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The Cosmological Preference for Negative Neutrino Mass

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abstract

The most precise determination of the sum of neutrino masses from cosmological data, derived from analysis of the cosmic microwave background (CMB) and baryon acoustic acoustic oscillations (BAO) from the Dark Energy Spectroscopic Instrument (DESI), favors a value below the minimum inferred from neutrino flavor oscillation experiments. We explore which data is most responsible of this puzzling aspect of the current constraints on neutrino mass and whether it is related to other anomalies in cosmology. We demonstrate conclusively that the preference for negative neutrino masses is a consequence of larger than expected lensing of the CMB in both the two- and four-point lensing statistics. Furthermore, we show that this preference is robust to changes in likelihoods of the BAO and CMB optical depth analyses given the available data. We then show that this excess clustering is not easily explained by changes to the expansion history and is likely distinct from the preference for for dynamical dark energy in DESI BAO data. Finally, we discuss how future data may impact these results, including an analysis of Planck CMB with mock DESI 5-year data. We conclude that the negative neutrino mass preference is likely to persist even as more cosmological data is collected in the near future.

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Dark Matter with a Drag at Low Redshift

astro-ph.CO · 2026-06-10 · unverdicted · novelty 6.0

iDCDM adds two parameters to LambdaCDM so that dark matter decay produces late-time interacting radiation, yielding a distinctive low-redshift suppression of structure growth while leaving BBN and primary CMB unchanged.

Negative neutrino mass or negative dark energy?

astro-ph.CO · 2026-05-20 · unverdicted · novelty 5.0

A sign-switching dark energy model (Λ_s CDM) recovers positive effective neutrino masses (0.055 ± 0.050 eV) consistent with oscillation data, unlike ΛCDM which prefers negative values (-0.075 eV), for DESI DR2 + CMB + supernova fits with z_† > 2.4.

The Status of Single Scalar Field Dark Energy

astro-ph.CO · 2026-07-08 · conditional · novelty 4.5

Cosmological data can constrain only a handful of EFT parameters for single-scalar dark energy; extended models show modest preference over Λ but remain underdetermined and challenged by fifth forces and screening.

Cosmological Viability of Exponential Infrared $f(T)$ Gravity

astro-ph.CO · 2026-06-30 · unverdicted · novelty 4.0

Exponential IR f(T) gravity Model I alleviates Hubble tension but is disfavoured by combined Planck/ACT/SPT+DESI+Pantheon+ data; Model II is ruled out because background constraints force unphysical shifts in CMB parameters.

The Future of Lepton Flavor

hep-ph · 2026-06-03 · unverdicted · novelty 4.0

Upcoming neutrino experiments are projected to substantially reduce the number of viable leptonic flavor models in five popular classes by measuring mass ordering, theta_23 octant, delta_CP, and absolute mass scale.

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