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Foundation Models for Time Series: A Survey

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arxiv 2504.04011 v1 pith:7GDWX4XO submitted 2025-04-05 cs.LG cs.AI

Foundation Models for Time Series: A Survey

classification cs.LG cs.AI
keywords modelsseriestimefoundationsurveytaxonomyanalysiscurrent
verification ladder T0 review T1 audit T2 compute T3 formal T4 reserved
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Transformer-based foundation models have emerged as a dominant paradigm in time series analysis, offering unprecedented capabilities in tasks such as forecasting, anomaly detection, classification, trend analysis and many more time series analytical tasks. This survey provides a comprehensive overview of the current state of the art pre-trained foundation models, introducing a novel taxonomy to categorize them across several dimensions. Specifically, we classify models by their architecture design, distinguishing between those leveraging patch-based representations and those operating directly on raw sequences. The taxonomy further includes whether the models provide probabilistic or deterministic predictions, and whether they are designed to work with univariate time series or can handle multivariate time series out of the box. Additionally, the taxonomy encompasses model scale and complexity, highlighting differences between lightweight architectures and large-scale foundation models. A unique aspect of this survey is its categorization by the type of objective function employed during training phase. By synthesizing these perspectives, this survey serves as a resource for researchers and practitioners, providing insights into current trends and identifying promising directions for future research in transformer-based time series modeling.

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Cited by 13 Pith papers

Reviewed papers in the Pith corpus that reference this work. Sorted by Pith novelty score.

  1. Why Do Time Series Models Need Long Context Windows?

    cs.LG 2026-06 unverdicted novelty 7.0

    Long input windows are required to identify the generative process in time series forecasting even for short-memory processes, and decoupling identification from forecasting improves scalability.

  2. Explainable Load Forecasting with Covariate-Informed Time Series Foundation Models

    cs.LG 2026-04 unverdicted novelty 7.0

    Time series foundation models match the performance of specialized models for day-ahead load forecasting while providing explanations that match domain knowledge on weather and calendar effects.

  3. Discrete Prototypical Memories for Federated Time Series Foundation Models

    cs.LG 2026-04 unverdicted novelty 7.0

    FeDPM learns and aligns local discrete prototypical memories across domains to create a unified discrete latent space for LLM-based time series foundation models in a federated setting.

  4. TelecomTS: A Multi-Modal Observability Dataset for Time Series and Language Analysis

    cs.AI 2025-10 conditional novelty 7.0

    TelecomTS is a new observability dataset from 5G networks that preserves absolute scale and supports multi-modal tasks, showing that current time series and language models struggle with abrupt noisy dynamics.

  5. TRACE: A Temporal Conditional Estimation for Multimodal Time Series Foundation Models

    cs.AI 2026-06 unverdicted novelty 6.0

    TRACE proposes a temporal conditional estimation paradigm for multimodal time series foundation models that infers incomplete target modalities from auxiliary ones, outperforming prior fusion methods on clinical and s...

  6. Factorize to Generalize: Retrieval-Guided Invariant-Dynamic Decomposition for Time Series Forecasting

    cs.LG 2026-05 unverdicted novelty 6.0

    The proposed framework decomposes retrieval-augmented representations into invariant and dynamic components to improve robustness in zero-shot time series forecasting under distribution shifts.

  7. VTBench: A Multimodal Framework for Time-Series Classification with Chart-Based Representations

    cs.CV 2026-04 unverdicted novelty 6.0

    Fusing chart visualizations with raw time series improves or maintains classification accuracy on UCR datasets when the visuals add non-redundant information.

  8. Forecasting Commencing Enrolments Under Data Sparsity: A Zero-Shot Time Series Foundation Models Framework for Higher Education Planning

    cs.AI 2026-02 unverdicted novelty 6.0

    Zero-shot TSFMs conditioned on leakage-safe covariates from Google Trends and an institutional index forecast commencing enrolments competitively with classical methods under data sparsity.

  9. TelecomTS: A Multi-Modal Observability Dataset for Time Series and Language Analysis

    cs.AI 2025-10 conditional novelty 6.0

    TelecomTS is a de-anonymized 5G observability benchmark with scale information, anomalies, and multi-modal QA tasks, on which current foundation models perform poorly.

  10. Modular Foundation Models for Time-Series Perception in Digital Twins

    cs.LG 2026-07 conditional novelty 5.0

    A gated bank of frozen self-supervised time-series encoders, aligned and aggregated by a Transformer, supports competitive multi-task perception for digital twins and hydro-generator virtual sensing.

  11. Falcon-X: A Time Series Foundation Model for Heterogeneous Multivariate Modeling

    cs.LG 2026-05 unverdicted novelty 5.0

    Falcon-X introduces a latent prototype space with Unified Prototype Diff-Attention and Latent Entity Attention for heterogeneous multivariate time series forecasting.

  12. Heterogeneous Scientific Foundation Model Collaboration

    cs.AI 2026-04 unverdicted novelty 5.0

    Eywa enables language-based agentic AI systems to collaborate with specialized scientific foundation models for improved performance on structured data tasks.

  13. Towards Resilient and Autonomous Networks: A BlueSky Vision on AI-Native 6G

    cs.AI 2026-05 unverdicted novelty 4.0

    The paper envisions AI-native 6G networks anchored by a foundation model and multi-agent systems to shift network management to a unified multi-modal optimization problem.