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How well do we know the primordial black hole abundance? The crucial role of nonlinearities when approaching the horizon
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We discuss the non-linear corrections entering in the calculation of the primordial black hole abundance from the non-linear radiation transfer function and the determination of the true physical horizon crossing. We show that the current standard techniques to calculate the abundance of primordial black holes suffer from uncertainties and argue that the primordial black hole abundance may be much smaller than what routinely considered. This would imply, among other consequences, that the interpretation of the recent pulsar timing arrays data from scalar-induced gravitational waves may not be ruled out because of an overproduction of primordial black holes.
Forward citations
Cited by 4 Pith papers
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The statistics of curvature-profile dispersion in primordial black hole formation
Rare coherent shape deformations of primordial curvature profiles can dominate primordial black hole abundance by lowering the collapse threshold enough to overcome their Gaussian statistical cost.
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Scalar-induced gravitational waves with non-Gaussianity up to all orders
Lattice simulations directly calculate SIGW spectra with non-Gaussianity to all orders and show that modest non-Gaussianity alters ultraviolet spectral behavior.
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Exploring the statistical anisotropy of primordial curvature perturbations with pulsar timing arrays
A phenomenological dipole anisotropy in primordial perturbations induces dipolar and quadrupolar anisotropies in SIGW energy density spectra, producing frequency-dependent PTA overlap reduction functions that depend o...
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Isotropy, anisotropies and non-Gaussianity in the scalar-induced gravitational-wave background: diagrammatic approach for primordial non-Gaussianity up to arbitrary order
Extends diagrammatic approach for scalar-induced gravitational waves to arbitrary-order local PNG, deriving semi-analytic spectra for energy density, anisotropies, bispectrum and trispectrum up to quartic terms.
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