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INDEX

Every paper Pith has read and judged, in one searchable index.

8,759 reviewed papers in stat · newest first · page 11

Pith rank means recent reader upvotes with each upvote's ranking weight halved after 24 hours. The archive itself is sorted by arXiv submission date.

  1. econ.EM arXiv submitted 2026-07-20
    RAG policy regret splits into retrieval plus ranking loss

    Masahiro Kato +1 · “Vector Search As Nearest Neighbor Matching: RAG-based Policy Learning in Causal Inference”

    2607.18225
  2. math.ST arXiv submitted 2026-07-20
    Intersecting loading spaces uncovers transferable latent factors

    Yihong Gu +2 · “Unveiling Invariant and Transferable Latent Factors Across Heterogeneous Environments via ATLAS”

    2607.18209
  3. cs.LG arXiv submitted 2026-07-20
    Digital twin detects drift, then fine-tunes <1% of parameters

    Yi-Ping Chen +5 · “A Continual Validation, Updating, and Decision-Making Framework for Self-Adaptive Digital Twins via Robust Model Predictive Control: A Case Study in Additive Manufacturing”

    2607.18164
  4. stat.ML arXiv submitted 2026-07-20
    Subgroup fairness gap equals a covariance

    Kyungseon Lee +4 · “COVAriance-Induced Fairness Gap Penalty for Subgroup-Fair Clustering”

    2607.18119
  5. q-bio.PE arXiv submitted 2026-07-20
    Level-wise recursion gives exact outbreak and duration distributions

    Vasileios E. Papageorgiou +2 · “Evaluating the Impact of Epidemic Control via State-Dependent Markovian Switching Modeling”

    2607.18364
  6. stat.AP arXiv submitted 2026-07-20
    Mixture of binomial and bi-uniform fits sex-ratio data best

    J\"urgen Gro{\ss} · “A binomial-like probability distribution with heavy tails”

    2607.18083
  7. stat.AP arXiv submitted 2026-07-20
    Brow lowering predicts driver rage in Bayesian network

    Za\"ira M\'endez-Porcar +4 · “Predicting subjective rage and facial expressions in human driving: A Bayesian network approach with beta-distributed nodes”

    2607.18030
  8. stat.ME arXiv submitted 2026-07-20
    Bayesian model finds real dispersion in football team scoring

    Nick Zhang +2 · “Bayesian Conway-Maxwell-Poisson model with spike-and slab priors for dispersed count data with application to football scores”

    2607.18009
  9. cs.LG arXiv submitted 2026-07-20
    ρ=0.94: cluster fragments inside TabPFN predict its errors

    James Hu +1 · “Topological Signatures of Context-Level Reliability in TabPFN”

    2607.17962
  10. stat.AP arXiv submitted 2026-07-20
    Federated mediation matches pooled-data results

    Hyojung Jang +7 · “Privacy-preserving causal mediation analysis using distributed electronic health record networks”

    2607.17958
  11. stat.ME arXiv submitted 2026-07-20
    Resampling erases time sensitivity in unbounded-timer models

    Gabriel Dengler +2 · “A Taxonomy of Distance Metrics for Time-Sensitive Importance Splitting: Timer Bounds, Resampling, and the Global Age”

    2607.17939
  12. stat.AP arXiv submitted 2026-07-20
    Tumour scans forecast trial survival 8 months early

    Karim Naguib +6 · “PIONEER: Bayesian Joint Modelling of Mechanistic Tumour Growth and Time-to-Event Endpoints for Dynamic Prediction of Ongoing Oncology Trials”

    2607.17908
  13. math.ST arXiv submitted 2026-07-20
    Truncated signatures learn smooth path functionals at rate K^{-2γ}

    Blanka Horvath +4 · “How Fast Do Signatures Learn? Statistical Theory and Applications for Path Regression”

    2607.17865
  14. stat.ME arXiv submitted 2026-07-20
    Smoothed bootstrap lets CRT use external data without losing validity

    Yingjie Zhang +2 · “CRT*: Conditional Randomization Testing with Heterogeneous External and Unlabeled Data”

    2607.17859
  15. math.DS arXiv submitted 2026-07-20
    Geometry-consistent projection stabilizes particle filters under model error

    Surya Ratna Prakash D +1 · “Geometry-Consistent Bayesian Filtering under Structural Model Uncertainty: A Geometric Projection Particle Filter”

    2607.17781
  16. stat.ME arXiv submitted 2026-07-20
    MICE beats simpler missing-data fixes in 48 trial scenarios

    Ben Swallow +2 · “Comparing Missing Data Methods for Estimating Average Treatment Effects Under Time-Varying Confounding: A Simulation Study”

    2607.17775
  17. stat.ME arXiv submitted 2026-07-20
    Simulation maps when network meta-regression works

    Nana-adjoa Kwarteng +3 · “Assessing the Impact of Model Assumptions in Network Meta-Regression: A Simulation Study”

    2607.17750
  18. math.NA arXiv submitted 2026-07-20
    Order-1/2 strong convergence for superlinear SDEs

    Yuga Iguchi +3 · “Pathwise skew-symmetric discretisation for SDEs with superlinear drift”

    2607.17735
  19. math.ST arXiv submitted 2026-07-20
    Plug-in ruin buffers miss the target safety exponent

    Yf Henkes +2 · “Decision-Centric Large Deviations for Data-Driven Capital Buffers in Ruin Models”

    2607.17732
  20. math.ST arXiv submitted 2026-07-20
    Localized sums of non-stationary series go Gaussian

    Florian Heinrichs · “A Functional Central Limit Theorem for Localized Partial Sums of Non-Stationary Time Series”

    2607.17697
  21. stat.ML arXiv submitted 2026-07-20
    Replicator equation governs position bias in Transformers

    Cheng Huan +1 · “An Adjoint-Sensitivity Framework for Lost-in-the-Middle Phenomena in Causal Residual Transformers”

    2607.17696
  22. stat.ME arXiv submitted 2026-07-20
    Joint calibration caps adaptive-enrichment error at 9.9%

    Masahiro Kojima +2 · “A Globally Calibrated Bayesian Optimal Phase II Design for Adaptive Enrichment Trials”

    2607.17692
  23. stat.ME arXiv submitted 2026-07-20
    Graph-based postprocessing improves synthetic particle topology

    Martin Alexander Memmesheimer +1 · “Fitting the topology of synthetic particle systems with a novel graph representation”

    2607.17680
  24. stat.ME arXiv submitted 2026-07-20
    Fairness is a causal question

    Youmi Suk · “Equality, Equity, and Causality in Fairness Research: A Commentary on Cheng (2026)”

    2607.17679
  25. stat.ML arXiv submitted 2026-07-20
    One MCMC run learns the number of latent traits

    Yu Zhou +3 · “An efficient adaptive dimension selection algorithm for multidimensional probit graded response models”

    2607.17654
  26. cs.LG arXiv submitted 2026-07-20
    Static regret alone drives nonconvex optimization

    Haichen Hu +1 · “Optimizing the Preconditioner: A Black-box Online-to-Nonconvex Conversion with Static Regret Minimization Oracles”

    2607.17607
  27. stat.ME arXiv submitted 2026-07-20
    74–110 km: the spatial core beneath raw airline co-movement

    Zihan Li +1 · “Spatial Dependence in Directed Preferential-Attachment Networks”

    2607.17597
  28. stat.ME arXiv submitted 2026-07-20
    P-to-e calibration beats generic e-values in multiverse scans

    Paul Rognon-Vael +1 · “E-Values For Multiplicity Control In Multiverse Analysis”

    2607.17596
  29. stat.ME arXiv submitted 2026-07-20
    Two-stage mediation screening controls FDR without sample splitting

    Yueqi Xu +1 · “Two-stage Adaptive Testing of Large-scale Mediation Hypotheses”

    2607.17579
  30. cs.LG arXiv submitted 2026-07-20
    Bayesian vote picks the right model from LLM-written simulators

    Siddharth Mishra-Sharma · “Program Synthesis for Simulation-Based Inference: Joint Model Selection and Parameter Estimation”

    2607.17540
  31. math.ST arXiv submitted 2026-07-20
    Three-Gaussian mixtures: at most eight modes

    Akifumi Okuno +1 · “On Mixtures of Three Homoscedastic Gaussian Densities: An Unconditional Sharper Bound on the Number of Modes”

    2607.17506
  32. stat.CO arXiv submitted 2026-07-20
    Fit intractable-likelihood models in a few lines

    Godrick Oketch +2 · “A general framework for computation and estimation using the saddlepoint approximation”

    2607.17464
  33. stat.ME arXiv submitted 2026-07-20
    Calibrated phrase odds recover held-out posteriors

    Matthew F. Dixon · “Calibrating Semantic Uncertainty from Observable Language-Model Probabilities”

    2607.17447
  34. cs.LG arXiv submitted 2026-07-20
    Trajectory shape predicts Alzheimer's conversion risk

    Navin Bondade · “Calibrated Alzheimer's Conversion Risk in Mild Cognitive Impairment: Persistent Homology of Clinical Trajectories with Conformal Guarantees”

    2607.17442
  35. cs.LG arXiv submitted 2026-07-19
    Squaring keys unlocks exponential recall for linear attention

    Ayoub Ghriss +1 · “Kernelized Linear Attention: Breaking the Capacity Wall with Symmetric Cones”

    2607.17419
  36. stat.ML arXiv submitted 2026-07-19
    Active querying preserves anytime-valid LLM score intervals

    Chia-Yu Hsu +1 · “Efficient Sequential Evaluation of Large Language Models”

    2607.17409
  37. math.ST arXiv submitted 2026-07-19
    One random EM step finds the true value vector

    Ethan Levien · “EM-based iterations for multiple instance learning on a query-value model”

    2607.17404
  38. stat.ML arXiv submitted 2026-07-19
    KReTTaH imputes missing tensor data without cross-validation

    Duc Thien Nguyen +3 · “Kernel Regression with Tensor Trains and Hadamard Overparameterization”

    2607.17390
  39. econ.EM arXiv submitted 2026-07-19
    Transfer works only if source covers the target direction

    Yuya Shimizu · “Econometrics with Pre-Trained Embeddings for Unstructured Data”

    2607.17378
  40. math.ST arXiv submitted 2026-07-19
    One scalar decides if a two-part mixture can be untangled

    March T. Boedihardjo +1 · “Mixture and separation of log-concave measures”

    2607.17368
  41. stat.ME arXiv submitted 2026-07-19
    Causal subgroup count is a resolution choice

    Yuki Ohnishi +1 · “The Resolution of Causal Heterogeneity”

    2607.17280
  42. econ.EM arXiv submitted 2026-07-19
    Bootstrap test catches hidden two-Gaussian SVAR identification failure

    Paritosh Shankarrao Junare · “Two Gaussians, Too Many: A bootstrap-based approach to assess identifiability in non-Gaussian structural Vector Autoregressions”

    2607.17275
  43. stat.AP arXiv submitted 2026-07-19
    Near-95% national coverage survives an 85% sample cut

    Siu-Ming Tam · “National Versus Domain: Coverage Properties of HB Credible Intervals Under Survey Redesign”

    2607.17229
  44. stat.ME arXiv submitted 2026-07-19
    Seasonal adjustment that uses survey standard errors beats X-11

    Siu-Ming Tam · “Bayesian Seasonal Adjustment for Survey Time Series”

    2607.17226
  45. cs.CL arXiv submitted 2026-07-19
    17 of 18 LLM answers are near-deterministic in order-effect audit

    Pilsung Kang · “Auditing Question-Order Effects in Large Language Models with the QQ Equality: Mechanism Characterization and a Saturation Caveat”

    2607.17219
  46. stat.ML arXiv submitted 2026-07-19
    Proves Navigate-and-Stop hits optimal rate at finite confidence

    Joseph Lazzaro +2 · “Non-Asymptotic Best Policy Identification Guarantees in Online Reinforcement Learning”

    2607.17201
  47. stat.ME arXiv submitted 2026-07-19
    Ratio DEA: one shared denominator makes VRS models exact

    Vicente J. Bol\'os +3 · “On the suitability of ratio variables in data envelopment analysis: An application to education with methodological extensions”

    2607.17193
  48. math.ST arXiv submitted 2026-07-19
    Adaptive trials get a design that is most random and most efficient

    Zhang Li-Xin · “Efficient Doubly Adaptive Biased Coin Designs for Multiple Treatments”

    2607.17176
  49. math.ST arXiv submitted 2026-07-19
    All plug-in Markov MLE limits from one derivative

    Georgios Gavrilopoulos +2 · “Matrix asymptotic calculus for plug-in maximum likelihood estimators in finite Markov chains”

    2607.17161
  50. math.ST arXiv submitted 2026-07-19
    Three structures dictate how many edge queries reveal a planted graph

    Wasim Huleihel · “Fundamental Limits of Query-Based Subgraph Detection”

    2607.17118