INDEX
Every paper Pith has read and judged, in one searchable index.
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stat.OT arXiv submitted 2026-07-13What 'statistical purposes only' actually means in law
Michael B. Hawes +4 · “The Evolution and Interpretation of "Statistical Purposes"”
2607.11778 -
stat.AP arXiv submitted 2026-07-13Many lab instruments compared at once via weighted Deming
Douglas M Hawkins +1 · “Multiple Instrument Methods Comparison by Precision weighted Deming Regression”
2607.11776 -
cs.LG arXiv submitted 2026-07-13Stop early for averaging, overfit for sparsified merging
Nikita Kozodoi +2 · “Are we Merging the Right Models? Impact of Expert Training Duration on Model Merging for LLMs”
2607.11997 -
cs.LG arXiv submitted 2026-07-13Overtrain experts, then sparsify: merges beat validation optima
Nikita Kozodoi +2 · “Are we Merging the Right Models? Impact of Expert Training Duration on Model Merging for LLMs”
2607.11997 -
math.ST arXiv submitted 2026-07-13Sharper relative VC bounds adapt to local density
Fran\c{c}ois Portier (ENSAI) · “A uniform relative deviation inequality for VC-subgraph classes”
2607.11719 -
stat.ME arXiv submitted 2026-07-13Design switchbacks for the response curve you will report
Makoto Nakakita +1 · “Calibrated Horizon-Weighted Local Projection Designs for Markov Switchbacks”
2607.11694 -
stat.ML arXiv submitted 2026-07-13Diversity enters MNL bandits with nearly-optimal regret
Heesang Ann +2 · “Diversified Multinomial Logit Contextual Bandits”
2607.11684 -
cs.LG arXiv submitted 2026-07-13Bet on features to catch miscalibrated quantile forecasts
Ivane Antonov +3 · “Bet on Features: Anytime-Valid and Feature-Aware Auditing of Conditional Quantile Forecasters”
2607.11653 -
cs.LG arXiv submitted 2026-07-13Fixed-budget BAI has no complexity for three or more arms
Motti Goldberger · “Fundamental Limitations of Fixed-Budget Best-Arm Identification”
2607.11635 -
stat.CO arXiv submitted 2026-07-13Diffusion paths fix multimodal MCMC without warping modes
Han Chen +2 · “Markov Chain Monte Carlo with Diffusion Paths”
2607.11631 -
cs.AI arXiv submitted 2026-07-13Most risk claims of distributional RL agents are false
Hari Prasad · “Auditing the Risk Claims of Distributional Reinforcement Learning”
2607.11607 -
cs.LG arXiv submitted 2026-07-13Gradient-only collaboration matches centralized BO—and leaks queries
Aditya Rane +4 · “Privacy-Aware Collaborative and Distributed Bayesian Optimization”
2607.11600 -
stat.ME arXiv submitted 2026-07-13Joint FPCA mixture finds gene groups 27 imes better than two-step methods
Marion Kerioui +3 · “Modeling Time-course Gene Expression Data through Bayesian Partition Functional Principal Component Analysis”
2607.11558 -
econ.EM arXiv submitted 2026-07-13Remove a deficiency only if its detector sits outside it
Cheng Qian · “Removable Defects: The Economics and Limits of Deliberate Deficiency”
2607.11983 -
econ.EM arXiv submitted 2026-07-13Keep the blind spot
Cheng Qian · “Removable Defects: The Economics and Limits of Deliberate Deficiency”
2607.11983 -
cs.LG arXiv submitted 2026-07-13A foundation model recovers the unique DAG from heterogeneous causal data
Yikang Chen +7 · “DAG-FM: A Foundation Model for Causal Discovery under Heterogeneous Causal Mechanisms”
2607.11510 -
cs.LG arXiv submitted 2026-07-13One model recovers unique causal graphs from mixed mechanisms
Yikang Chen +7 · “DAG-FM: A Foundation Model for Causal Discovery under Heterogeneous Causal Mechanisms”
2607.11510 -
cs.LG arXiv submitted 2026-07-13One model finds causal graphs without assumption matching
Jie Qiao +8 · “CDFM: Towards a General-Purpose Causal Discovery Foundation Model”
2607.11508 -
stat.AP arXiv submitted 2026-07-13One untuned conformal layer covers solar and wind across climates
Shreedhar Gangwar (1) +4 · “Climate-Invariant Conformal Prediction Intervals for Multi-Horizon Solar and Wind Forecasting”
2607.11470 -
stat.ME arXiv submitted 2026-07-13One method finds latent survival subgroups under censoring
Zhaohui Xu +2 · “Robust Subgroup Analysis for Heterogeneous Censored Data”
2607.11389 -
math.ST arXiv submitted 2026-07-13Misspecified filters settle to a steady error set by mismatch size
Fabi\'an Gonz\'alez +3 · “An Operator-Theoretic Analysis of Nonlinear Filtering under Model Misspecification”
2607.11378 -
stat.ME arXiv submitted 2026-07-13Multiverse analyses become a geometry of full distributions
Giovanni Saraceno +1 · “Towards a Geometric Characterization of Multiverse Analysis”
2607.11345 -
math.OC arXiv submitted 2026-07-13Koopman regression turns nonlinear plants into linear switches for MPC
Edoardo Caldarelli +3 · “Learning to control switching nonlinear systems with Koopman operator regression”
2607.11344 -
stat.ME arXiv submitted 2026-07-13High-dim elliptical test skips covariance inverse
Wenrui Wu +3 · “A Correlation-Free Test for High-Dimensional Elliptical Distributions”
2607.11304 -
stat.ML arXiv submitted 2026-07-13Long-memory reservoirs beat baselines on scarce dengue data
Rahul Goswami +3 · “Long-Memory Reservoir Computing for Data-Scarce Dengue Forecasting”
2607.11272 -
cs.LG arXiv submitted 2026-07-13Synthetic data that keeps campaign go/no-go calls stable to 1.2 pp
Tung Dang +3 · “Trustworthy synthetic data for campaign decision support: strategy simulation fidelity and the PolicySynth framework”
2607.11269 -
stat.ME arXiv submitted 2026-07-13One U-statistic detects and intervals high-dim change points
Bin Liu +1 · “A General U-Statistic Framework for High-Dimensional Multiple Change-Point Analysis”
2607.11256 -
math.ST arXiv submitted 2026-07-13Models without densities still carry Riemannian metrics
Rodrigo Labouriau · “Weak Information Geometry: Riemannian Structures from Distributional Inference Functions and Stein Discrepancies”
2607.11246 -
cs.LG arXiv submitted 2026-07-13Transformers beat MLE at fitting fractional Hawkes processes
Neha Gupta +1 · “NeuroMem-FHP: A Likelihood-Free Deep Learning Framework for Parameter Estimation of Fractional Hawkes Process”
2607.11177 -
cs.LG arXiv submitted 2026-07-13One Gumbel pool reuses every K-subset for unbiased WOR Max@K
Melveena Jolly +1 · “Rank-Conditioned Sample Reuse for the Plackett--Luce Best-of-$K$ Objective”
2607.11146 -
physics.geo-ph arXiv submitted 2026-07-13Swarm quakes leave a multiscaling fingerprint tectonic ones lack
Cataldo Godano +1 · “A Multiscaling Fingerprint of Earthquake Diffusion in Seismic Swarms”
2607.11142 -
stat.ME arXiv submitted 2026-07-13Closed-form tests decide approximate independence in tables
Vladimir Ostrovski · “New Equivalence Tests for Approximate Independence in Contingency Tables”
2607.11130 -
cs.CV arXiv submitted 2026-07-13Difference-based gates beat attention in U-Net fusion
Kai Li +5 · “Difference-Driven Gating: Adaptive Feature Fusion for U-Net Decoder”
2607.11096 -
math.ST arXiv submitted 2026-07-13Closed-form lower bound for distances on infinite-dimensional manifolds
Amit Vishwakarma +1 · “A Tractable Pseudo-Metric on Non-Parametric Exponential Statistical Manifolds via SPD Geometry”
2607.11092 -
cs.LG arXiv submitted 2026-07-13Neighbor fusion cuts molecular error 19% at test time
Cameron Gruich +3 · “Adapting Evidential Neural Networks to Test-Time Neighbor Fusion Improves Molecular Property Prediction”
2607.11091 -
econ.GN arXiv submitted 2026-07-13Equal weights win when forecast errors share one eigenstructure
Han Feng +3 · “When and Why Na\"ive Diversification Works: A Simple Diagnostic Strategy”
2607.11054 -
math.ST arXiv submitted 2026-07-13Fuse experiment recommendations by expected information loss
Nagananda K G +2 · “Regret-weighted Bayes Fusion for Distributed Experimental Design”
2607.11023 -
math.OC arXiv submitted 2026-07-13Deterministic policies unlock model-free learning for extended mean-field control
Ziheng Cheng +3 · “Actor-Critic Learning for Extended Mean Field Control with Deterministic Policies”
2607.11005 -
cs.LG arXiv submitted 2026-07-12DQN beats tuned routing by 13.3 bps when AMM fees reprice
Wen-Ting Wang · “Reinforcement Learning for Execution under Dynamic Fees in a Closed-Loop DEX Simulator”
2607.10960 -
cs.LG arXiv submitted 2026-07-12One learning rate works when training is extended
Jianhao Ma +1 · “WSqD: A Horizon-Free Learning Rate Schedule for Large Model Training”
2607.10959 -
cs.LG arXiv submitted 2026-07-12One process unifies masked, continuous, and hybrid diffusion
Pascal Jutras-Dub\'e +4 · “Sticky Jump Diffusions: A Unifying View of Masked, Continuous, and Hybrid Diffusion”
2607.10951 -
stat.ML arXiv submitted 2026-07-12Post-PA anomaly metrics still gamed by no-skill scores
Zongye Lyu · “Did We Actually Fix It? An Independent Adversarial Stress-Test of Post-Point-Adjustment Evaluation Metrics for Time-Series Anomaly Detection”
2607.11969 -
stat.ML arXiv submitted 2026-07-12Best-of-N reporting inflates ROC and affiliation anomaly metrics
Zongye Lyu · “Did We Actually Fix It? An Independent Adversarial Stress-Test of Post-Point-Adjustment Evaluation Metrics for Time-Series Anomaly Detection”
2607.11969 -
cs.LG arXiv submitted 2026-07-12Bandit PCA regret settles at r sqrt(d T)
Mo\"ise Blanchard +2 · “Bandit PCA with Minimax Optimal Regret”
2607.10936 -
cs.LG arXiv submitted 2026-07-12Bandit PCA regret rate settled at r√(dT)
Mo\"ise Blanchard +2 · “Bandit PCA with Minimax Optimal Regret”
2607.10936 -
stat.AP arXiv submitted 2026-07-12Propagated LLM signals beat direct news in market simulations
Lin Zhang · “LLM-Enhanced Dynamic Financial Knowledge Graphs for Cross-Entity Signal Propagation and alpha discovery”
2607.10932 -
q-bio.NC arXiv submitted 2026-07-12Three eigenmodes align brains 30 imes faster for better decoding
Pierre-Louis Barbarant +2 · “Fast Whole-Brain, Geometry-Aware Functional Alignment for Cross-Subject Decoding”
2607.10931 -
cs.LG arXiv submitted 2026-07-12Latent treatment effects are eigenvalues of one proxy operator
Hamza Virk +2 · “The Spectral Structure of Latent Treatment Effects”
2607.10926 -
stat.ME arXiv submitted 2026-07-12Beta-fitted leverages tame explosive HC standard errors
Marina O. Cunha +2 · “A Beta-Based Heteroskedasticity-Consistent Covariance Matrix Estimator”
2607.10905 -
cs.AI arXiv submitted 2026-07-12Topology keeps geopolymer inverse design on the feasible manifold
Giansalvo Cirrincione +1 · “Incremental Transformer for Surrogate-Based Inverse Design of Geopolymer Mixtures”
2607.10896