INDEX
Every paper Pith has read and judged, in one searchable index.
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stat.CO arXiv submitted 2026-07-11Quantile regression without MCMC: 50x faster
Tomas Rodriguez Taborda +1 · “Scalable Bayesian Quantile Regression via EM and INLA: The EM-INLA Algorithm”
2607.10432 -
stat.ML arXiv submitted 2026-07-11Two-stage network adds forecast uncertainty without losing accuracy
Jongwook Kim +1 · “TSCoNet: A Two-Stage Copula CNN-LSTM for Uncertainty-Aware Spatio-Temporal Forecasting”
2607.10410 -
stat.CO arXiv submitted 2026-07-11Any ordered confidence bound is a relaxation of one optimizatio
My Phan +1 · “Towards Automated Confidence Bound Provers and Searchers”
2607.10379 -
stat.AP arXiv submitted 2026-07-11No fixed query count makes AI citation rankings trustworthy
Ronald Sielinski · “From Stochastic to Stable: Rank Stability and Structural Sufficiency in AI Visibility Measurement”
2607.10341 -
stat.ME arXiv submitted 2026-07-11Statistics for networks, not vectors: idopNet from static data
Rongling Wu +1 · “Graph statistics: An emerging discipline in non-Euclidean data analysis”
2607.10324 -
stat.ME arXiv submitted 2026-07-11Networks, not vectors: statistics rebuilt for relational data
Rongling Wu +1 · “Graph statistics: An emerging discipline in non-Euclidean data analysis”
2607.10324 -
stat.ME arXiv submitted 2026-07-11Panel causal estimates get a shared sensitivity scorecard
Makoto Nakakita +1 · “Bayesian Robustness Values for Modern Causal Panel Estimators via Riesz Representations”
2607.10276 -
math.ST arXiv submitted 2026-07-11Volatility estimated on the whole line without cutting dimension
Eddy-Michel Ella-Mintsa · “Nonparametric estimation of the diffusion coefficient of an ergodic diffusion process on non-compact supports under Osgood's conditions”
2607.10230 -
stat.ME arXiv submitted 2026-07-11Closed-form Laplace score unlocks heavier-tailed Bayesian DAGs
Samaneh Nazari +2 · “Scalable Bayesian structure learning of directed acyclic graphs via Laplace approximation, with an application to breast cancer gene expression networks”
2607.10222 -
cs.LG arXiv submitted 2026-07-11Infinite-width PINN kernels stay positive definite
Bangti Jin +1 · “The Differential Neural Tangent Kernel and Its Positivity”
2607.10200 -
cs.LG arXiv submitted 2026-07-11Hopfield energy picks the right recursive solution
Yifei Zhao +1 · “Energy-guided Recursive Model”
2607.10128 -
cs.LG arXiv submitted 2026-07-11Energy picker hits oracle accuracy on Sudoku
Yifei Zhao +1 · “Energy-guided Recursive Model”
2607.10128 -
math.PR arXiv submitted 2026-07-11Replica-symmetric free energy for orthogonally invariant SK models
Zhou Fan +3 · “Dynamical mean-field limit and replica-symmetric free energy for the orthogonally-invariant SK model”
2607.10102 -
cs.LG arXiv submitted 2026-07-11Diffusion likelihood is just a path integral of local GEXIT derivatives
Ziv Aharoni +1 · “Conservation Laws for Diffusion Models”
2607.10067 -
stat.ME arXiv submitted 2026-07-10Pairwise-comparison rankings get confidence intervals and tie groups
Konrad Ku{\l}akowski +2 · “Geometric mean-based pairwise comparison method with the reference values -- statistical approach”
2607.10038 -
stat.ME arXiv submitted 2026-07-10Pairwise-comparison ranking reduces to least squares
Konrad Ku{\l}akowski +2 · “Geometric mean-based pairwise comparison method with the reference values -- statistical approach”
2607.10038 -
stat.ME arXiv submitted 2026-07-10Pairwise rankings become regression: order probabilities included
Konrad Ku{\l}akowski +2 · “Geometric mean-based pairwise comparison method with the reference values -- statistical approach”
2607.10038 -
math.ST arXiv submitted 2026-07-10Bayes-factor lower bound becomes exact under worst-case prior
Fernando Betancourt +2 · “Bounds on Intrinsic Bayes Factors and Least Favorable Intrinsic Priors for General Statistical Hypothesis Testing”
2607.10035 -
stat.ML arXiv submitted 2026-07-10Manifold tubes keep spatial forecasts calibrated and realistic
Collin Nill +2 · “Manifold Constrained Conformal Prediction for Spatial Events”
2607.10008 -
stat.AP arXiv submitted 2026-07-10Bandits assemble tests that calibrate new AI items on the fly
Alina A. von Davier · “Stochastic Constrained Test Assembly for AI-Enabled Assessment Systems”
2607.09965 -
stat.ME arXiv submitted 2026-07-10Discrete-time joint model predicts death and quality of life together
Stephanie Armbruster +5 · “Toward Joint Prediction of a Longitudinal Marker and a Terminal Event: A bivariate discrete-time framework”
2607.09931 -
stat.ME arXiv submitted 2026-07-10Jointly predict death risk and quality of life without immortal bias
Stephanie Armbruster +5 · “Toward Joint Prediction of a Longitudinal Marker and a Terminal Event: A bivariate discrete-time framework”
2607.09931 -
stat.ME arXiv submitted 2026-07-10Exact run tests score peaks and flats without a noise model
Greg Kreider · “Runs and Bootstrap Tests For Signal Feature Significance”
2607.09913 -
stat.ME arXiv submitted 2026-07-10Covariate adjustment fixes biased survival curves in semi-competing risks
Shamsia Sobhan +1 · “Conditional copula graphic estimator for semi-competing risks data”
2607.09894 -
math.OC arXiv submitted 2026-07-10Swarm control becomes a convex program over measures
Di Yu +2 · “Convexifying Mean-Field Control: An Occupation-Measure and Frank-Wolfe Approach”
2607.22678 -
astro-ph.IM arXiv submitted 2026-07-10One network recovers lensing shear
Tim White +4 · “Neural Posterior Estimation for Inferring Weak Lensing Shear”
2607.09867 -
stat.ML arXiv submitted 2026-07-10DAGs keep deep GPs from forgetting their inputs
Federico L. Perlino +3 · “Deep Gaussian Processes on Directed Acyclic Graphs”
2607.09645 -
stat.ME arXiv submitted 2026-07-10Survival transfer beats target-only under interval censoring
Jingyi Hu +1 · “SPOT-IC: Improving prediction for interval-censored data via survival probability transfer”
2607.09640 -
stat.ME arXiv submitted 2026-07-10Index-aware Fréchet means predict evolving distributions
Kiran Adhikari +3 · “Dynamic Frechet Regression with Feature Selection for Distributional Data”
2607.09613 -
stat.ML arXiv submitted 2026-07-10Explicit basin makes spike deconvolution convex near truth
Meghna Kalra +2 · “Characterization of the Basin of Convexity for Multi-Snapshot Spike Deconvolution via Variable Projection”
2607.09593 -
stat.ML arXiv submitted 2026-07-10Explicit basin of convexity proved for spike deconvolution
Meghna Kalra +2 · “Characterization of the Basin of Convexity for Multi-Snapshot Spike Deconvolution via Variable Projection”
2607.09593 -
stat.ME arXiv submitted 2026-07-10Wrong models still cut error if you shrink just enough
Emily C. Hector · “How useful is a wrong model? Information-sharing for inference under mean misspecification in linear models”
2607.09579 -
stat.ME arXiv submitted 2026-07-10Pseudo-RMST labels let tabular models handle censored survival
Yue Lyu +3 · “A censoring-aware target interface for tabular foundation models in survival prediction”
2607.09577 -
stat.ME arXiv submitted 2026-07-10Extremes and compositions share the same covariance diagram
Manuel Hentschel +1 · “An Explicit Link between Extreme Value Theory and Compositional Data Analysis”
2607.09567 -
math.ST arXiv submitted 2026-07-10Interpolators can be fragile: tails decay only as n log n
Youheng Zhu +1 · “High-Dimensional Interpolators Can Be Fragile: Heavy Tails and High-Dimensional Large Deviations”
2607.09547 -
math.ST arXiv submitted 2026-07-10When treatments are random but covariates are fixed
Mengsi Gao +1 · “Misspecified regressions with mixed regressors: robust inference and causal interpretation”
2607.09536 -
stat.ME arXiv submitted 2026-07-10One global test finds SNP–methylation links to binary disease
Yvelin Gansou +3 · “Global testing of SNP-methylation interactions on binary phenotypes via a logistic functional regression model”
2607.09535 -
cs.LG arXiv submitted 2026-07-10Trainers plant undetectable DNN backdoors of exponential strength
Andrej Bogdanov +2 · “Statistically Undetectable Backdoors in Deep Neural Networks”
2607.09532 -
cs.CL arXiv submitted 2026-07-10Simple normalisations give calibrated authorship odds without extra data
Sadie Barlow +2 · “Normalisation-Based Likelihood Ratio Estimation for Forensic Authorship Verification”
2607.09501 -
math.PR arXiv submitted 2026-07-10Gamma differences are one-sided log-convex only if central
Robert E. Gaunt +1 · “Log-convexity and log-concavity of noncentral gamma sums and differences”
2607.09499 -
cs.DS arXiv submitted 2026-07-10Terminal maps for lines give dimension-free Fréchet coresets
Alexander Munteanu +3 · “Terminal Dimension Reduction for Time Series with Applications”
2607.09490 -
cs.LG arXiv submitted 2026-07-10Language models keep within-class variance on purpose
Bruno Abrahao · “Neural Collapse Is Forbidden: Information Floors in Language Models”
2607.09487 -
math.CO arXiv submitted 2026-07-10Odd J-characteristics force designs to 256 runs
Pieter Thijs Eendebak · “A divisibility theorem for odd $J$-characteristics of two-level designs”
2607.09478 -
q-fin.CP arXiv submitted 2026-07-10Neural certainty equivalent unlocks recursive-utility DP
Xianhua Peng +3 · “Deep Learning for Dynamic Programming with Recursive Utility Using First-order Conditions”
2607.09461 -
math.ST arXiv submitted 2026-07-10Polynomial-time node privacy matches minimax community recovery
Laurentiu Marchis +3 · “Near-optimal node-private community estimation in polynomial-time”
2607.09441 -
stat.CO arXiv submitted 2026-07-10Python package ends R detour for competing-risks survival
Sunny Yang +2 · “comprisk: A scikit-learn-compatible Python toolkit for competing-risks survival analysis”
2607.09431 -
math.ST arXiv submitted 2026-07-10Entropy tests detect increasing convex order
Aritra Saha +2 · “Tests for Increasing Convex Ordering Based on Generalized Tsallis Entropy Measures”
2607.09418 -
cs.LG arXiv submitted 2026-07-10InfoNCE risk sits O(1/k) from ideal similarity search
Nick Whiteley · “Similarity search generalisation in contrastive learning with InfoNCE loss”
2607.09405 -
stat.ME arXiv submitted 2026-07-10Decision models carry causal bias that can flip treatment choices
Maurice Korf +3 · “Decision-analytical models as causal models”
2607.09397 -
stat.ML arXiv submitted 2026-07-10Spectral loss plus early stopping deconfounds gradient boosting
Andrea Nava +2 · “Spectrally Deconfounded Gradient Boosting”
2607.09371