One acceleration measurement equals ~10^5 phase-space measurements for local dark matter density estimation, with acceleration outperforming Jeans modeling in both equilibrium and perturbed Milky Way simulations.
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51 Pith papers cite this work. Polarity classification is still indexing.
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Establishes an empirical concentration inequality for the empirical CDF of a functional on regenerative Markov chains, with data-dependent leading term and lower-order convergence bound.
MACROCAST is the first leakage-free time series foundation model for real-time macroeconomic forecasting, trained exclusively on synthetic series and vintage data, outperforming AR(1), Chronos-2, BVAR, and DFM benchmarks on FRED-MD.
The Paired Swap Permutation Test is an exact non-parametric procedure that compares explanatory power of two dependent predictors via symmetric within-subject swapping for categorical data and ECDF mapping for continuous data.
First statistically significant detection of dayside silicate clouds on a Neptunian-mass exoplanet, with CO and CO2 detections and C/O ratio of 0.984 from JWST spectra.
Derives closed-form solutions including scalar inverse-gradient density formulas for f-divergence, Bregman, and Rényi penalized variational problems at the measure level.
An iterative AI reasoning process proposes new dynamical dark energy equations of state that are competitive with traditional forms on supernova, BAO, and Planck data.
Direct fixed-weight solver for free-support Wasserstein medians relocates atoms using OT barycentric projections and inverse-distance weights, achieving monotone descent on smoothed objectives with fewer subproblems than nested Weiszfeld baselines.
JWST NIRISS/SOSS data yield a transmission spectrum of the 23 Myr V1298 Tau c showing H2O absorption and an atmospheric metallicity of 14.8^{+56}_{-12} times solar, lower than mature planets of similar mass.
A trans-dimensional Bayesian model set averaging framework for 13C-MFA that averages flux estimates over uncertain network topologies using reversible jump MCMC and diffusive nested sampling.
Introduces bridge score for covariate balancing in mediator stage and derives sharp pointwise variance bounds on unidentified mediator-outcome confounding with residual budget calibration and Bayesian inference.
AM-PPI generalizes active statistical inference to multiple predictors with per-instance adaptive routing, yielding 10-40% narrower confidence intervals than single-predictor baselines in healthcare monitoring tasks.
A new class of priors on context trees is defined by node-weighting functions, enabling exact marginal likelihoods and Bayes factors via extensions of CTW and CTM algorithms.
QUEST measures uncertainty via the Lebesgue volume of highest-density regions of a distribution's support, evaluated at robustness parameter alpha, and claims to satisfy UQ axioms while outperforming variance and differential entropy on selective prediction tasks.
Damped harmonic oscillator dark energy EoS fitted to CMB+BAO+BBN+chronometers+SNIa data yields H0 values reducing tension to 1.4 sigma for DESY5/Union3 while Pantheon+ prefers near-critical damping; Bayesian evidence inconclusive vs LambdaCDM.
A Bayesian search calibrated on 3,493 meteorite analyses finds strong evidence for a siderophile-enriched processed template in only a small fraction of 697 polluted white dwarf records, with posterior medians of 0.011 and 0.041.
KAPLAN-HR applies B-spline KANs to nonparametric hazard estimation in survival analysis, recovering GAMs in the single-layer case, capturing interactions via deeper layers, with convergence rates independent of covariate dimension for KAN-representable targets, and competitive performance on six cli
Proposes adaptive multiple importance sampling for robust Bayesian model evidence estimation under parameter non-identifiability, shown to outperform deterministic methods on ecological case studies while being cheaper than MCMC.
Six years of UV/X-ray monitoring of ESO 511-G030 reveals a >10x UV rise from the accretion disk, tight disk-corona coupling above ~1% Eddington, and breakdown below, indicating an accretion-state transition.
Domain adaptation with an ensemble of CNN and transformer models trained on DES detects 20,180 LSBGs and 434 UDGs in KiDS DR5, with structural parameters and environmental trends consistent with known samples.
A new stepwise 2D tracing method resolves inconsistencies in weak-lensing detection of curved intracluster filaments in Abell 2744 that global matched-filter scans cannot handle.
A non-stationary Markov process with bivariate extreme value theory attributes full heatwave time series over Europe to anthropogenic forcing via likelihood ratios between ERA5 and CMIP6 runs, finding strong evidence since the 1970s but no signal beyond mean temperature increase.
A survey and benchmark of ~60 PSD algorithms on two radiation datasets finds deep learning models (MLPs and hybrids) often outperform traditional statistical methods, with an open-source Python/MATLAB toolbox and datasets released.
Using lensed JWST data behind Abell S1063, the UVLF at z~6-11 is fit with gradual quadratic turnover, yielding no evidence for turnover to M_UV=-13.5 at z=6, exclusion limits on turnover models, and lower bounds showing faint galaxies contribute >50% of UV luminosity density and ~64% of ionizing pho
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