BICR trains a lightweight probe on contrastive hidden states from real versus blind images to detect visual grounding in LVLM predictions, outperforming baselines on calibration and discrimination with fewer parameters.
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Uncertainty estimation in autoregressive structured prediction
15 Pith papers cite this work. Polarity classification is still indexing.
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UNVERDICTED 15representative citing papers
BalanceRAG uses sequential graphical testing on a 2D lattice of threshold pairs to certify safe operating points that meet target risk levels in cascaded RAG while increasing coverage.
VL-LCM measures vision-language logical consistency without annotations and shows that recent MLLMs have high accuracy but low logical consistency on benchmarks like MMMU and NaturalBench.
DisAAD trains a 1%-sized proxy model via adversarial distillation to quantify uncertainty in black-box LLMs by aligning with their output distributions.
Unsupervised single-generation confidence calibration for reasoning LLMs via offline self-consistency proxy distillation outperforms baselines on math and QA tasks and improves selective prediction.
Ensemble Semantic Entropy improves correlation with code correctness over single-model methods and powers a cascading scaling system that cuts FLOPs by 64.9% while preserving performance on LiveCodeBench.
GlimpRouter uses the entropy of the first token in each reasoning step to decide whether to invoke a large model, yielding 10.7% higher accuracy and 25.9% lower latency than a standalone large model on AIME25.
Entropy After </Think> (EAT) enables early exiting in reasoning LLMs by tracking entropy stabilization after a </think> token, cutting token use 12-22% on MATH500 and AIME2025 with no accuracy loss.
LLMs achieve higher accuracy than humans on compositional imagery tasks previously argued to require pictorial representations, supporting emergent propositional mental imagery in AI.
Semantic entropy improves uncertainty estimation in natural language generation by incorporating semantic equivalences, outperforming standard entropy baselines on predicting model accuracy for question answering.
Mainstream UQ for LLMs reduces to unsupervised clustering of internal generation consistency and therefore cannot detect confident hallucinations or provide reliable safety signals.
Feature rivalry in SAE representations strengthens with model uncertainty on high-entropy questions, enables output steering, and predicts answer correctness with AUROC 0.689 in Gemma-2-2B.
Informativeness and diversity of samples selected by active learning show no correlation with test performance on translation tasks using few samples; ordering and pre-training effects dominate instead.
Supervised fine-tuning degrades the correlation between confidence scores and output quality in language models, driven by factors like training distribution similarity rather than true quality.
Introduces Explicit Logic Channel (ELC) with LLM, VFM and probabilistic inference for validating, selecting and enhancing MLLMs on zero-shot tasks using Consistency Rate and cross-channel integration.
citing papers explorer
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Grounded or Guessing? LVLM Confidence Estimation via Blind-Image Contrastive Ranking
BICR trains a lightweight probe on contrastive hidden states from real versus blind images to detect visual grounding in LVLM predictions, outperforming baselines on calibration and discrimination with fewer parameters.
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BalanceRAG: Joint Risk Calibration for Cascaded Retrieval-Augmented Generation
BalanceRAG uses sequential graphical testing on a 2D lattice of threshold pairs to certify safe operating points that meet target risk levels in cascaded RAG while increasing coverage.
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Towards Annotation-Free Validation of MLLMs: A Vision-Language Logical Consistency Metric
VL-LCM measures vision-language logical consistency without annotations and shows that recent MLLMs have high accuracy but low logical consistency on benchmarks like MMMU and NaturalBench.
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Estimating the Black-box LLM Uncertainty with Distribution-Aligned Adversarial Distillation
DisAAD trains a 1%-sized proxy model via adversarial distillation to quantify uncertainty in black-box LLMs by aligning with their output distributions.
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Unsupervised Confidence Calibration for Reasoning LLMs from a Single Generation
Unsupervised single-generation confidence calibration for reasoning LLMs via offline self-consistency proxy distillation outperforms baselines on math and QA tasks and improves selective prediction.
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Ensemble-Based Uncertainty Estimation for Code Correctness Estimation
Ensemble Semantic Entropy improves correlation with code correctness over single-model methods and powers a cascading scaling system that cuts FLOPs by 64.9% while preserving performance on LiveCodeBench.
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GlimpRouter: Efficient Collaborative Inference by Glimpsing One Token of Thoughts
GlimpRouter uses the entropy of the first token in each reasoning step to decide whether to invoke a large model, yielding 10.7% higher accuracy and 25.9% lower latency than a standalone large model on AIME25.
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Entropy After </Think> for reasoning model early exiting
Entropy After </Think> (EAT) enables early exiting in reasoning LLMs by tracking entropy stabilization after a </think> token, cutting token use 12-22% on MATH500 and AIME2025 with no accuracy loss.
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Artificial Phantasia: Emergent Mental Imagery in Large Language Models
LLMs achieve higher accuracy than humans on compositional imagery tasks previously argued to require pictorial representations, supporting emergent propositional mental imagery in AI.
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Semantic Uncertainty: Linguistic Invariances for Uncertainty Estimation in Natural Language Generation
Semantic entropy improves uncertainty estimation in natural language generation by incorporating semantic equivalences, outperforming standard entropy baselines on predicting model accuracy for question answering.
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Position: Uncertainty Quantification in LLMs is Just Unsupervised Clustering
Mainstream UQ for LLMs reduces to unsupervised clustering of internal generation consistency and therefore cannot detect confident hallucinations or provide reliable safety signals.
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Feature Rivalry in Sparse Autoencoder Representations: A Mechanistic Study of Uncertainty-Driven Feature Competition in LLMs
Feature rivalry in SAE representations strengthens with model uncertainty on high-entropy questions, enables output steering, and predicts answer correctness with AUROC 0.689 in Gemma-2-2B.
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Testing the Assumptions of Active Learning for Translation Tasks with Few Samples
Informativeness and diversity of samples selected by active learning show no correlation with test performance on translation tasks using few samples; ordering and pre-training effects dominate instead.
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Confident in a Confidence Score: Investigating the Sensitivity of Confidence Scores to Supervised Fine-Tuning
Supervised fine-tuning degrades the correlation between confidence scores and output quality in language models, driven by factors like training distribution similarity rather than true quality.
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Explicit Logic Channel for Validation and Enhancement of MLLMs on Zero-Shot Tasks
Introduces Explicit Logic Channel (ELC) with LLM, VFM and probabilistic inference for validating, selecting and enhancing MLLMs on zero-shot tasks using Consistency Rate and cross-channel integration.