INDEX
Every paper Pith has read and judged, in one searchable index.
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math.ST arXiv submitted 2026-07-23Estimator reaches unimprovable rate for black-box nuisance models
Yihong Gu · “Optimal use of a black-box learner in semiparametric estimation”
2607.21541 -
quant-ph arXiv submitted 2026-07-23One bound sets estimation limits for classical and quantum imaging
Mankei Tsang · “Unified theory of classical and quantum semiparametric efficiency”
2607.21524 -
stat.ME arXiv submitted 2026-07-23Sampling intervals fix instrument-selection errors at parametric rate
Ziwei Mei +2 · “Identification and Robust Inference for Multiple Treatment Effects with Possibly Invalid Instruments”
2607.21481 -
cs.LG arXiv submitted 2026-07-23Proved: certifying low missed mass needs excluded-pool audits
Martin Anthony +1 · “Finite-Sample Coverage Audits for High-Recall Candidate Generation: Certification and Learning-Theoretic Design”
2607.21480 -
cs.AI arXiv submitted 2026-07-23Smoothing token scores localizes AI-written text in mixed documents
Yangjun Lu +5 · “Detecting LLM-Generated Tokens in Human--LLM Coauthored Text”
2607.21458 -
astro-ph.IM arXiv submitted 2026-07-23Coherence in multi-band AGN light curves is just a squared correlation
Samata Das +4 · “Modeling Dependence Structures in Astronomical Multi-Band Time Series Data via Multi-Output Gaussian Processes”
2607.21431 -
cs.LG arXiv submitted 2026-07-23Shared-encoder features pick which tasks can cooperate
Ahmad Halimi Razlighi +4 · “Semantic-Aware Task Clustering for Constructive and Cooperative Multi-Tasking”
2607.21426 -
quant-ph arXiv submitted 2026-07-23Quantum circuits' test loss peaks at p=NK
Marie Kempkes +7 · “Cautious optimism for deep parameterized quantum circuits”
2607.21409 -
cs.LG arXiv submitted 2026-07-23Pre-deployment twin matches an oracle on every axis
Ziping Xu +7 · “A Diffusion-Model Subpopulation Digital Twin for Mobile Health Deployment: A Case Study on the HeartSteps Intervention”
2607.21403 -
math.NA arXiv submitted 2026-07-23Photoacoustic 3D uncertainty maps scale to 200,000 unknowns
Babak Maboudi Afkham +3 · “3D Uncertainty Quantification for the Photo-Acoustic Tomography”
2607.21373 -
cs.LG arXiv submitted 2026-07-23HOPE: one Hilbert score decides what to prune
Hossein Mobahi +1 · “Hilbert Operator for Progressive Encoding (HOPE): A Mathematical Framework for Deconstructing Learned Representations in Deep Networks”
2607.21366 -
econ.EM arXiv submitted 2026-07-23Demand system estimated uniformly from micro choice data
Richard Grigorian · “Uniformly Consistent Semi-nonparametric Demand Estimation with Micro-Data”
2607.21323 -
stat.CO arXiv submitted 2026-07-2316 fixed intervals replace rejection loops for log-concave sampling
Luc Devroye · “The acceptance-complement method revisited”
2607.21275 -
q-bio.MN arXiv submitted 2026-07-23Uncertain timing sets a finite information cap on molecular sensors
Micha{\l} Komorowski · “From Berg-Purcell precision bounds to clock-limited information capacity”
2607.21249 -
stat.ML arXiv submitted 2026-07-23Custom diffusion model beats baselines at imputation and forecasting
Ferdinand Bhavsar (INRAE) +3 · “Transformer-based Diffusion models for Hydrological Time Series Probabilistic Imputation and Forecasting”
2607.21200 -
stat.AP arXiv submitted 2026-07-23Bayesian network turns the gender equality index into a what-if tool
Lorenzo Giammei +3 · “Enhancing Gender Equality Assessment through Object-Oriented Bayesian networks: the European Gender Equality Index Case”
2607.21114 -
cs.LG arXiv submitted 2026-07-23One number predicts when adaptive OOD detectors self-poison
Vishnu Bindu Balachandran · “Self-Poisoning in Adaptive Out-of-Distribution Detection: A Sharp-Threshold Theory and Certified Label-Free Calibration”
2607.21673 -
cs.LG arXiv submitted 2026-07-23B-spline intensities make neural event models exact and parallel
Michele Bellomo +3 · “Smooth Neural Point Processes via B-Splines”
2607.21098 -
stat.ML arXiv submitted 2026-07-23Knot selection matches P-splines with a fraction of the basis
Nicol\'as Carrizosa +2 · “Automatic knot selection in smooth additive models”
2607.21083 -
stat.AP arXiv submitted 2026-07-23Majority audits cut ballots a thousandfold
Jack Freestone +2 · “Risk-Limiting Audits for Parliamentary Majorities”
2607.21082 -
stat.ME arXiv submitted 2026-07-23Exact ICL criterion recovers latent dependency graphs
Marion Naveau +4 · “Information criteria exploiting latent structure for model selection in Structural Equation Models”
2607.21053 -
stat.AP arXiv submitted 2026-07-23No consent design moved Swiss civic-AI donation rates
Sabine Wildemann +1 · “Trust by Context, Not by Design? A Quantitative Study of Data Donation Willingness for Open-Source Civic AI in Switzerland”
2607.21044 -
stat.ME arXiv submitted 2026-07-23Splitting choice changes Strang SDE estimator error at h³
Magnus Frederik Jensen +2 · “Choosing optimal Strang splitting estimators of nonlinear stochastic differential equation models”
2607.21006 -
math.ST arXiv submitted 2026-07-23New test for persistence intensity functions is minimax-optimal
Yeongung Han +2 · “A Two-Sample Test on Weighted Persistence Intensity Functions in Topological Data Analysis”
2607.20893 -
stat.ME arXiv submitted 2026-07-23White-noise test now works for high-dimensional functional data
Jinyuan Chang +3 · “Testing for functional white noise in high dimensions”
2607.20877 -
math.PR arXiv submitted 2026-07-23Two-state Markov chain reaches long-memory regime
Kyungsub Lee · “Long-memory Markov chains with power-law intensities”
2607.20838 -
stat.ME arXiv submitted 2026-07-23Dependent high-dim series get valid change-point tests
Xiaoyi Wang +3 · “High-Dimensional Change Point Analysis for Temporally Dependent Data”
2607.20828 -
math.ST arXiv submitted 2026-07-23New statistic screens heavy-tailed predictors without moments
Mohsen Rezapour +1 · “Ball-Codifference Screening for Heavy-Tailed Predictors”
2607.20821 -
math.PR arXiv submitted 2026-07-23Adaptive sampler matches round-robin speed yet stays unpredictable
Zachary McNulty +1 · “Self-Balancing Sequential Sampling: Fast Convergence with Controlled Predictability”
2607.20818 -
physics.soc-ph arXiv submitted 2026-07-23Ballot margins recover two-group Curie-Weiss interactions
Miguel Ballesteros +3 · “Reconstructing the Probability Measure of a Multi-group Curie-Weiss Model with Interacting Groups”
2607.21662 -
cs.LG arXiv submitted 2026-07-22Splitting clusters always trades homogeneity for parsimony
Andreas Tiffeau-Mayer · “External Clustering Validation by the Homogeneity-Parsimony Trade-off”
2607.20799 -
physics.chem-ph arXiv submitted 2026-07-22Monte Carlo estimator removes 3.4x over-count in molecular shape
Egor I. Tuzharov +2 · “Importance-Sampling Estimation of Gaussian Molecular Shape Overlap: Exact Union Volumes and Confidence-Bounded Virtual Screening”
2607.20766 -
stat.ME arXiv submitted 2026-07-22Split on coskewness to recover regimes covariance trees miss
Sven Serneels · “Twoblock clustering trees with coskewness-based dimension reduction: recovering piecewise multivariate linear regimes”
2607.20760 -
stat.ME arXiv submitted 2026-07-22Adaptive binning keeps local permutation tests valid and powerful
David Chen +2 · “Local permutation tests for conditional independence: an adaptive binning perspective”
2607.20751 -
stat.ME arXiv submitted 2026-07-22Two methods make conformal prediction work on clipped data
Matteo Sesia +1 · “Conformal Prediction for Regression with Clipped Outcomes”
2607.20736 -
stat.ME arXiv submitted 2026-07-22Divide by goodness-of-fit to keep wrong-model intervals honest
Benjamin Nachman +1 · “The Well-Tempered Likelihood: Honest Confidence Intervals for Misspecified Models”
2607.20718 -
math.PR arXiv submitted 2026-07-22High Gaussian minima: overshoots become exponential
Enkelejd Hashorva +1 · “High Minima of Gaussian Processes: Overshoots and Minimizer Locations”
2607.20714 -
stat.ME arXiv submitted 2026-07-22Coarse simulation runs can predict the high-resolution limit
Kelly R. Moran +3 · “A Bayesian Framework for Extrapolative Emulation of Spatially Gridded Simulation Data”
2607.20703 -
cs.LG arXiv submitted 2026-07-22Two targeted tests recover lagged causes from short time series
Mohammad Fesanghary · “CEDAR: Causal Edge Discovery for Autoregressive Processes”
2607.20696 -
math.OC arXiv submitted 2026-07-22Sample averages converge to the true objective in a Lipschitz norm
Lai Tian +1 · “Lipschitzian SLLNs for random functions”
2607.20411 -
math.PR arXiv submitted 2026-07-22Every win-martingale is an exact Bayesian posterior
Steven Campbell +1 · “Embedding martingale diffusions as binary posteriors in sequential inference”
2607.20373 -
cs.LG arXiv submitted 2026-07-22Looped transformers run on a budget-priced linear frontier
Tong Zhang +3 · “When Does Recurrence Become an Algorithm? Convergence Selection in Weight-Tied Looped Transformers”
2607.20594 -
stat.ML arXiv submitted 2026-07-22Deep nets match minimax rates under covariate shift and dependence
William Kengne +1 · “Adaptive deep nonparametric regression from dependent data under covariate shift”
2607.20309 -
stat.ML arXiv submitted 2026-07-22Pooled Bayesian experts match the minimax rate for unknown smoothness
Jungbin Jun +1 · “Adaptive Bayesian Online Learning via Expert Aggregation”
2607.20239 -
stat.ML arXiv submitted 2026-07-22P-values decide which LoRA ranks survive
Yihang Gao +1 · “Statistical Inference for Rank Allocation in Low-Rank Adaptation”
2607.20205 -
q-fin.PR arXiv submitted 2026-07-22Quantum kernels show no advantage in A-share stock prediction
Junchi Shen · “Quantum Kernels and the Cross-Section of Stock Returns: Anatomy of a Vanishing Advantage”
2607.20168 -
stat.ML arXiv submitted 2026-07-22Split energy forecasts into structure and noise
Hang Ye +7 · “SPECTRA: State-Space Exogenous Context and Temporal-Frequency Resolution Architecture for Probabilistic Energy Forecasting”
2607.20587 -
cs.LG arXiv submitted 2026-07-22Active inference planning reduces to a convex MDP
Nikola Milosevic +2 · “Active Inference as a Convex Markov Decision Process”
2607.20152 -
stat.ML arXiv submitted 2026-07-22A signed kernel statistic reads which way a distribution shifted
Shijie Zhong +1 · “Directional Kernel Mean Difference: A Fast Signed Statistic for Univariate Distribution Comparison”
2607.20119 -
stat.ML arXiv submitted 2026-07-22New NMF package wins stability
Volkan Sevin\c{c} +3 · “Non--negative matrix factorization using the \textit{R} package \textsf{nnmf}”
2607.20084