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6894 papers in stat · page 2

  1. cs.LG 2026-07-01 reviewed
    Decision loss augments energy score for cost-aware forecasts

    Decision-Aware Training for Sample-Based Generative Models

    Kornelius Raeth +1

  2. stat.ML 2026-07-01 reviewed
    Separable graphs unify independence models in mixed graphs

    Characterizing and Identifying Separable Graphical Models

    Christopher Meek +1

  3. stat.ML 2026-07-01 reviewed
    Refined assumption gives dichotomy counts for low-dimensional data

    Function-Counting Theory for Low-Dimensional Data Structures

    Konstantin H\"aberle +1

  4. stat.ML 2026-07-01 reviewed
    Monotone transforms unify multitask learning for mixed outcomes

    Deep Multitask Learning for Mixed-Type Outcomes with Shared Sparsity

    Huichao Li +3

  5. stat.ME 2026-07-01 reviewed
    Baseline treatment identifies effects despite informative switching

    An Instrumental Variable Approach to Account for Informative Treatment Switching in Real-world Evidence

    Yang Liu +3

  6. stat.ME 2026-07-01 reviewed
    GGMNIRA quantifies node influence via KL after mean manipulations

    Simulating Node Manipulations in Gaussian Graphical Models: The GGMNIRA Framework for Continuous and Ordinal Psychological Network Data

    Yiming Wu +2

  7. stat.AP 2026-07-01 reviewed
    Bayesian model clusters Venice micro-mobility users into eight profiles

    Beyond the Flow: A Bayesian Latent Clustering Framework for Shared Micro-mobility Users in Venice

    Vanshika Keshwani +1

  8. cs.IT 2026-07-01 reviewed
    Planted subgraph recovery threshold set by minimal max density

    Recovery of Planted Subgraphs

    Wasim Huleihel

  9. stat.ML 2026-07-01 reviewed
    Surrogate variable enables explicit process noise modeling in Kalman filters

    Hierarchical Variational Kalman Filtering

    Shilei Li +3

  10. stat.ME 2026-07-01 reviewed
    Transfer learning yields consistent quantile regression estimators

    Transfert learning and adaptive LASSO quantile

    Gabriela Ciuperca

  11. stat.ME 2026-07-01 reviewed
    Latent achievement enters self-efficacy regression via conditional copula

    How does academic performance affect self-efficacy? Interpretable modelling through latent academic achievement

    Sarah Lee +2

  12. math.NA 2026-07-01 reviewed
    Symmetric CAEs yield more accurate latent trajectories in PDE models

    Convolutional Symmetric AutoEncoders: enhancing latent stability via differential geometry

    G. Li Causi +3

  13. math.ST 2026-07-01 reviewed
    Approximating region contains full-conformal set in multi-task regression

    Approximate full-conformal multi-task regression with reproducing kernels

    Davidson Lova Razafindrakoto (SAMM) +2

  14. stat.CO 2026-07-01 reviewed
    MCMC proposals achieve near dimension-independent variance

    Optimal scaling of MCMC algorithms: exploiting the symmetry of the Metropolis-Hastings formula

    P. Dobson +2

  15. cs.LG 2026-07-01 reviewed
    Active-GRPO raises average SRxSim to 0.1773 by updating references

    Active-GRPO: Adaptive Imitation and Self-Improving Reasoning for Molecular Optimization

    Xuefeng Liu +5

  16. cs.LG 2026-07-01 reviewed
    A staged framework uses SEM then OLS then double machine learning to check which survey…

    From Structural Equation Modelling to Double Machine Learning: Robustness Analysis for Survey-Based Research

    Ka Ching Chan +3

  17. cs.LG 2026-07-01 reviewed
  18. cs.LG 2026-07-01 reviewed
    Linear transformers map context distributions to responses at dim-free rates

    Ghost in the Kernel: In-Context Learning with Efficient Transformers via Domain Generalization

    Peilin Liu +1

  19. stat.ML 2026-07-01 reviewed
    Neural network recovers time-varying AR coefficients for forecasts

    Neural Network-Based Estimation of Time-Dependent Parameters in AR(p) Processes

    Agnieszka Kope\'c +2

  20. stat.ME 2026-07-01 reviewed
    Distributed estimator reaches two-phase minimax rates for unidentifiable prediction

    Distributed Prediction under Heterogeneity with Unidentifiable Parameter

    Erbo Li +4

  21. stat.ME 2026-07-01 reviewed
    Intervals achieve nominal coverage for risk difference in paired data

    Confidence Intervals for the Risk Difference in Combined Unilateral and Bilateral Data Incorporating a Distribution-Based Approach

    Jia Zhou +1

  22. stat.ME 2026-07-01 reviewed
    Selective borrowing lets hybrid trials use external data safely

    Robust Estimation and Inference with Selective Borrowing in Hybrid Controlled Trials: A Tutorial with SelectiveIntegrative and intFRT

    Ke Zhu +3

  23. stat.AP 2026-07-01 reviewed
    Reverse-martingale RNN matches forecast skill while warning of drought ahead of SPI-3

    Coupling Precipitation Forecasting and Early Warning with Reverse-Martingale Recurrent Neural Networks

    Hui-Mean Foo +1

  24. math.ST 2026-07-01 reviewed
    Three-stage estimator consistent for hybrid Lévy switching SDEs

    Ergodicity and High-Frequency Inference for Hybrid Switching L\'{e}vy-Driven Stochastic Differential Equations

    Yuzhong Cheng

  25. stat.ML 2026-07-01 reviewed
    FNOs achieve polynomial sample complexity on dissipative PDE operators

    From Spectral Methods to Sample Complexity Bounds for Fourier Neural Operators

    Nisha Chandramoorthy +2

  26. stat.AP 2026-07-01 reviewed
    Economic variables predict suicide rates in western counties

    Economic Disparities and Their Relationship to Destructive Health Behaviors in Five Western U.S. States

    Noah Jackson +1

  27. econ.EM 2026-07-01 reviewed
    Valid intervals for network densities survive group selection from data

    Post-selection inference for network structure

    Eric Auerbach +2

  28. cs.LG 2026-07-01 reviewed
    Causal models recover Airbnb guest price responses from booking data

    Understanding Guest Preferences and Optimizing Two-sided Marketplaces: Airbnb as an Example

    Yufei Wu +1

  29. cs.LG 2026-06-30 reviewed
    Entropy regularization improves sparse recovery in federated learning

    Entropy-Regularized Probabilistic Gates for Sparse Model Discovery in Scarce-Data Federated Learning

    Krishna Harsha Kovelakuntla Huthasana +2

  30. math.ST 2026-06-30 reviewed
    Worst-case top-k norm of heavy-tailed averages bounded by constants

    Worst-Case Maximal Inequalities for Heavy-tailed Random Vectors

    Woonyoung Chang

  31. stat.ML 2026-06-30 reviewed
    X-VAE replaces standard normal prior with data-derived Gaussian

    eXact-Prior Variational Autoencoder (X-VAE): Learning Data-Adaptive Gaussian Mixture Priors for Latent Distributions

    Qijun Chen +1

  32. cs.LG 2026-06-30 reviewed
  33. stat.AP 2026-06-30 reviewed
    CTMC-Krylov and QBD recursions compute waiting times in dynamic-priority queues

    Waiting time analysis in a finite-capacity multi-server systems with dynamic priorities, dynamically evolving customer types, and abandonment

    M. Abdullah Khokhar +2

  34. math.ST 2026-06-30 reviewed
    Full token observation lowers sample needs for watermark proportion estimates

    Sample Complexities of Estimating Gumbel--Max Watermark Proportions with and without Reduction to Pivotal Statistics

    Shuwen Chai +1

  35. math.ST 2026-06-30 reviewed
    Full data beats pivotal reduction for watermark proportion estimates

    Sample Complexities of Estimating Gumbel--Max Watermark Proportions with and without Reduction to Pivotal Statistics

    Shuwen Chai +1

  36. stat.ME 2026-06-30 reviewed
    Marginal separable effects summarize causal effects for everyone

    Causal Inference for All: Marginal Estimands for Outcomes Truncated by Death

    Ruixuan Zhao +2

  37. math.ST 2026-06-30 reviewed
    GLM formulation unifies Laplace BNN predictive estimators

    A Short Review of Estimators for the GLM predictive of Laplace Bayesian Neural Networks

    Romie Banerjee

  38. math.OC 2026-06-30 reviewed
    No constant learning rate guarantees monotone descent in adversarial least squares

    Homogenization of $\ell_2$-Adversarial Training in High-Dimensions: Exact Dynamics under Stochastic Gradient Descent

    Fabrizzio Sabelli

  39. stat.ME 2026-06-30 reviewed
    Estimator fixes normal measurement errors in quantile regression

    Quantile regression with measurement errors

    Mushan Li +2

  40. cs.LG 2026-06-30 reviewed
    Three RL methods for LLMs reduce to one standard-deviation dial

    GRPO, Dr. GRPO, and DAPO Are Three Operations on One Number: The Group-Standard-Deviation Identity

    Yong Yi Bay +1

  41. math.PR 2026-06-30 reviewed
    SVGD particles stay close to mean-field limit for all time

    Uniform-in-time Propagation-of-Chaos for Stein Variational Gradient Descent

    Krishnakumar Balasubramanian +2

  42. stat.ME 2026-06-30 reviewed
    StaLoP boosts panel forecasts using similarity in target-local states

    Similarity-Based Prediction for Digital Twins: Panel Data, Theory, and Applications

    Ruihang Han +1

  43. math.ST 2026-06-30 reviewed
    Moment estimator consistent and normal for dynamic graph models

    Analysis of a maximum-entropy based estimator for dynamic random graph models

    Diego Garlaschelli +3

  44. math.OC 2026-06-30 reviewed
    Random reshuffling beats SGD for any reasonable stepsize

    Random Reshuffling Dominates Stochastic Gradient Descent

    Zijian Liu

  45. stat.ME 2026-06-30 reviewed
    Projection yields consistent payment estimators from macro insurance data

    Payment Process Estimation in Aggregated Insurance Models

    Martin Bladt +1

  46. stat.ME 2026-06-30 reviewed
    Joint spatial model shrinks variances in ACS small-area estimates

    Scalable Joint Modeling of Dependent Multi-Type Survey Data for Small Area Estimation

    Zewei Kong +2

  47. cs.LG 2026-06-30 reviewed
    Signed gauges recover 91% of RMSNorm coordinates across fine-tunes

    Signed-Permutation Coordinate Transport for RMSNorm Transformers

    John Sweeney

  48. stat.AP 2026-06-30 reviewed
    Argo data produces OHC maps with correlated uncertainty

    Locally stationary Argo ocean heat content estimates: Modeling, validation and uncertainty quantification

    Thea Sukianto +5

  49. stat.ME 2026-06-30 reviewed
    Conformal p-values select treatment beneficiaries with FDR control

    A Conformal Selection Framework for Individual Treatment Beneficiaries with Auxiliary External Data

    Jiajun Liu +2

  50. math.PR 2026-06-30 reviewed
    Graph geometry and dependence set empirical rates

    Coupling and Maximal Inequalities for Graph-Dependent Empirical Processes

    Mengsi Gao +1