Simulation-based Deep Sets model with neural posterior estimation halves scatter in cluster mass estimates from galaxy kinematics compared to the M-sigma relation.
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UniverseMachine: The Correlation between Galaxy Growth and Dark Matter Halo Assembly from z=0-10
22 Pith papers cite this work. Polarity classification is still indexing.
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Pith papers citing it
abstract
We present a method to flexibly and self-consistently determine individual galaxies' star formation rates (SFRs) from their host haloes' potential well depths, assembly histories, and redshifts. The method is constrained by galaxies' observed stellar mass functions, SFRs (specific and cosmic), quenched fractions, UV luminosity functions, UV-SM relations, IRX-UV relations, auto- and cross-correlation functions (including quenched and star-forming subsamples), and quenching dependence on environment; each observable is reproduced over the full redshift range available, up to 0<z<10. Key findings include: galaxy assembly correlates strongly with halo assembly; quenching at z>1 correlates strongly with halo mass; quenched fractions at fixed halo mass decrease with increasing redshift; massive quenched galaxies reside in higher-mass haloes than star-forming galaxies at fixed galaxy mass; star-forming and quenched galaxies' star formation histories at fixed mass differ most at z<0.5; satellites have large scatter in quenching timescales after infall, and have modestly higher quenched fractions than central galaxies; Planck cosmologies result in up to 0.3 dex lower stellar mass-halo mass ratios at early times; and, nonetheless, stellar mass-halo mass ratios rise at z>5. Also presented are revised stellar mass-halo mass relations for all, quenched, star-forming, central, and satellite galaxies; the dependence of star formation histories on halo mass, stellar mass, and galaxy SSFR; quenched fractions and quenching timescale distributions for satellites; and predictions for higher-redshift galaxy correlation functions and weak lensing surface densities. The public data release (DR1) includes the massively parallel (>10^5 cores) implementation (the UniverseMachine), the newly compiled and remeasured observational data, derived galaxy formation constraints, and mock catalogues including lightcones.
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2026 22representative citing papers
Resolved multiphase observations reveal a supernova-driven wind in a z=5.3 galaxy removing gas at twice the star-formation rate, potentially quenching it within 100 Myr and matching local superwind properties.
Lumina is a 500 cMpc radiation-hydrodynamic simulation predicting late, stellar-driven hydrogen reionization ending near z≈4.75 and AGN-driven helium reionization nearly complete by z=3.
Combining FAST and DESI data for 2.5 million galaxies shows cosmic atomic hydrogen density declined by only a factor of 1.35 over 4.5 Gyr, far less than the 2.46-fold decline in star formation.
Simulations of Milky Way-mass galaxies reveal direction-dependent dynamical heating during stellar radial migration, with inward migrators heating, some cooling, and cold preservation uncommon especially for older stars.
COLIBRE simulations find the galaxy gas-phase MZR already in place at z≈10 with little evolution until z≈5, then shallowens at low z, with high-mass turnover set by AGN feedback and low-mass end by core-collapse supernovae.
A JWST survey of eight gravitationally lensed galaxies at z=2-4 resolves 10-200 pc star-forming clumps and finds early evidence of recently quenched, post-starburst clumps.
PRFM-vol is a new subgrid star formation model for cosmological simulations that computes SFR from ambient densities via PRFM theory and a modified effective EOS, producing taller stellar scale heights, slightly higher stellar mass, and morphology changes including Toomre-driven clumps compared to p
Little red dots shift from underdense, low-halo-mass environments at z>4 to ordinary galaxy environments by z~3.5, explaining their declining abundance at z<3.
Corrected empirical limits show the most massive galaxies never exceed the theoretical baryonic maximum of 0.16 times halo virial mass, keeping observations consistent with LambdaCDM at all redshifts.
21 cm reionization topology breaks the degeneracy between self-interacting dark matter and astrophysical parameters that limits UV luminosity function constraints, enabling robust SIDM limits of σ/m ≳ 1-2 cm²/g independent of star formation models.
FRB dispersion measures directly constrain suppression of the matter power spectrum due to feedback at k ~ 0.1-3 h/Mpc, reduce posterior variance by a factor of ~8 at k~1 h/Mpc, and exclude extreme large-scale feedback scenarios at ~2 sigma.
New JWST data on 23 galaxies at 0.5<z<1.7 show median dark matter fraction of 0.63 at effective radius with 0.2 dex scatter, and a mix of rising, flat, and falling rotation curves.
New hydrodynamical simulations show that dwarf galaxy stellar mass-halo mass relations and star formation histories are more influenced by host halo concentration than by the 5 cMpc scale environment.
Simulations show observationally selected protocluster candidates at z ≳ 5 include significant interlopers, undergo 2-6 major mergers, and exhibit stronger clustering than observed, requiring total galaxy mass within 10 cMpc for reliable progenitor identification.
ARTEMIS and EAGLE simulations classify L* galaxies by central BH-to-stellar-mass ratio and trace how merger history drives divergence in BH growth, star formation, and morphology, offering an explanation for the observed scatter and for MW/M31 differences.
TNG100 and EAGLE hydrodynamical simulations underproduce faint compact galaxies at z>3 relative to CANDELS observations even after forward modeling and completeness corrections, with the mismatch linked to both detection effects and simulation physics.
MW-mass SIDM halos bypass core formation and enter immediate core collapse due to baryonic preconditioning, allowing the compact stellar disk and bulge to survive close pericenter passages while the diffuse halo is more easily disrupted.
50 constrained simulations of Coma cluster analogues reproduce the observed radial X-ray surface brightness and Compton-y profiles within the scatter expected from environment and assembly history.
An updated linear halo bias fit calibrated on high-redshift simulations reduces systematic offsets in early-universe clustering predictions to under 1%.
FR0 radio galaxies are abundant compact sources whose small sizes challenge standard evolutionary models, and SKA observations are expected to clarify their jet physics and demographics.
Overview of HI modeling methods finds consistency in cosmic HI density but systematic differences in HI-halo mass relation shape and redshift evolution.
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Cluster Mass Inference from Galaxy Kinematics
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Multiphase images of a powerful supernova-driven wind in the early Universe
Resolved multiphase observations reveal a supernova-driven wind in a z=5.3 galaxy removing gas at twice the star-formation rate, potentially quenching it within 100 Myr and matching local superwind properties.
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Introducing the Lumina project: large-volume radiation-hydrodynamic simulations of the epochs of hydrogen and helium reionization
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Weak Evolution of Cosmic Atomic Hydrogen over the Past 4.5 Billion Years
Combining FAST and DESI data for 2.5 million galaxies shows cosmic atomic hydrogen density declined by only a factor of 1.35 over 4.5 Gyr, far less than the 2.46-fold decline in star formation.
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Hot or Cold? Radial Redistribution of Stars in FIRE Simulations of Milky Way-Mass Galaxies and the Asymmetry of Inward versus Outward Migrators
Simulations of Milky Way-mass galaxies reveal direction-dependent dynamical heating during stellar radial migration, with inward migrators heating, some cooling, and cold preservation uncommon especially for older stars.
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The evolution of the galaxy gas-phase mass-metallicity relation from $z=15$ to $z=0$ in the COLIBRE cosmological simulations
COLIBRE simulations find the galaxy gas-phase MZR already in place at z≈10 with little evolution until z≈5, then shallowens at low z, with high-mass turnover set by AGN feedback and low-mass end by core-collapse supernovae.
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LEGGOS I: The JWST LEGGOS Survey -- LEnsing and Galaxy Growth: Observing Substructures -- Unpacks the Nature of Clumpy Star Formation and Quenching in Gravitationally Lensed Galaxies beyond Cosmic Noon
A JWST survey of eight gravitationally lensed galaxies at z=2-4 resolves 10-200 pc star-forming clumps and finds early evidence of recently quenched, post-starburst clumps.
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Learning the Universe with PRFM-vol: Introducing a new subgrid model for star formation in cosmological simulations
PRFM-vol is a new subgrid star formation model for cosmological simulations that computes SFR from ambient densities via PRFM theory and a modified effective EOS, producing taller stellar scale heights, slightly higher stellar mass, and morphology changes including Toomre-driven clumps compared to p
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Reduced Incidence of Little Red Dots at z < 3 from Number Density and Halo Mass Evolution
Little red dots shift from underdense, low-halo-mass environments at z>4 to ordinary galaxy environments by z~3.5, explaining their declining abundance at z<3.
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Empirical estimates of how massive galaxies can be in {\Lambda}CDM
Corrected empirical limits show the most massive galaxies never exceed the theoretical baryonic maximum of 0.16 times halo virial mass, keeping observations consistent with LambdaCDM at all redshifts.
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Breaking the UV Luminosity Function Degeneracy:Self-Interacting Dark Matter Constraints from Reionization Topology
21 cm reionization topology breaks the degeneracy between self-interacting dark matter and astrophysical parameters that limits UV luminosity function constraints, enabling robust SIDM limits of σ/m ≳ 1-2 cm²/g independent of star formation models.
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Signatures of Suppressed Matter Clustering revealed by Fast Radio Bursts
FRB dispersion measures directly constrain suppression of the matter power spectrum due to feedback at k ~ 0.1-3 h/Mpc, reduce posterior variance by a factor of ~8 at k~1 h/Mpc, and exclude extreme large-scale feedback scenarios at ~2 sigma.
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MSA-3D: Rotation Curves and Dark Matter Fractions at z~0.5-1.7 with JWST/NIRSpec
New JWST data on 23 galaxies at 0.5<z<1.7 show median dark matter fraction of 0.63 at effective radius with 0.2 dex scatter, and a mix of rising, flat, and falling rotation curves.
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Columba: isolated dwarf galaxy populations in diverse cosmological environments simulated with a cold interstellar medium
New hydrodynamical simulations show that dwarf galaxy stellar mass-halo mass relations and star formation histories are more influenced by host halo concentration than by the 5 cMpc scale environment.
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On the later evolution of observationally selected protocluster candidates at $z\,{\gtrsim}\,5$
Simulations show observationally selected protocluster candidates at z ≳ 5 include significant interlopers, undergo 2-6 major mergers, and exhibit stronger clustering than observed, requiring total galaxy mass within 10 cMpc for reliable progenitor identification.
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Co-evolution of Supermassive Black Holes and their Host L* galaxies: implications for Milky Way and M31
ARTEMIS and EAGLE simulations classify L* galaxies by central BH-to-stellar-mass ratio and trace how merger history drives divergence in BH growth, star formation, and morphology, offering an explanation for the observed scatter and for MW/M31 differences.
-
Probing the faint end of simulated galaxy counts at z>3
TNG100 and EAGLE hydrodynamical simulations underproduce faint compact galaxies at z>3 relative to CANDELS observations even after forward modeling and completeness corrections, with the mismatch linked to both detection effects and simulation physics.
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Bypassed Core Formation in Milky Way-Mass SIDM Halos: Implications for the Local Group Past-Pericenter Scenario
MW-mass SIDM halos bypass core formation and enter immediate core collapse due to baryonic preconditioning, allowing the compact stellar disk and bulge to survive close pericenter passages while the diffuse halo is more easily disrupted.
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Learning the Universe: Constrained simulations of the Coma galaxy cluster -- I. Radial X-ray and Compton-y signatures
50 constrained simulations of Coma cluster analogues reproduce the observed radial X-ray surface brightness and Compton-y profiles within the scatter expected from environment and assembly history.
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An Improved Fit for Linear Halo Bias at High Redshift
An updated linear halo bias fit calibrated on high-redshift simulations reduces systematic offsets in early-universe clustering predictions to under 1%.
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Compact radio galaxies: the case of FR0s
FR0 radio galaxies are abundant compact sources whose small sizes challenge standard evolutionary models, and SKA observations are expected to clarify their jet physics and demographics.
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HI Simulations for Cosmology with the SKA Observatory
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