
- unresolved
- no resolver link, observed 2026-08-15T17:31:13.242855Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.
Observation ac2ee386-e9af-44a8-8cd9-da6b984c0dee · outbound
This paper cites Multi-SWE-bench: A Multilingual Benchmark for Issue Resolving.
FutureX: An Advanced Live Benchmark for LLM Agents in Future Prediction Multi-SWE-bench: A Multilingual Benchmark for Issue Resolving
Reference 43
- Resolution
- unresolved
- no resolver link, observed 2026-08-15T17:31:13.248076Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.
Observation 9e6febb5-a5c9-4ff8-bcf6-7c7a87d49f36 · outbound
This paper cites SWE-bench Goes Live!.
FutureX: An Advanced Live Benchmark for LLM Agents in Future Prediction SWE-bench Goes Live!
Reference 44
- Resolution
- unresolved
- no resolver link, observed 2026-08-15T17:31:13.253120Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.
Observation 6b93d9c8-d4bc-4972-a966-081067e35044 · outbound
This paper cites AgentOrchestra: Orchestrating Multi-Agent Intelligence with the Tool-Environment-Agent(TEA) Protocol.
FutureX: An Advanced Live Benchmark for LLM Agents in Future Prediction AgentOrchestra: Orchestrating Multi-Agent Intelligence with the Tool-Environment-Agent(TEA) Protocol
Reference 45
- Resolution
- unresolved
- no resolver link, observed 2026-08-15T17:31:13.258482Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.
Observation c6c0f200-bfa0-42ee-9b0b-e131aadd1faf · outbound
This paper cites DeepResearcher: Scaling Deep Research via Reinforcement Learning in Real-world Environments.
FutureX: An Advanced Live Benchmark for LLM Agents in Future Prediction DeepResearcher: Scaling Deep Research via Reinforcement Learning in Real-world Environments
Reference 46
- Resolution
- unresolved
- no resolver link, observed 2026-08-15T17:31:13.263751Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.
Observation 86a3ce32-afab-462b-90b3-48c24337f553 · outbound
This paper cites Webarena: A realistic web environment for building autonomous agents.
FutureX: An Advanced Live Benchmark for LLM Agents in Future Prediction Webarena: A realistic web environment for building autonomous agents
Reference 47
- Resolution
- unresolved
- no resolver link, observed 2026-08-15T17:31:13.268572Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.
Observation 731392de-e4a5-485d-ac47-b90a3ef3773a · outbound
This paper cites Forecasting future world events with neural networks.Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems, 35:27293–27305, 2022.
FutureX: An Advanced Live Benchmark for LLM Agents in Future Prediction Forecasting future world events with neural networks.Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems, 35:27293–27305, 2022
Reference 48
- Resolution
- unresolved
- no resolver link, observed 2026-08-15T17:31:13.272893Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.
Observation 84905bf1-319a-4166-8968-54e2479041a2 · outbound
This paper cites an unresolved cited work.
FutureX: An Advanced Live Benchmark for LLM Agents in Future Prediction Unresolved cited work
Reference 49
- Resolution
- unresolved
- no resolver link, observed 2026-08-15T17:31:13.277472Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.
Observation 03353162-8d80-40a0-aecf-ffc48c487b3d · outbound
This paper cites an unresolved cited work.
FutureX: An Advanced Live Benchmark for LLM Agents in Future Prediction Unresolved cited work
Reference 50
- Resolution
- unresolved
- no resolver link, observed 2026-08-15T17:31:13.282248Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.
Observation e70aef98-63f5-419e-ad3a-f21e055afc42 · outbound
This paper cites an unresolved cited work.
FutureX: An Advanced Live Benchmark for LLM Agents in Future Prediction Unresolved cited work
Reference 51
- Resolution
- unresolved
- no resolver link, observed 2026-08-15T17:31:13.287275Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.
Observation aa821438-690d-45bf-8054-156466c980a4 · outbound
This paper cites garbage in, garbage out,.
FutureX: An Advanced Live Benchmark for LLM Agents in Future Prediction garbage in, garbage out,
Reference 52
- Resolution
- unresolved
- no resolver link, observed 2026-08-15T17:31:13.292239Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.
Observation 3c2bd199-99bc-4288-96b6-5c86b7a1d0ab · outbound
This paper cites an unresolved cited work.
FutureX: An Advanced Live Benchmark for LLM Agents in Future Prediction Unresolved cited work
Reference 53
- Resolution
- unresolved
- no resolver link, observed 2026-08-15T17:31:13.297228Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.
Observation fabee5a3-641c-40c5-ba64-f9aab250c7e9 · outbound
This paper cites an unresolved cited work.
FutureX: An Advanced Live Benchmark for LLM Agents in Future Prediction Unresolved cited work
Reference 54
- Resolution
- unresolved
- no resolver link, observed 2026-08-15T17:31:13.301909Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.
Observation eb60427c-bdb4-4b2e-8433-843d3c985325 · outbound
This paper cites national security threat.
FutureX: An Advanced Live Benchmark for LLM Agents in Future Prediction national security threat
Reference 55
- Resolution
- unresolved
- no resolver link, observed 2026-08-15T17:31:13.306396Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.
Observation fe5ae9da-07cb-4e31-b057-d85b99b6fcda · outbound
This paper cites an unresolved cited work.
FutureX: An Advanced Live Benchmark for LLM Agents in Future Prediction Unresolved cited work
Reference 56
- Resolution
- unresolved
- no resolver link, observed 2026-08-15T17:31:13.311277Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.
Observation fe5a9f18-51e8-4f46-b667-a00c554b9a7e · outbound
This paper cites Such large-scale protests carry a high risk of violence.
FutureX: An Advanced Live Benchmark for LLM Agents in Future Prediction Such large-scale protests carry a high risk of violence
Reference 57
- Resolution
- unresolved
- no resolver link, observed 2026-08-15T17:31:13.316073Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.
Observation 30d2283b-c30c-4348-8644-18658c9da1e4 · outbound
This paper cites an unresolved cited work.
FutureX: An Advanced Live Benchmark for LLM Agents in Future Prediction Unresolved cited work
Reference 58
- Resolution
- unresolved
- no resolver link, observed 2026-08-15T17:31:13.321343Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.
Observation 41d68e04-a62d-46eb-aa42-251faa3beb79 · outbound
This paper cites Expert analysis points out that there are fundamental differences between these riots and the 1992 Los Angeles riots.
FutureX: An Advanced Live Benchmark for LLM Agents in Future Prediction Expert analysis points out that there are fundamental differences between these riots and the 1992 Los Angeles riots
Reference 59
- Resolution
- unresolved
- no resolver link, observed 2026-08-15T17:31:13.325762Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.
Observation 35ec77a6-80ab-45e4-8293-84a65c6cfff2 · outbound
This paper cites This prediction is based on the current relatively stable death toll trend and the likely scale of conflicts.
FutureX: An Advanced Live Benchmark for LLM Agents in Future Prediction This prediction is based on the current relatively stable death toll trend and the likely scale of conflicts
Reference 60
- Resolution
- unresolved
- no resolver link, observed 2026-08-15T17:31:13.330133Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.
Observation 55e2af5e-8b07-43c4-b1e0-202a8b561190 · outbound
This paper cites an unresolved cited work.
FutureX: An Advanced Live Benchmark for LLM Agents in Future Prediction Unresolved cited work
Reference 61
- Resolution
- unresolved
- no resolver link, observed 2026-08-15T17:31:13.334516Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.
Observation 97491c14-4151-48a7-a077-0f498a5b0101 · outbound
This paper cites However, given the current military deployment and law enforcement capabilities, the possibility of this happening is relatively low.
FutureX: An Advanced Live Benchmark for LLM Agents in Future Prediction However, given the current military deployment and law enforcement capabilities, the possibility of this happening is relatively low
Reference 62
- Resolution
- unresolved
- no resolver link, observed 2026-08-15T17:31:13.339088Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.
Observation 866a9025-ebb2-4791-ab78-33d2f3f3fdcf · outbound
This paper cites an unresolved cited work.
FutureX: An Advanced Live Benchmark for LLM Agents in Future Prediction Unresolved cited work
Reference 63
- Resolution
- unresolved
- no resolver link, observed 2026-08-15T17:31:13.343504Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.
Observation 009d78aa-cecc-4c0b-9bb5-9fd16a2ffb1d · outbound
This paper cites 3.Impact of sudden events: Unexpected incidents, such as the July 18 explosion, could cause a sudden increase in the death toll.
FutureX: An Advanced Live Benchmark for LLM Agents in Future Prediction 3.Impact of sudden events: Unexpected incidents, such as the July 18 explosion, could cause a sudden increase in the death toll
Reference 64
- Resolution
- unresolved
- no resolver link, observed 2026-08-15T17:31:13.347896Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.
Observation e58bcca7-f663-4ef2-bf09-560a5eb70d21 · outbound
This paper cites an unresolved cited work.
FutureX: An Advanced Live Benchmark for LLM Agents in Future Prediction Unresolved cited work
Reference 65
- Resolution
- unresolved
- no resolver link, observed 2026-08-15T17:31:13.352767Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.
Observation 74712de4-f950-4307-a621-ebab28ad3aee · outbound
This paper cites an unresolved cited work.
FutureX: An Advanced Live Benchmark for LLM Agents in Future Prediction Unresolved cited work
Reference 66
- Resolution
- unresolved
- no resolver link, observed 2026-08-15T17:31:13.357253Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.
Observation 1452907f-ca67-469a-a2a2-36fde3fdfe0e · outbound
This paper cites The outcome be $4400 B.
FutureX: An Advanced Live Benchmark for LLM Agents in Future Prediction The outcome be $4400 B
Reference 67
- Resolution
- unresolved
- no resolver link, observed 2026-08-15T17:31:13.361620Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.
Observation 87e6190a-a8c5-4c54-a0e4-adae58556e30 · outbound
This paper cites Facts given in the task • The event to be predicted concerns the price of Ethereum (ETH) during the week of July 21-27, 2025, with reference time around 2025-07-28T04:00:00Z.
FutureX: An Advanced Live Benchmark for LLM Agents in Future Prediction Facts given in the task • The event to be predicted concerns the price of Ethereum (ETH) during the week of July 21-27, 2025, with reference time around 2025-07-28T04:00:00Z
Reference 68
- Resolution
- unresolved
- no resolver link, observed 2026-08-15T17:31:13.365900Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.
Observation bd81b2e7-0c6e-4880-ab9a-b52a7b2a244f · outbound
This paper cites an unresolved cited work.
FutureX: An Advanced Live Benchmark for LLM Agents in Future Prediction Unresolved cited work
Reference 69
- Resolution
- unresolved
- raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-15T17:31:15.003391Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-18T06:34:40.430872+00:00.
Observation 15311de4-5105-4e84-8319-5c80fd0e8420 · outbound
This paper cites an unresolved cited work.
FutureX: An Advanced Live Benchmark for LLM Agents in Future Prediction Unresolved cited work
Reference 70
- Resolution
- unresolved
- raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-15T17:31:14.989248Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-18T06:34:40.430872+00:00.
Observation a0c87a0f-8194-4823-beac-2b541fa2d808 · outbound
This paper cites an unresolved cited work.
FutureX: An Advanced Live Benchmark for LLM Agents in Future Prediction Unresolved cited work
Reference 71
- Resolution
- unresolved
- raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-15T17:31:14.975454Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-18T06:34:40.430872+00:00.
Observation 63e4ec1e-f04d-4f36-9b07-e5e5889b0cd5 · outbound
This paper cites an unresolved cited work.
FutureX: An Advanced Live Benchmark for LLM Agents in Future Prediction Unresolved cited work
Reference 72
- Resolution
- unresolved
- raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-15T17:31:14.961745Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-18T06:34:40.430872+00:00.
Observation b2796fe9-95d3-4bf7-8f63-5b60f06631f3 · outbound
This paper cites an unresolved cited work.
FutureX: An Advanced Live Benchmark for LLM Agents in Future Prediction Unresolved cited work
Reference 73
- Resolution
- unresolved
- raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-15T17:31:14.947774Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-18T06:34:40.430872+00:00.
Observation 161809d5-c3fa-4e2d-ae26-84dbd87486f6 · outbound
This paper cites an unresolved cited work.
FutureX: An Advanced Live Benchmark for LLM Agents in Future Prediction Unresolved cited work
Reference 74
- Resolution
- unresolved
- raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-15T17:31:14.932686Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-18T06:34:40.430872+00:00.
Observation fd7caa45-fc5c-434a-86a1-7bedec5406e8 · outbound
This paper cites an unresolved cited work.
FutureX: An Advanced Live Benchmark for LLM Agents in Future Prediction Unresolved cited work
Reference 75
- Resolution
- unresolved
- raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-15T17:31:14.918941Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-18T06:34:40.430872+00:00.
Observation 8336dcf8-000c-4de9-8d38-c1d4d9cebe3a · outbound
This paper cites 42 Gemini-2.5-pro.
FutureX: An Advanced Live Benchmark for LLM Agents in Future Prediction 42 Gemini-2.5-pro
Reference 76
- Resolution
- verified fuzzy
- raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-15T17:31:14.904379Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-18T06:34:40.430872+00:00.
Observation df9ff1d1-7da4-4078-9d60-c41c504810d7 · outbound
This paper cites Facts given in the task •Asset to Predict:Ethereum (ETH).
FutureX: An Advanced Live Benchmark for LLM Agents in Future Prediction Facts given in the task •Asset to Predict:Ethereum (ETH)
Reference 77
- Resolution
- verified fuzzy
- raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-15T17:31:14.888827Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-18T06:34:40.430872+00:00.
Observation 291d647e-c743-4212-bd43-7915bcc31df5 · outbound
This paper cites an unresolved cited work.
FutureX: An Advanced Live Benchmark for LLM Agents in Future Prediction Unresolved cited work
Reference 78
- Resolution
- unresolved
- raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-15T17:31:14.874271Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-18T06:34:40.430872+00:00.
Observation c12f337a-5e3e-4aa2-8c93-bc8cd111451f · outbound
This paper cites an unresolved cited work.
FutureX: An Advanced Live Benchmark for LLM Agents in Future Prediction Unresolved cited work
Reference 79
- Resolution
- unresolved
- raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-15T17:31:14.860123Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-18T06:34:40.430872+00:00.
Observation a4d99c5d-736d-4acb-910f-cf643af46602 · outbound
This paper cites an unresolved cited work.
FutureX: An Advanced Live Benchmark for LLM Agents in Future Prediction Unresolved cited work
Reference 80
- Resolution
- unresolved
- raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-15T17:31:14.845814Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-18T06:34:40.430872+00:00.
Observation dc8d5b37-85b4-4038-ad43-ed8ed9dfa4ca · outbound
This paper cites an unresolved cited work.
FutureX: An Advanced Live Benchmark for LLM Agents in Future Prediction Unresolved cited work
Reference 81
- Resolution
- unresolved
- raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-15T17:31:14.831522Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-18T06:34:40.430872+00:00.
Observation fcf0e367-49b1-4a41-ba3b-ac4ec2b97c39 · outbound
This paper cites an unresolved cited work.
FutureX: An Advanced Live Benchmark for LLM Agents in Future Prediction Unresolved cited work
Reference 82
- Resolution
- unresolved
- raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-15T17:31:14.816862Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-18T06:34:40.430872+00:00.
Observation ffb2ea24-33f8-4f24-ae0d-a3001bafa800 · outbound
This paper cites an unresolved cited work.
FutureX: An Advanced Live Benchmark for LLM Agents in Future Prediction Unresolved cited work
Reference 83
- Resolution
- unresolved
- raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-15T17:31:14.802772Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-18T06:34:40.430872+00:00.
Observation c1dbb9cb-4f35-4f78-a560-a1026226d05f · outbound
This paper cites an unresolved cited work.
FutureX: An Advanced Live Benchmark for LLM Agents in Future Prediction Unresolved cited work
Reference 84
- Resolution
- unresolved
- raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-15T17:31:14.788685Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-18T06:34:40.430872+00:00.
Observation 6f0d7a7f-6b08-4b76-a796-6916eef6c351 · outbound
This paper cites Qwen3-32B.
FutureX: An Advanced Live Benchmark for LLM Agents in Future Prediction Qwen3-32B
Reference 85
- Resolution
- verified fuzzy
- raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-15T17:31:14.774247Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-18T06:34:40.430872+00:00.
Observation 0fdbf1da-f88c-45c0-9561-a4648ae1461e · outbound
This paper cites Facts given in the task •The event to predict is the price of Ethereum (ETH) on July 21–27, around 2025-07-28T04:00:00Z.
FutureX: An Advanced Live Benchmark for LLM Agents in Future Prediction Facts given in the task •The event to predict is the price of Ethereum (ETH) on July 21–27, around 2025-07-28T04:00:00Z
Reference 86
- Resolution
- verified fuzzy
- raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-15T17:31:14.760567Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-18T06:34:40.430872+00:00.
Observation 2f4c58d9-1863-4c7b-9fad-959d2bf5c898 · outbound
This paper cites an unresolved cited work.
FutureX: An Advanced Live Benchmark for LLM Agents in Future Prediction Unresolved cited work
Reference 87
- Resolution
- unresolved
- raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-15T17:31:14.745951Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-18T06:34:40.430872+00:00.
Observation 0a630874-a843-4293-94db-8cbd9a544a28 · outbound
This paper cites an unresolved cited work.
FutureX: An Advanced Live Benchmark for LLM Agents in Future Prediction Unresolved cited work
Reference 88
- Resolution
- unresolved
- raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-15T17:31:14.731375Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-18T06:34:40.430872+00:00.
Observation 2c228e12-55d6-49a7-a702-e27cd9472bc3 · outbound
This paper cites an unresolved cited work.
FutureX: An Advanced Live Benchmark for LLM Agents in Future Prediction Unresolved cited work
Reference 89
- Resolution
- unresolved
- raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-15T17:31:14.717073Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-18T06:34:40.430872+00:00.
Observation 334058a2-f015-47b5-9154-bd6185337db6 · outbound
This paper cites an unresolved cited work.
FutureX: An Advanced Live Benchmark for LLM Agents in Future Prediction Unresolved cited work
Reference 90
- Resolution
- unresolved
- raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-15T17:31:14.699578Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-18T06:34:40.430872+00:00.
Observation c89961d0-44db-4f33-99cc-7da27db35764 · outbound
This paper cites an unresolved cited work.
FutureX: An Advanced Live Benchmark for LLM Agents in Future Prediction Unresolved cited work
Reference 91
- Resolution
- unresolved
- raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-15T17:31:14.685211Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-18T06:34:40.430872+00:00.
Observation dce13aa0-8524-4194-913a-5ac3586e4132 · outbound
This paper cites an unresolved cited work.
FutureX: An Advanced Live Benchmark for LLM Agents in Future Prediction Unresolved cited work
Reference 92
- Resolution
- unresolved
- raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-15T17:31:14.671242Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-18T06:34:40.430872+00:00.
Observation de2d2a2d-ecde-41d2-9b4d-c0c69a6c884a · outbound
This paper cites Deepseek-V3.
FutureX: An Advanced Live Benchmark for LLM Agents in Future Prediction Deepseek-V3
Reference 93
- Resolution
- verified fuzzy
- raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-15T17:31:14.657294Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-18T06:34:40.430872+00:00.
Observation 1d5c67b0-5cc9-462b-87c6-227198f98191 · outbound
This paper cites Facts given in the task •The event to predict is the price of Ethereum (ETH) between July 21–27, 2025.
FutureX: An Advanced Live Benchmark for LLM Agents in Future Prediction Facts given in the task •The event to predict is the price of Ethereum (ETH) between July 21–27, 2025
Reference 94
- Resolution
- verified fuzzy
- raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-15T17:31:14.642475Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-18T06:34:40.430872+00:00.
Observation 4aa41563-9a84-4d62-bca5-db5ffc53850d · outbound
This paper cites an unresolved cited work.
FutureX: An Advanced Live Benchmark for LLM Agents in Future Prediction Unresolved cited work
Reference 95
- Resolution
- unresolved
- raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-15T17:31:14.627270Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-18T06:34:40.430872+00:00.
Observation 0adfdabc-b8ad-433a-8bbe-2cabd1c14006 · outbound
This paper cites an unresolved cited work.
FutureX: An Advanced Live Benchmark for LLM Agents in Future Prediction Unresolved cited work
Reference 96
- Resolution
- unresolved
- raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-15T17:31:14.612729Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-18T06:34:40.430872+00:00.
Observation bfacc286-de84-454a-85fa-311897c468ff · outbound
This paper cites an unresolved cited work.
FutureX: An Advanced Live Benchmark for LLM Agents in Future Prediction Unresolved cited work
Reference 97
- Resolution
- unresolved
- raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-15T17:31:14.598548Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-18T06:34:40.430872+00:00.
Observation 1df13b53-74d7-4ce7-92e1-acd5724afb3b · outbound
This paper cites an unresolved cited work.
FutureX: An Advanced Live Benchmark for LLM Agents in Future Prediction Unresolved cited work
Reference 98
- Resolution
- unresolved
- raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-15T17:31:14.584200Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-18T06:34:40.430872+00:00.
Observation 01e55be7-9586-4704-8039-8fd4e92c2f50 · outbound
This paper cites an unresolved cited work.
FutureX: An Advanced Live Benchmark for LLM Agents in Future Prediction Unresolved cited work
Reference 99
- Resolution
- unresolved
- raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-15T17:31:14.570150Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-18T06:34:40.430872+00:00.
Observation c7c744a2-24ea-4cb2-a54b-5fb286f21f93 · outbound
This paper cites an unresolved cited work.
FutureX: An Advanced Live Benchmark for LLM Agents in Future Prediction Unresolved cited work
Reference 100
- Resolution
- unresolved
- raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-15T17:31:14.555747Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-18T06:34:40.430872+00:00.
Observation 1e0a6982-0c61-4e84-a9da-8e54c34b214f · outbound
This paper cites B,C,D,E GPT-4o-mini.
FutureX: An Advanced Live Benchmark for LLM Agents in Future Prediction B,C,D,E GPT-4o-mini
Reference 101
- Resolution
- verified fuzzy
- raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-15T17:31:14.540620Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-18T06:34:40.430872+00:00.
Pith citing papers
Observation 2c6923c7-26be-4d64-987e-d9bbd48a801e · inbound
CryptoBench: A Dynamic Benchmark for Expert-Level Evaluation of LLM Agents in Cryptocurrency cites this paper.
CryptoBench: A Dynamic Benchmark for Expert-Level Evaluation of LLM Agents in Cryptocurrency FutureX: An Advanced Live Benchmark for LLM Agents in Future Prediction
Reference 10
- Resolution
- verified exact
- arxiv_id, observed 2026-05-21T19:04:19.002830Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-18T06:34:40.430872+00:00.
Observation 9423e84a-2c86-49ad-8a40-bf144231d01e · inbound
FutureOmni: Evaluating Future Forecasting from Omni-Modal Context for Multimodal LLMs cites this paper.
FutureOmni: Evaluating Future Forecasting from Omni-Modal Context for Multimodal LLMs FutureX: An Advanced Live Benchmark for LLM Agents in Future Prediction
Reference 48
- Resolution
- unresolved
- no resolver link, observed 2026-08-03T09:30:02.970530Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.
Observation 196c64bf-89fb-413e-b28c-2b56b81bc7d9 · inbound
AlphaForgeBench: Benchmarking End-to-End Trading Strategy Design with Large Language Models cites this paper.
AlphaForgeBench: Benchmarking End-to-End Trading Strategy Design with Large Language Models FutureX: An Advanced Live Benchmark for LLM Agents in Future Prediction
Reference 19
- Resolution
- unresolved
- no resolver link, observed 2026-08-03T02:44:07.502114Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.
Observation 4086e844-9e3c-4fcb-a18a-802f58fa529d · inbound
Can Large Language Models Derive New Knowledge? A Dynamic Benchmark for Biological Knowledge Discovery cites this paper.
Can Large Language Models Derive New Knowledge? A Dynamic Benchmark for Biological Knowledge Discovery FutureX: An Advanced Live Benchmark for LLM Agents in Future Prediction
Reference 34
- Resolution
- unresolved
- no resolver link, observed 2026-08-03T02:57:48.014062Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.
Observation 1ed7b871-1ccc-472f-a463-cf997e854763 · inbound
PolyBench: Benchmarking LLM Forecasting and Trading Capabilities on Live Prediction Market Data cites this paper.
PolyBench: Benchmarking LLM Forecasting and Trading Capabilities on Live Prediction Market Data FutureX: An Advanced Live Benchmark for LLM Agents in Future Prediction
Reference 24
- Resolution
- verified exact
- arxiv_id, observed 2026-05-13T19:18:09.288034Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-18T06:34:40.430872+00:00.
Observation 48732151-1919-4c5f-8780-dd801c8c8892 · inbound
Harnessing Pre-Resolution Signals for Future Prediction Agents cites this paper.
Harnessing Pre-Resolution Signals for Future Prediction Agents FutureX: An Advanced Live Benchmark for LLM Agents in Future Prediction
Reference 13
- Resolution
- metadata mismatch
- arxiv_id, observed 2026-05-10T09:03:25.199111Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-18T06:34:40.430872+00:00.
Observation 556baddc-4576-4710-9977-bf4e6dec3c1d · inbound
Harnessing Pre-Resolution Signals for Future Prediction Agents cites this paper.
Harnessing Pre-Resolution Signals for Future Prediction Agents FutureX: An Advanced Live Benchmark for LLM Agents in Future Prediction
Reference 13
- Resolution
- metadata mismatch
- arxiv_id, observed 2026-05-11T04:00:56.119896Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-18T06:34:40.430872+00:00.
Observation d91d3864-7724-4c92-a51f-c4df51d6db85 · inbound
Agentic Forecasting using Sequential Bayesian Updating of Linguistic Beliefs cites this paper.
Agentic Forecasting using Sequential Bayesian Updating of Linguistic Beliefs FutureX: An Advanced Live Benchmark for LLM Agents in Future Prediction
Reference 49
- Resolution
- verified exact
- arxiv_id, observed 2026-05-11T12:06:01.774340Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-18T06:34:40.430872+00:00.
Observation 62d6fa52-153a-4b9f-a7e6-ed961892fe05 · inbound
Agentic Forecasting using Sequential Bayesian Updating of Linguistic Beliefs cites this paper.
Agentic Forecasting using Sequential Bayesian Updating of Linguistic Beliefs FutureX: An Advanced Live Benchmark for LLM Agents in Future Prediction
Reference 49
- Resolution
- unresolved
- no resolver link, observed 2026-07-14T19:33:20.775008Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.
Observation 7f40aaea-1d2a-4ee3-9c25-17e7c5d5a533 · inbound
Analytica: Soft Propositional Reasoning for Robust and Scalable LLM-Driven Analysis cites this paper.
Analytica: Soft Propositional Reasoning for Robust and Scalable LLM-Driven Analysis FutureX: An Advanced Live Benchmark for LLM Agents in Future Prediction
Reference 5
- Resolution
- malformed identifier
- arxiv_id, observed 2026-05-11T19:36:13.304505Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-18T06:34:40.430872+00:00.
Observation 955955d4-8963-4547-b622-7ae398e2a2f3 · inbound
LATTICE: Evaluating Decision Support Utility of Crypto Agents cites this paper.
LATTICE: Evaluating Decision Support Utility of Crypto Agents FutureX: An Advanced Live Benchmark for LLM Agents in Future Prediction
Reference 5
- Resolution
- verified exact
- arxiv_id, observed 2026-05-12T08:56:25.143219Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-18T06:34:40.430872+00:00.
Observation 8db14471-a901-48f8-9ca3-f91bbcee7cea · inbound
KellyBench: A Benchmark for Long-Horizon Sequential Decision Making cites this paper.
KellyBench: A Benchmark for Long-Horizon Sequential Decision Making FutureX: An Advanced Live Benchmark for LLM Agents in Future Prediction
Reference 4
- Resolution
- metadata mismatch
- arxiv_id, observed 2026-05-09T05:05:11.975393Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-18T06:34:40.430872+00:00.
Observation 9c033e61-f46c-49ea-9e12-1086b2fcf378 · inbound
OracleProto: A Reproducible Framework for Benchmarking LLM Native Forecasting via Knowledge Cutoff and Temporal Masking cites this paper.
OracleProto: A Reproducible Framework for Benchmarking LLM Native Forecasting via Knowledge Cutoff and Temporal Masking FutureX: An Advanced Live Benchmark for LLM Agents in Future Prediction
Reference 14
- Resolution
- metadata mismatch
- arxiv_id, observed 2026-05-11T23:41:16.903338Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-18T06:34:40.430872+00:00.
Observation c05e631b-632c-4b40-a531-c32f67559898 · inbound
Scientific reasoning does not reliably translate into scientific forecasting in frontier AI cites this paper.
Scientific reasoning does not reliably translate into scientific forecasting in frontier AI FutureX: An Advanced Live Benchmark for LLM Agents in Future Prediction
Reference 22
- Resolution
- verified exact
- arxiv_id, observed 2026-05-22T05:21:07.417427Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-18T06:34:40.430872+00:00.
Observation 072fb71f-1a39-485a-b248-f830b7ee8264 · inbound
Scientific reasoning does not reliably translate into scientific forecasting in frontier AI cites this paper.
Scientific reasoning does not reliably translate into scientific forecasting in frontier AI FutureX: An Advanced Live Benchmark for LLM Agents in Future Prediction
Reference 22
- Resolution
- unresolved
- no resolver link, observed 2026-08-02T13:31:44.585483Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.
Observation 678056fa-82c0-40f5-a614-ed54691b3b26 · inbound
ForeSci: Evaluating LLM Agents for Forward-Looking AI Research Judgment cites this paper.
ForeSci: Evaluating LLM Agents for Forward-Looking AI Research Judgment FutureX: An Advanced Live Benchmark for LLM Agents in Future Prediction
Reference 32
- Resolution
- metadata mismatch
- arxiv_id, observed 2026-06-28T19:52:35.956187Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-18T06:34:40.430872+00:00.
Observation 8c22fc98-30b1-46c3-bb82-0facb0491dc9 · inbound
WorldReasoner: Evaluating Whether Language Model Agents Forecast Events with Valid Reasoning cites this paper.
WorldReasoner: Evaluating Whether Language Model Agents Forecast Events with Valid Reasoning FutureX: An Advanced Live Benchmark for LLM Agents in Future Prediction
Reference 45
- Resolution
- verified exact
- arxiv_id, observed 2026-07-03T10:58:02.668078Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-18T06:34:40.430872+00:00.
Observation 0e6c6222-9efe-4c32-b7eb-4f429394aa3d · inbound
Agentic Time Machine as an Infrastructure for Future-Event Forecasting cites this paper.
Agentic Time Machine as an Infrastructure for Future-Event Forecasting FutureX: An Advanced Live Benchmark for LLM Agents in Future Prediction
Reference 27
- Resolution
- verified exact
- arxiv_id, observed 2026-07-04T06:09:38.138934Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-18T06:34:40.430872+00:00.
Observation 90fd05a4-882d-4a58-b040-a52f4bdb448e · inbound
Diverse Evidence, Better Forecasts: Multi-Agent Deliberation Under Information Asymmetry cites this paper.
Diverse Evidence, Better Forecasts: Multi-Agent Deliberation Under Information Asymmetry FutureX: An Advanced Live Benchmark for LLM Agents in Future Prediction
Reference 22
- Resolution
- metadata mismatch
- arxiv_id, observed 2026-07-03T14:48:32.575741Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-18T06:34:40.430872+00:00.
Observation 498f3c86-cc5f-413e-9032-7a07a0b7f324 · inbound
Decentralized Aggregation of LLM Predictions via Wagering Mechanisms cites this paper.
Decentralized Aggregation of LLM Predictions via Wagering Mechanisms FutureX: An Advanced Live Benchmark for LLM Agents in Future Prediction
Reference 37
- Resolution
- unresolved
- no resolver link, observed 2026-07-11T19:31:58.491532Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.
Observation 7ad694f1-29a4-478e-b721-53ff65c4dce3 · inbound
SocietyBench: Forecasting Counterfactual Social-World Evolution cites this paper.
SocietyBench: Forecasting Counterfactual Social-World Evolution FutureX: An Advanced Live Benchmark for LLM Agents in Future Prediction
Reference 203
- Resolution
- unresolved
- no resolver link, observed 2026-08-10T04:29:41.376395Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.