Calypso is a parameter-conditioned stochastic surrogate model for circumbinary accretion flows using PCA and multivariate Gaussian modeling, released as open-source software with a closed-form likelihood for parameter inference from time series.
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Continuous spin gravity yields GW time-delay deviations of order ρ_g/ω from GR predictions for frequencies above ρ_g, with damping below, enabling sensitivity to spin scales ~10^{-14} eV at ground interferometers and ~10^{-24} eV at PTAs.
Self-consistent thermal regulation in circumbinary disks permits long-lived non-accretion phases that suppress binary feeding rates toward the Eddington limit while leaving optical/near-IR detectability intact.
Customized chromatic noise models for 67 pulsars detect non-dispersive delays in 21 cases, alter achromatic noise inferences in 19, and enable solar wind density estimates over 1.5 cycles.
Customized chromatic noise models applied to NANOGrav 15 yr data raise the Bayes factor for Hellings-Downs GWB correlations by a factor of ~8, lower the amplitude to 2.1e-15, and increase the spectral index to 3.5.
Joint SKA PTA and astrometry analysis improves gravitational wave background detection sensitivity by 10-50%.
Bayesian fitting of an eccentric Keplerian orbit to the radio light curve of PKS 2131-021 gives e = 0.053 ± 0.015 without red noise but favors a circular orbit plus DRW noise with e < 0.15.
X-ray pulsar navigation using NICER-derived noise and EKF achieves sub-7 km LEO and sub-20 km interplanetary position errors with the Crab pulsar at 200 cm² effective area, but diverges after 20 days without timing updates while stable pulsars support longer autonomy at reduced precision.
PCA analysis of NANOGrav data recovers known pulse shape changes tied to timing events in pulsars like J1713+0747 and identifies new candidates and a recurrence in PSR B1937+21.
citing papers explorer
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\texttt{calypso}: a Parameter-Conditioned Stochastic Surrogate Model for Circumbinary Accretion Time-Series
Calypso is a parameter-conditioned stochastic surrogate model for circumbinary accretion flows using PCA and multivariate Gaussian modeling, released as open-source software with a closed-form likelihood for parameter inference from time series.
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Dynamics and detectability of long-lived non-accretion phases for massive black hole binaries in cold, thermally regulating disks
Self-consistent thermal regulation in circumbinary disks permits long-lived non-accretion phases that suppress binary feeding rates toward the Eddington limit while leaving optical/near-IR detectability intact.
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The NANOGrav 15 yr Data Set: Customized Chromatic Noise Models
Customized chromatic noise models for 67 pulsars detect non-dispersive delays in 21 cases, alter achromatic noise inferences in 19, and enable solar wind density estimates over 1.5 cycles.
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Constraining Orbital Eccentricity of a Supermassive Black Hole Binary Candidate PKS 2131-0211
Bayesian fitting of an eccentric Keplerian orbit to the radio light curve of PKS 2131-021 gives e = 0.053 ± 0.015 without red noise but favors a circular orbit plus DRW noise with e < 0.15.
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The NANOGrav 15 yr and 20 yr Datasets: Timing Events and Pulse Shape Changes
PCA analysis of NANOGrav data recovers known pulse shape changes tied to timing events in pulsars like J1713+0747 and identifies new candidates and a recurrence in PSR B1937+21.