INDEX
Every paper Pith has read and judged, in one searchable index.
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stat.ML arXiv submitted 2026-07-03Impute missing values by sampling the manifold they live on
Zelong Bi +2 · “Missing Data Imputation under Manifold Hypothesis”
2607.03641 -
math.PR arXiv submitted 2026-07-03Signed BAR uniqueness holds for M-matrices
Yiping Lu +1 · “An AI-Assisted Solution to the Signed BAR Conjecture: Uniqueness in the Harrison--Reiman Class and a Completely-$\mathcal{S}$ Class Obstruction”
2607.03639 -
cs.LG arXiv submitted 2026-07-03Reflected Schrödinger bridges train like flow matching
Marcus H\"aggbom +3 · “Reflected Schr\"odinger Bridge Matching”
2607.03626 -
stat.ME arXiv submitted 2026-07-03Random chat assignment is not the conversation's effect
Adriane Fresh +1 · “What is the Causal Effect of a Conversation? Estimands and Inference in AI Mediated Conversations”
2607.03597 -
math.ST arXiv submitted 2026-07-03Ignore correlations, still get near-optimal empirical Bayes rates
Qiyang Han +1 · “Empirical Bayes for correlated Gaussian sequence model”
2607.03596 -
math.ST arXiv submitted 2026-07-03EUM under-controls
Yijian Huang · “Tightening Control in Neyman--Pearson Linear Classification”
2607.03590 -
stat.ME arXiv submitted 2026-07-03Bayesian GLARMA now works for counts
Guilherme Pumi +1 · “Bayes Estimation of GLARMA Models With Applications”
2607.03586 -
cs.LG arXiv submitted 2026-07-03Adam fails for every moment-decay pair
Steven Heilman +1 · “On the Convergence of Adam, Revisited”
2607.03519 -
math.ST arXiv submitted 2026-07-03Dense hypotheses force comeager failure for finite-precision tests
Hanti Lin · “Meager Success: A Theory of the Unlearnable for Hypothesis Testing”
2607.03518 -
stat.ME arXiv submitted 2026-07-03One extra belief experiment unlocks direct and indirect effects
Micha\"el Aklin +3 · “Disentangling Causal Mechanisms in Conjoint Experiments Using Mediation”
2607.03508 -
math.ST arXiv submitted 2026-07-03Tiny subsets can beat the full sample mean by factorials
Dina Barak-Pelleg +1 · “Power and Limits of Subset Selection in Statistical Estimation”
2607.03391 -
stat.ML arXiv submitted 2026-07-03Prove a better policy exists even when you cannot find it
Hamsa Bastani +2 · “A Hierarchy of Policy Learning Problems”
2607.03385 -
math.ST arXiv submitted 2026-07-03KSD estimation has a sharp Hilbert–Schmidt scale
Davit Gogolashvili · “Minimax Estimation of Kernel Stein Discrepancy: Trace versus Hilbert-Schmidt Scales”
2607.03367 -
stat.ME arXiv submitted 2026-07-03Cluster people by causal pathways
Arghya Pratihar +2 · “CaSPECT: Discovering Causally Homogeneous Subgroups via Directed Spectral Clustering”
2607.03364 -
stat.ME arXiv submitted 2026-07-03Keep only outcome-predictive features for better AutoDML
Asger Waagepetersen +3 · “Outcome-adapted Automatic Debiased Machine Learning”
2607.03351 -
cs.LG arXiv submitted 2026-07-03Same-timescale SGD recovers multiscale features at Tensor-PCA cost
Joan Bruna · “The Multiscale Single-Index Model: A Stylized Model for Hierarchical Feature Learning”
2607.03347 -
math.ST arXiv submitted 2026-07-03Normality test works with missing entries
Daniel Gaigall +1 · “A BHEP test for multivariate normality on incomplete data”
2607.03335 -
cs.LG arXiv submitted 2026-07-03Geometry hard-bounds hallucination in giant models
Bing Cheng +3 · “Statistically Meaningful Geometry (SMG) Beyond the Euclidean Paradigm, with Application to Generative AI”
2607.03329 -
stat.ME arXiv submitted 2026-07-03Directional half-spaces cut variance in extremal variograms
Manuel Hentschel +3 · “Directional variograms for multivariate extremes”
2607.03290 -
math.CO arXiv submitted 2026-07-03One SDP certifies every wrong class at once
Margot Boyer (CEDRIC - OC) +3 · “Fast SDP certification of neural networks : towards large multi-class datasets”
2607.03232 -
stat.ME arXiv submitted 2026-07-03Multiverse tests for clustered data without random-effects guesswork
Anna Vesely +1 · “Post-Selection Inference for Multiverse Analysis in Mixed-Effects Models (PIMAX)”
2607.03225 -
cs.LG arXiv submitted 2026-07-03Upstream ensemble matching decides if river uncertainty survives
Karan Ruparell +6 · “Joint distribution of upstream runoff governs downstream river-discharge prediction uncertainty in distributed ML models”
2607.03217 -
cs.LG arXiv submitted 2026-07-03Learn choice maps, not raw counts, for transferable OD flows
Changjian Liu +7 · “OpFlow: Learning Opportunity-Conditioned Choice Potentials for Robust OD Flow Prediction”
2607.03200 -
math.ST arXiv submitted 2026-07-03Subsampling maps CRW angles to exact convolutions
Joseph D. Bailey +1 · “Effect of sampling on the descriptive distributions of correlated random walks”
2607.03186 -
stat.ML arXiv submitted 2026-07-03Denoising causal error proxies unlocks safe selective deployment
Xinyun Lu +2 · “Denoised Conformal Alignment for Reliable Selection of Conditional Average Treatment Effect Predictions”
2607.03161 -
cs.LG arXiv submitted 2026-07-03Curvature on a labeled graph picks better training samples
Alexandre L. M. Levada · “CuBAS: Information Geometric Curvature-Based Adaptive Sampling for Supervised Classification”
2607.03145 -
stat.ME arXiv submitted 2026-07-03Spectral bandwidths stop fuzzy clustering from collapsing to uniform
Efthymios Costa +1 · “Spectrally Tuned Bandwidth Selection for Kernel Fuzzy Relational Clustering”
2607.03117 -
cs.DS arXiv submitted 2026-07-03One random map shrinks curves while keeping Fréchet distances
Matthijs Ebbens +2 · “Dimension Reduction for Curves: Simplified and Generalized”
2607.03112 -
cs.AI arXiv submitted 2026-07-03Zero-shot LLMs hit 52% on unseen survey answers
Chan-Tung Ku +5 · “Silicon Sampling via Cross-Survey Transfer”
2607.03091 -
stat.ME arXiv submitted 2026-07-03Cooperativity recovered from pooled Markov sums alone
Robin Requadt +1 · “Inferring Cooperativity From Pooled Measurements”
2607.03088 -
cs.LG arXiv submitted 2026-07-03Screened pooling cuts Ising error without irrepresentable conditions
Joonho Kim +1 · “Transfer Learning in High-dimensional Ising Models”
2607.03005 -
stat.ME arXiv submitted 2026-07-03Sphere uncertainty split into mean
Kisung You +1 · “Geometric Information Decomposition for Weighted Empirical Measures on the Sphere”
2607.02943 -
stat.ME arXiv submitted 2026-07-03Three gaps reveal hidden spherical structure beyond mean direction
Kisung You +1 · “Geometric Information Decomposition for Weighted Empirical Measures on the Sphere”
2607.02943 -
stat.AP arXiv submitted 2026-07-03NBA near optimal shot mix
Nirek Duma +1 · “Efficient Frontier Optimization of NBA Shot Selection Using Markov Reward Processes”
2607.02933 -
stat.ME arXiv submitted 2026-07-03Proxies identify mediation effects when intermediate confounders are hidden
Xiaoying Zhang +2 · “Proximal Mediation Analysis with Unmeasured Treatment-Induced Confounding”
2607.02901 -
cs.IT arXiv submitted 2026-07-03Is one adaptive bit enough for optimal mean estimation?
Ivan Lau +1 · “Open Problem: Is Interaction Necessary for Order-Optimal 1-bit Mean Estimation?”
2607.02896 -
cs.LG arXiv submitted 2026-07-03Drift as misspecification: optimal rates for changing bandits
Zihao Hu +3 · “Dynamic Regret for Non-Stationary Linear Bandits via Misspecification Reductions”
2607.02891 -
stat.AP arXiv submitted 2026-07-03Sustainable cryptos hedge green markets better than Bitcoin
Chang Li +3 · “Green Haven or Risky Venture? Exploring the Connectedness and Hedging of Sustainable Cryptocurrencies and Green Financial Markets”
2607.02852 -
stat.ME arXiv submitted 2026-07-03One R formula unifies spatial and space-time SAE models
Andrew O. Finley · “stLMM: Bayesian Spatial and Space-Time Linear Mixed Models for Small-Area Ecological Estimation”
2607.02836 -
stat.ME arXiv submitted 2026-07-02Real-world data help trials only when bias is modest
M. Ehsan Karim · “When Does Trial-Real-World Data Fusion Improve Precision? Model Auditing and Selection-Aware Inference for Adaptive-TMLE”
2607.02787 -
stat.ME arXiv submitted 2026-07-02Trial fusion gains fade once real-world bias tops one residual SD
M. Ehsan Karim · “When Does Trial-Real-World Data Fusion Improve Precision? Model Auditing and Selection-Aware Inference for Adaptive-TMLE”
2607.02787 -
stat.ME arXiv submitted 2026-07-02Latent Poisson network maps hidden Amazon sites and tree links
Laura C. M. Teixeira +3 · “A Bayesian Joint Model for Multiple Point Processes with Application to Presence-Only Data”
2607.02786 -
stat.ME arXiv submitted 2026-07-02Closed-form SEs for latent Gaussian VARs on discrete series
Christopher M. Crawford +5 · “Analytic Standard Errors for Latent Gaussian Discrete-Valued Multivariate Time Series”
2607.02732 -
stat.ME arXiv submitted 2026-07-02New estimators cut variance up to 73% for two-stage survival data
Kirsten E. Landsiedel +3 · “Targeted maximum likelihood estimation for longitudinal two-stage designs with outcome subsampling”
2607.02702 -
stat.ML arXiv submitted 2026-07-02Filtering kills the √d contamination barrier in multi-task learning
Ye Tian +2 · “Contaminated Multi-task Learning with Heterogeneity: Fundamental Limits and Optimal Algorithms”
2607.02681 -
stat.ML arXiv submitted 2026-07-02Diffusion models cannot benignly overfit
Tyler Farghly +3 · “Benign Overfitting Does Not Occur in Diffusion Models”
2607.02671 -
cs.AI arXiv submitted 2026-07-02Simple threshold monitor matches advanced LLM safety checks
Mona Schirmer +5 · “Online Safety Monitoring for LLMs”
2607.02510 -
stat.AP arXiv submitted 2026-07-02CESM low-energy matches contrast at 0.874 patient AUC
Sara Antonijevic +1 · “Masked complex non-decimated wavelet features for patient-level classification of contrast-enhanced mammography”
2607.02394 -
stat.ME arXiv submitted 2026-07-02The paper develops design-based inference for experiments that randomly assign…
Jiawei Fu +2 · “Inference for Group Interaction Experiments”
2607.02385 -
stat.ML arXiv submitted 2026-07-02LLM personas split into frame-stable aggregates and frame-sensitive geometry
Yuan Yuan · “The Dual Nature of LLM Persona: Aggregated Tendencies and Frame-Dependent Geometry”
2607.02368