INDEX
Every paper Pith has read and judged, in one searchable index.
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stat.ME arXiv submitted 2026-07-26Closed-form influence functions for every Markov model
Trung Phung +1 · “A Characterization of the Orthocomplement of the Tangent Space of Semiparametric Markov Models”
2607.23439 -
stat.ML arXiv submitted 2026-07-26Joint slow-fast learning lifts shock profits 9–12%
Young Hyun Cho +4 · “Two-Timescale Hierarchical Reinforcement Learning for Resilient Operations”
2607.23434 -
cs.LG arXiv submitted 2026-07-26Skip the fake ECG: direct PPG hits Grade A blood pressure
Bo Wu +3 · “Blood Pressure Estimation from PPG: A Comparative Study of Direct and ECG-Mediated Deep Learning Pipelines”
2607.23406 -
math.PR arXiv submitted 2026-07-26Large blocks in Pitman–Yor partitions converge without scaling
Ross Arthur Maller +1 · “Limit Theorems for the Pitman-Yor Frequency Spectrum”
2607.23401 -
cs.LG arXiv submitted 2026-07-26Wide nets still need singularities: fixed kernels lose
Sumio Watanabe · “A Statistical Difference between Single-Layer Learning and Hierarchical Learning in Wide Neural Networks”
2607.23397 -
stat.ME arXiv submitted 2026-07-25INLA posteriors split across machines without losing the answer
Mario Figueira +3 · “Distributed and recursive Bayesian inference for Big Data and complex spatio-temporal models”
2607.23396 -
stat.ME arXiv submitted 2026-07-25Bayesian model sharpens causal odds for ordered outcomes
Rituparna Dey +2 · “Causal Inference of Ordinal Outcomes: A Bayesian Solution”
2607.23372 -
cs.LG arXiv submitted 2026-07-25Regime-aware fusion beats static blending for Bitcoin direction
Muhammad Abdullah Haroon · “Bitcoin Price Direction Prediction via Regime-Aware Multi-Modal Fusion of Social Sentiment and Technical Features”
2607.23370 -
stat.ML arXiv submitted 2026-07-25Logit coordinates beat one-hot for mixed tabular data
Yuefei Shen +1 · “Logit-Coordinate Generative Models for Mixed Continuous-Categorical Tabular Data”
2607.23348 -
stat.ML arXiv submitted 2026-07-25One estimator unites in-context learning and classic adaptive models
Yue Yao +11 · “Context-Adaptive Inference: A Unified Statistical and Foundation-Model View”
2607.23304 -
econ.GN arXiv submitted 2026-07-25Formula One has become more predictable than ever
D\'ora Gr\'eta Petr\'oczy +1 · “Ranking-based competitive balance measures in Formula One”
2607.23303 -
stat.ME arXiv submitted 2026-07-25Neural network delivers multistate Bayesian posterior in milliseconds
Yuxi Zhu +1 · “AIM: Amortized Inference for Multistate Transition Models”
2607.23294 -
stat.AP arXiv submitted 2026-07-25Outperform FRAX: EHR plus DXA ranks fracture risk better
Jiahe Qian +8 · “Fracture Risk Prediction in Adults Over 50 Years Old Using DXA and EHR: Comparison of Traditional and Machine Learning Models in Two Large Cohorts”
2607.28671 -
stat.ML arXiv submitted 2026-07-25Sliding least squares recovers asymptotic constants with proven rates
Christos N. Efrem · “Learning Asymptotics with Convergence-Rate Guarantees using Linear Least Squares”
2607.23287 -
stat.CO arXiv submitted 2026-07-25Classic resolution theorems fail to guarantee unique solutions
Robert Rajko +1 · “Uniqueness in multivariate curve resolution, re-tuned”
2607.23280 -
eess.SP arXiv submitted 2026-07-25Smart-surface sensor that estimates channel beats energy detection
Nikhilsingh Parihar +2 · “GLRT for Reconfigurable Intelligent Surface aided Spectrum Sensing”
2607.23277 -
stat.AP arXiv submitted 2026-07-25Goal, not data, picks the best RCT estimator
Harsh Parikh +7 · “Towards Optimal Estimators for Randomized Control Trials”
2607.23254 -
stat.ML arXiv submitted 2026-07-25Federated MDL mining recovers patterns no local site can see
Samar Samir Khalil +2 · “FedSLIM: Privacy-Preserving Federated MDL-Based Descriptive Pattern Mining Across Data Silos”
2607.23236 -
stat.AP arXiv submitted 2026-07-25CoLaDAG beats five baselines at directed microbiome graph recovery
Shuyan Chen +2 · “CoLaDAG: Compositional Latent Log-ratio DAG Analysis of the Gut Microbiome under Silver Nanoparticle Exposure”
2607.23233 -
cs.LG arXiv submitted 2026-07-25Diffusion quality pinned to four measurable error terms
Jinshu Huang +2 · “From Score Learning to Discretized Sampling: An End-to-End Generalization Analysis of Diffusion Models”
2607.23226 -
stat.ML arXiv submitted 2026-07-25Piecewise-affine generators identified without smoothness or injectivity
Pengzhou Wu · “Beyond ICA: Identifiability by Symmetry Breaking”
2607.23182 -
stat.ML arXiv submitted 2026-07-25Reusing the forecast gate sharpens intervals by up to 32%
Ziling Ma +4 · “Adaptive Multi-Scale Forecasting and Gate-Localized Conformal Prediction for Multivariate Nonstationary Time Series”
2607.23165 -
stat.ME arXiv submitted 2026-07-25Sequential certificate caps false balance confirmation at δ
Seungjin Choi · “Anytime-Valid Confirmation of Covariate Balance for Prespecified Corrections”
2607.23157 -
stat.ME arXiv submitted 2026-07-25Dynamic networks get one universal limit object
Charles Dufour +1 · “Decorated graphons for temporal network estimation”
2607.23145 -
stat.ME arXiv submitted 2026-07-25A learned inverse turns LLM phrase odds into state posteriors
Matthew Francis Dixon · “Identification and Learning of Semantic Observation Kernels: Partial Observation, Uniform Recovery, & Minimax Limits”
2607.23130 -
stat.ML arXiv submitted 2026-07-25Operator NJ-ODE converges to optimal predictor in function spaces
Florian Krach +2 · “Operator Neural Jump ODEs: $L^2$-optimal prediction in function spaces”
2607.23110 -
stat.ME arXiv submitted 2026-07-25Second-order risk formula for normal fits to t-distributed data
Yo Sheena · “Convergence of Estimative Density to Information Projection for Misspecified Normal Distribution Model”
2607.23092 -
stat.ME arXiv submitted 2026-07-25N-EM algorithm fits integral-likelihood models
Guo-Liang Tian +2 · “The normalized expectation-maximization (N-EM) algorithm”
2607.23086 -
math.ST arXiv submitted 2026-07-25Partial observation, not the epidemic, decides what is identifiable
Md Asaduzzaman · “Identifiability and Information-Based Inference for Epidemic Transmission Models Under Partial Observation”
2607.23079 -
stat.ME arXiv submitted 2026-07-25Spatial copula models fail without Kolmogorov consistency
Axel B\"ucher +1 · “Copulas for Geostatistical Data: Foundations, Modeling Principles and Statistical Inference”
2607.23063 -
cs.CV arXiv submitted 2026-07-25A 25 MB model beats 125 MB CNNs on land-cover maps
Atiq Ur Rehman +1 · “When Less Is More: A Controlled Benchmark of Lightweight CNNs for Satellite Land-Cover Segmentation on DeepGlobe”
2607.23024 -
stat.ML arXiv submitted 2026-07-25Boosted GPs pass the 99.9% storm-ionosphere test
Jeremy Ovadia · “Covariance-Boosted Gaussian Processes for Spatiotemporal Irregularities”
2607.23018 -
stat.ME arXiv submitted 2026-07-25Factor-of-2 guarantee for non-exchangeable Monte Carlo p-values
Rina Foygel Barber +1 · “Monte Carlo testing: non-asymptotic guarantees without joint exchangeability”
2607.23010 -
stat.CO arXiv submitted 2026-07-25Sampler swap lets subset simulation find failures at 1003 dimensions
Adwait Sharma +2 · “SuSIE: Subset Simulation with Intrepid Exploration”
2607.22989 -
stat.ML arXiv submitted 2026-07-25Conformal selection keeps FDR control when calibration labels are noisy
Chengyao Yu +2 · “Robust Conformalized Selection with Noisy Responses”
2607.22985 -
cs.LG arXiv submitted 2026-07-25NPG converges at O(H^2/t) in finite-horizon MDPs
Asha Barua +1 · “Finite-Time Analysis of the Natural Policy Gradient in Finite-Horizon Markov Decision Processes”
2607.22982 -
stat.ML arXiv submitted 2026-07-25Lazy training turns feature-importance testing into a z-test
Anand Singh +3 · “Variable Importance Identification Through Lazy Training for Binary Classification”
2607.22979 -
math.ST arXiv submitted 2026-07-25Gaffke's bound can't be beaten by any same-order rival
George Bissias +1 · “On the Order-Conditional Optimality of Gaffke's Bound”
2607.22971 -
math.ST arXiv submitted 2026-07-24One signature functional solves quickest detection
Mingrui Wang +1 · “Quickest Detection with Rough Path Signatures”
2607.22958 -
cs.CL arXiv submitted 2026-07-24LLM pipeline flags candidate conflicts in 7 in 10 discharge summaries
Jian Lu +7 · “Toward Automated Detection of Documentation Inconsistencies in Electronic Health Records”
2607.22954 -
stat.ML arXiv submitted 2026-07-24LLM failures cluster over time; i.i.d
Robab Aghazadeh Chakherlou +3 · “Modeling Memory-Dependent Reliability of LLMs: A Hidden Markov Model”
2607.22951 -
stat.ME arXiv submitted 2026-07-24New estimand frees win statistics from reach-weighted dominance
David McCoy +4 · “Priority-Standardized Net Benefit: A Stage-Normalized Estimand for Hierarchical Composite Endpoints”
2607.22950 -
stat.ME arXiv submitted 2026-07-24Gradual effects can multiply stepped-wedge cluster needs by five
Samantha M. Levy +1 · “A Framework for Parametric Time-Varying Treatment Effects in Multiple Intervention Stepped Wedge Design Clinical Trials in the Presence of Non-Uniform Cluster-Period Correlation Structures”
2607.22936 -
stat.ML arXiv submitted 2026-07-24One model finds causal graphs and intervention targets at scale
Yichen Gu +4 · “Amortized Bayesian Causal Discovery of Extended Factor Graphs”
2607.22934 -
stat.ME arXiv submitted 2026-07-24One simulation pass calibrates 438 Bayesian trial designs in minutes
Zhangyi He +3 · “Rapid evaluation and calibration of Bayesian group sequential designs via conjugate-mixture semi-simulation”
2607.22900 -
physics.data-an arXiv submitted 2026-07-24Field-theory detector spots signals hidden inside spectral noise
Riccardo Finotello +3 · “Data Field Theory: Theory and Applications of the Functional Renormalization Group for Signal Detection”
2607.27236 -
cs.LG arXiv submitted 2026-07-24Two metrics flag uncertainty before out-of-sample labels arrive
Moein E. Samadi +1 · “From Hybrid Mechanistic--Data-Driven Modeling Toward Neuro-Symbolic AI: What, Why, and How”
2607.22811 -
stat.ML arXiv submitted 2026-07-24Machine-checked proofs close the log-squared ATE gap
Jiyuan Tan +1 · “CausalForge: A Formally Grounded, Self-Improving Agentic Framework for Automated Research in Causal Inference”
2607.22511 -
stat.ME arXiv submitted 2026-07-24V-fold jackknife gives valid confidence intervals with just V refits
Yi Li +2 · “The V-fold jackknife for semiparametric inference: variance estimation, confidence intervals, and simultaneous confidence bands”
2607.22493 -
cs.LG arXiv submitted 2026-07-24Stopped negative-shifted GD escapes negative ridge's pole barrier
Peng Zhao · “Beyond Negative-Ridge Endpoints: Mixed-Sign Spectral Regularization via Negative-Shifted Gradient Descent”
2607.22474