INDEX
Every paper Pith has read and judged, in one searchable index.
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stat.ME arXiv submitted 2026-07-14Binned counts alone recover the full density
Furkan Danisman +2 · “Bandwidth-free nonparametric density estimation for grouped data”
2607.13182 -
math.ST arXiv submitted 2026-07-14Sliding-window tests: new information is the eigenvalue-one component
Abbas Alhakim · “Overlapping window tests for correlation and trend”
2607.13173 -
math.ST arXiv submitted 2026-07-14New lower bound blocks conjectured variance-estimation rate
P. M. Aronow +1 · “On Rates Attainable under Random Design: A Negative Answer to a Problem of Robins”
2607.13170 -
stat.ME arXiv submitted 2026-07-14Factorial trial advice only looks conflicting if you skip the objectives
Rebecca E.A. Walwyn +4 · “Factorial clinical trials in the presence and absence of plausible statistical interactions between treatment factors. A historical review of the methodological literature”
2607.12991 -
stat.ML arXiv submitted 2026-07-14Learned flow turns forecast energy tilt into analysis
Zhuoyuan Li +2 · “Ensemble Controlled-Flow Filtering for Implicit Data Assimilation”
2607.12975 -
math.OC arXiv submitted 2026-07-14Zero-order 1-D convex optimization finally hits the 1/√T rate
Alexandra Carpentier +3 · “Sharp Optimal Algorithm for Derivative-Free Stochastic Convex Optimization in One Dimension”
2607.12938 -
stat.ML arXiv submitted 2026-07-14One reverse-time flow conditions any latent-mapped process
Louis Sharrock +2 · “LatentFlow: A General Framework for Conditioning Stochastic Processes”
2607.12922 -
stat.ML arXiv submitted 2026-07-14Randomized HMC mixes in O(√(1/α) log 1/ε) total time
Siddharth Mitra +3 · “Accelerated Mixing Time of Randomized Hamiltonian Monte Carlo”
2607.12902 -
stat.ME arXiv submitted 2026-07-14Higher-order spillover effects identified beyond first neighbors
Qixiang Xu +1 · “Higher-order Spillover Effects Under Partial Interference”
2607.12855 -
stat.ME arXiv submitted 2026-07-14Monte Carlo now nails tiny permutation p-values with confidence
Nikita Golikov +3 · “Hash-augmented adaptive multilevel splitting Monte Carlo algorithm for accurate estimation of two-sample permutation test p-values”
2607.12853 -
math.ST arXiv submitted 2026-07-14Three rank correlations jointly fill a simple solid of volume 31/40
Jacob Israel Orenday Lares +1 · “The exact region determined by Kendall's tau, Spearman's footrule and Blomqvist's beta”
2607.12841 -
stat.ML arXiv submitted 2026-07-14One neural map learns full circular conditionals for pose and wind
Rajdeep Pathak +2 · “ANGLE: Angular Neural Generative Learning via Engression”
2607.12833 -
stat.ML arXiv submitted 2026-07-14One distance to the Gaussian solves ICA and causal order
F\'elix Laplante +2 · “Contrast-Free ICA and Causal Inference via Wasserstein Distances to the Gaussian”
2607.12832 -
stat.ML arXiv submitted 2026-07-14Wasserstein distance to Gaussian recovers ICA and LiNGAM order
F\'elix Laplante +2 · “Contrast-Free ICA and Causal Inference via Wasserstein Distances to the Gaussian”
2607.12832 -
math.ST arXiv submitted 2026-07-14Mixed-data CIT detects signals at rate n^{-1/4}
Mengxiao Gao +2 · “MixCIT: A Kernel Based Local-Polynomial Debiased Test for Conditional Independence on Mixed-Type Data”
2607.12830 -
physics.geo-ph arXiv submitted 2026-07-14Two fixes let multi-array data yield uncertainty-true Vs profiles
Joseph P. Vantassel +1 · “An Extension to the Procedure for Developing Uncertainty-Consistent Shear Wave Velocity Profiles from Inversion of Experimental Surface Wave Dispersion Data”
2607.12743 -
stat.ME arXiv submitted 2026-07-14Neural estimator recovers latent fields of bivariate point processes
Qihan Zou +3 · “Deep Simulation-Based Inference for Inhomogeneous Bivariate Log-Gaussian Cox Processes”
2607.13113 -
stat.ME arXiv submitted 2026-07-14Ten components explain 91% of extreme-loss variation
Alberto Quaini +1 · “Anchored Geodesic Analysis for Multivariate Extremes”
2607.13112 -
stat.CO arXiv submitted 2026-07-14One tidy syntax wires models to privacy methods for synthetic data
Aaron R. Williams +2 · “tidysynthesis: a Meta-Package for Synthetic Data Generation”
2607.12611 -
math.AP arXiv submitted 2026-07-14Coulomb MMD flow relaxes to target on torus and in plane
Antonin Chodron de Courcel +1 · “Wasserstein gradient flows for Coulomb discrepancies”
2607.12579 -
math.AP arXiv submitted 2026-07-14Coulomb MMD decays exponentially on the torus without density bounds
Antonin Chodron de Courcel +1 · “Wasserstein gradient flows for Coulomb discrepancies”
2607.12579 -
stat.ME arXiv submitted 2026-07-14Bayesian redesign cuts pediatric trial sizes without losing error control
Wataru Murasaki +4 · “Modification and extension of the Bayesian clinical trial design using external data for single-arm and hybrid-controlled trials”
2607.12521 -
stat.ME arXiv submitted 2026-07-14Weak-form estimator recovers 2-D stochastic generators on 19/29 systems
Sai Sathvik Gullipalli +1 · “Symbolic Weak-form Recovery of 2-D Stochastic Generators”
2607.12502 -
cs.LG arXiv submitted 2026-07-14Squared goodness is a likelihood-ratio test
Paolo Giannitrapani · “What Does Goodness Measure? A Likelihood-Ratio Account of Forward-Forward Learning”
2607.12501 -
cs.LG arXiv submitted 2026-07-14Forward-Forward goodness is a likelihood-ratio statistic
Paolo Giannitrapani · “What Does Goodness Measure? A Likelihood-Ratio Account of Forward-Forward Learning”
2607.12501 -
stat.ME arXiv submitted 2026-07-14Best-of-several comorbidity scores need a selection-aware CI
M. Ehsan Karim · “Does a Developed Comorbidity Index Really Add Value? A Selection-Aware Bootstrap for Post-Selection Concordance”
2607.12445 -
cs.LG arXiv submitted 2026-07-14Gradient-rank spikes flag label-noise memorization
Satwik Bathula +1 · “Fisher Rank Inflation: A Spectral Signature of Memorization under Label Noise”
2607.12438 -
cs.LG arXiv submitted 2026-07-14Polar Boltzmann machine ties phase to amplitude for better audio models
Toru Nakashika +1 · “PolarBM: Complex-valued Boltzmann Machine for Modeling Audio Signals in Polar and Log-polar Coordinates”
2607.12417 -
q-fin.ST arXiv submitted 2026-07-14JSD and KLD get chi-square benchmarks for credit drift checks
Abdullah Karasan +1 · “Statistical Properties and Power Analysis of Divergence Measures for Credit Risk Model Monitoring”
2607.12407 -
stat.ML arXiv submitted 2026-07-14Thompson sampling makes at most twice the mistakes of any rival
Mark Sellke +1 · “Thompson Sampling Is 2-Competitive for Mistakes”
2607.12389 -
stat.ME arXiv submitted 2026-07-14Closed-form KL bases end repeated eigen-solves in hierarchical inversion
Tatsuya Shibata +2 · “Hierarchical Bayesian inversion using the Karhunen-Lo\`eve expansion with analytical eigenpairs of the squared exponential kernel”
2607.12387 -
stat.ME arXiv submitted 2026-07-14Markov change points recovered at i.i.d
Imon Banerjee +2 · “Nonparametric Multi Change Point Detection for Markov Chains via Adaptive Clustering”
2607.12369 -
econ.GN arXiv submitted 2026-07-14Micro price data improve inflation forecasts only after big shocks
Catherine Chen +4 · “Forecasting Inflation with Microdata: An Adaptive Machine Learning Approach”
2607.12345 -
cs.LG arXiv submitted 2026-07-14Local Koopman models cut prediction error up to 57×
Lorenzo Tomaz +4 · “Cluster-Weighted EDMD”
2607.12243 -
math.ST arXiv submitted 2026-07-13BH fails FDR control for correlated two-sided Gaussians
Edgar Dobriban · “The Benjamini--Hochberg Procedure Can Fail to Control the FDR for Correlated Two-Sided Gaussian Tests”
2607.12208 -
stat.ME arXiv submitted 2026-07-13lme4 fits GLMMs with PIRLS plus Laplace or AGHQ
Anna Ly +4 · “Fitting Generalized Linear Mixed-Effects Models using lme4”
2607.12184 -
stat.ML arXiv submitted 2026-07-13Falsify causal graphs with a single outlier event
William Roy Orchard +2 · “Falsifying Causal Graphs With Outlier Events”
2607.12145 -
math.ST arXiv submitted 2026-07-13Do-calculus holds for causal SDEs on sample paths
Philip Boeken +1 · “Causal Graphs, Markov Properties and Do-calculus for Stochastic Differential Equations”
2607.12140 -
math.ST arXiv submitted 2026-07-13SDE causal graphs give path-level do-calculus via σ-separation
Philip Boeken +1 · “Causal Graphs, Markov Properties and Do-calculus for Stochastic Differential Equations”
2607.12140 -
stat.ME arXiv submitted 2026-07-13p-values plus sample size become Bayes factors that match objective tests
Frederik Aust +2 · “Extracting Bayesian Evidence from Frequentist p-Values”
2607.12132 -
stat.ML arXiv submitted 2026-07-13Native uncertainty tracking yields 805× Bayesian filter speedups
Orestis Kaparounakis · “Dynamic Online Processor-Native Inference for State Estimation”
2607.12095 -
stat.ML arXiv submitted 2026-07-13One record is enough to isolate the forced climate response
Nathan Mankovich +2 · “Disentangling Forced and Internal Climate Variability in Single Realizations using Dynamic Mode Decomposition with Control”
2607.18298 -
stat.ML arXiv submitted 2026-07-13Cayley graphs let machines recover group algebra from network geometry
Rashid Barket +5 · “Learning the Graphical Nature of Symmetries”
2607.12026 -
stat.AP arXiv submitted 2026-07-13Joint layer mapping cuts global OHC uncertainty by up to 15%
Thea Sukianto +2 · “Improved Global Ocean Heat Content Estimation by Modeling Vertical Spatio-Temporal Dependence”
2607.11832 -
stat.CO arXiv submitted 2026-07-13One R package puts recent Bayesian Factor Models on equal footing
Peter Dunson +1 · “Tutorial for Bayesian Factor Models”
2607.11819 -
cs.LG arXiv submitted 2026-07-13Interventions alone recover causal graphs when pathways cancel
Bijan Mazaheri +2 · “Relaxing Faithfulness with Intervention-Only Causal Discovery”
2607.11816 -
stat.OT arXiv submitted 2026-07-13What 'statistical purposes only' actually means in law
Michael B. Hawes +4 · “The Evolution and Interpretation of "Statistical Purposes"”
2607.11778 -
stat.AP arXiv submitted 2026-07-13Many lab instruments compared at once via weighted Deming
Douglas M Hawkins +1 · “Multiple Instrument Methods Comparison by Precision weighted Deming Regression”
2607.11776 -
cs.LG arXiv submitted 2026-07-13Overtrain experts, then sparsify: merges beat validation optima
Nikita Kozodoi +2 · “Are we Merging the Right Models? Impact of Expert Training Duration on Model Merging for LLMs”
2607.11997 -
cs.LG arXiv submitted 2026-07-13Stop early for averaging, overfit for sparsified merging
Nikita Kozodoi +2 · “Are we Merging the Right Models? Impact of Expert Training Duration on Model Merging for LLMs”
2607.11997