INDEX
Every paper Pith has read and judged, in one searchable index.
-
stat.ME arXiv submitted 2026-06-30Estimator fixes normal measurement errors in quantile regression
Mushan Li +2 · “Quantile regression with measurement errors”
2607.00188 -
cs.LG arXiv submitted 2026-06-30Three RL methods for LLMs reduce to one standard-deviation dial
Yong Yi Bay +1 · “GRPO, Dr. GRPO, and DAPO Are Three Operations on One Number: The Group-Standard-Deviation Identity”
2607.00152 -
math.PR arXiv submitted 2026-06-30SVGD particles stay close to mean-field limit for all time
Krishnakumar Balasubramanian +2 · “Uniform-in-time Propagation-of-Chaos for Stein Variational Gradient Descent”
2607.00149 -
stat.ME arXiv submitted 2026-06-30StaLoP boosts panel forecasts using similarity in target-local states
Ruihang Han +1 · “Similarity-Based Prediction for Digital Twins: Panel Data, Theory, and Applications”
2607.00128 -
stat.ML arXiv submitted 2026-06-30One shared rotation per weight slice beats LoRA with 4× fewer params
Pengcheng Wang +3 · “CORA: Per-Slice Coherent Orthogonal Rotation for SVD-based Low-Rank Adaptation”
2607.02576 -
math.ST arXiv submitted 2026-06-30Moment estimator consistent and normal for dynamic graph models
Diego Garlaschelli +3 · “Analysis of a maximum-entropy based estimator for dynamic random graph models”
2606.32013 -
math.OC arXiv submitted 2026-06-30Random reshuffling beats SGD for any reasonable stepsize
Zijian Liu · “Random Reshuffling Dominates Stochastic Gradient Descent”
2606.32005 -
stat.ME arXiv submitted 2026-06-30Projection yields consistent payment estimators from macro insurance data
Martin Bladt +1 · “Payment Process Estimation in Aggregated Insurance Models”
2606.31970 -
stat.ME arXiv submitted 2026-06-30Joint spatial model shrinks variances in ACS small-area estimates
Zewei Kong +2 · “Scalable Joint Modeling of Dependent Multi-Type Survey Data for Small Area Estimation”
2606.31964 -
cs.LG arXiv submitted 2026-06-30Signed gauges recover 91% of RMSNorm coordinates across fine-tunes
John Sweeney · “Signed-Permutation Coordinate Transport for RMSNorm Transformers”
2606.31963 -
stat.AP arXiv submitted 2026-06-30Argo data produces OHC maps with correlated uncertainty
Thea Sukianto +5 · “Locally stationary Argo ocean heat content estimates: Modeling, validation and uncertainty quantification”
2606.31957 -
stat.ME arXiv submitted 2026-06-30Conformal p-values select treatment beneficiaries with FDR control
Jiajun Liu +2 · “A Conformal Selection Framework for Individual Treatment Beneficiaries with Auxiliary External Data”
2606.31954 -
math.PR arXiv submitted 2026-06-30Graph geometry and dependence set empirical rates
Mengsi Gao +1 · “Coupling and Maximal Inequalities for Graph-Dependent Empirical Processes”
2606.31936 -
stat.ML arXiv submitted 2026-06-30ALO cuts conformal prediction runtime while matching coverage
Jiachen Cong +1 · “Accelerating Conformal Prediction via Approximate Leave-One-Out”
2606.31915 -
stat.AP arXiv submitted 2026-06-30Prior-informed model isolates T2D protein network changes
Alessia Mapelli +4 · “Prior-informed conditional Gaussian graphical models: an application to protein interaction network reconstruction”
2606.31805 -
cs.LG arXiv submitted 2026-06-30Tabular foundation models calibrate conformal intervals on energy graphs
Keivan Faghih Niresi +2 · “Relational and Sequential Conformal Inference for Energy Time Series over Graphs via Foundation Models”
2606.31804 -
cs.LG arXiv submitted 2026-06-30First-order regret bounds now hold for MDPs despite unknown transitions
Mingyi Li +2 · “Policy Optimization Achieves Data-Dependent Regret Bounds in MDPs with Unknown Transitions”
2606.31769 -
stat.ME arXiv submitted 2026-06-30Screening at state level then local refinement cuts nitrogen rates
Sakshi Arya +2 · “Near-Optimal Nitrogen Recommendations for Precision Agriculture via Sequential Screening and Hierarchical Refinement”
2606.31661 -
stat.ME arXiv submitted 2026-06-30Gaussian kernel regression gains sandwich variance and bootstrap
Marcelo R. Portela Ferreira +1 · “Statistical Inference for Gaussian Kernel Robust Regression with the gkrreg Package”
2606.31652 -
math.ST arXiv submitted 2026-06-30Forecast sequences are auto-calibrated exactly when they form martingales
Thomas Wilkinson +1 · “Calibrated Probability Forecast Sequences and Measure-Valued Martingales”
2606.31621 -
math.ST arXiv submitted 2026-06-30Optimal split minimizes conformal prediction interval length
Sayan Das +3 · “On Optimal Data Splitting for Split Conformal Prediction”
2606.31600 -
math.ST arXiv submitted 2026-06-30Binary reduction separates error roles in minimax testing bounds
Ilmun Kim · “High-Confidence Minimax Testing with Prescribed Errors”
2606.31593 -
math.ST arXiv submitted 2026-06-30Error targets split into two KL demands
Ilmun Kim · “High-Confidence Minimax Testing with Prescribed Errors”
2606.31593 -
cs.LG arXiv submitted 2026-06-30Reverse KL regularization yields global convergence for SAIL
Xudong Wu +3 · “On the Convergence of Self-Improving Online LLM Alignment”
2606.31524 -
stat.ME arXiv submitted 2026-06-30FPCA rates for manifold-indexed data depend on intrinsic dimension d
Chang Jun Im +1 · “Functional Principal Component Analysis for Manifold-Indexed Data”
2606.31465 -
cs.LG arXiv submitted 2026-06-30Fewer updates match fully adaptive regret for slate GLM bandits
Tanmay Goyal +2 · “Contextual Slate GLM Bandits with Limited Adaptivity”
2606.31449 -
cs.LG arXiv submitted 2026-06-30Limited adaptivity yields kappa-free regret for slate GLM bandits
Tanmay Goyal +2 · “Contextual Slate GLM Bandits with Limited Adaptivity”
2606.31449 -
math.ST arXiv submitted 2026-06-30Langevin dynamics concentrate on hidden indices below temperature 1
Zong Shang +3 · “The Geometry of Statistical Feature Learning in Mean-Field Langevin Dynamics”
2606.31429 -
math.ST arXiv submitted 2026-06-30Low temperature makes Langevin nets learn true directions
Zong Shang +3 · “The Geometry of Statistical Feature Learning in Mean-Field Langevin Dynamics”
2606.31429 -
stat.ME arXiv submitted 2026-06-30Raw scores can beat corrected ones in cognitive screening
Ignacio Gonzalez-Perez +2 · “On the choice of using raw or demographically-corrected scores”
2606.31418 -
stat.ME arXiv submitted 2026-06-30Raw scores beat demographic corrections for some classifications
Ignacio Gonzalez-Perez +2 · “On the choice of using raw or demographically-corrected scores”
2606.31418 -
stat.ME arXiv submitted 2026-06-30Calibration merges survey samples to sharpen regression estimates
Yanhao Lu +1 · “Improving Efficiency of Regression Analyses by Integrating Data from Population-Representative Surveys: A Model-Assisted Calibration Approach”
2606.31381 -
math.ST arXiv submitted 2026-06-30Renyi inequalities characterize majorization of statistical experiments
Erkka Haapasalo · “Multivariate majorization of continuous statistical experiments”
2606.31296 -
stat.ME arXiv submitted 2026-06-30New methods enable simultaneous bands for incomplete functional time series
Patrick Bastian +1 · “Simultaneous Inference for Partially Observed Functional Time Series”
2606.31269 -
stat.ML arXiv submitted 2026-06-30Constrained k-means recovers true centers from magnitude-decaying MNAR data
Xin Guan · “MNAR-$k$-means: A $k$-means Clustering for Data Missing Not at Random with Magnitude-Decaying Probability”
2606.31253 -
cs.LG arXiv submitted 2026-06-30Algorithm recovers graph from one Glauber trajectory without mixing
Eric Shen +3 · “Learning Gaussian Graphical Models from a Glauber Trajectory Without Mixing”
2606.31230 -
stat.ME arXiv submitted 2026-06-30Average propensity sets semiparametric bound for sequential experiments
Jiachun Li +1 · “Semiparametric Efficiency in Sequential Experiments: Characterization and Design via Average Propensity”
2606.31190 -
stat.ME arXiv submitted 2026-06-30Sequential designs match i.i.d
Jiachun Li +1 · “Semiparametric Efficiency in Sequential Experiments: Characterization and Design via Average Propensity”
2606.31190 -
cs.LG arXiv submitted 2026-06-30Synthetic-table models predict proteins and molecules well
Davy Guan +9 · “Can Tabular In-Context Learners Generalize to Biomolecular Property Prediction?”
2606.31126 -
cs.LG arXiv submitted 2026-06-30Tabular in-context learners match on protein fitness with fixed reps
Davy Guan +9 · “Can Tabular In-Context Learners Generalize to Biomolecular Property Prediction?”
2606.31126 -
stat.ME arXiv submitted 2026-06-30BAR penalty with smoothing yields oracle rank regression for censored data
Suyeon Seon +4 · “Censored broken adaptive ridge rank regression via induced smoothing”
2606.31094 -
stat.ML arXiv submitted 2026-06-30Hybrid swap cuts cost of dynamic GP inference on disjoint grids
Rui-Yang Zhang +4 · “Dynamic Gaussian Processes and the Vanilla-SPDE Exchange”
2606.31063 -
math.ST arXiv submitted 2026-06-30Two-stage method estimates parameters and Lévy densities in switching jumps
Yuzhong Cheng · “Two-stage semiparametric inference for regime-switching jump diffusions with unknown L\'evy densities”
2606.31057 -
stat.AP arXiv submitted 2026-06-30Bayesian model turns RCV poll counts into win probabilities
Evan T. R. Rosenman +1 · “Bayesian Uncertainty Quantification for Ranked Choice Voting Polls”
2606.31022 -
cs.LG arXiv submitted 2026-06-30Debiased ML with Bayesian priors estimates supply effects on bookings
Yufei Wu +2 · “Estimating Supply Incrementality in Two-sided Marketplaces: A Causal Machine Learning Approach”
2606.30999 -
stat.AP arXiv submitted 2026-06-30GP model adds terrain data for better wind power predictions
Ahmadreza Chokhachian +2 · “Spatio-Temporal Gaussian Process for Building Terrain-Incorporating Wind Power Curves”
2607.00051 -
cs.LG arXiv submitted 2026-06-30Sparse tree chains match ensemble accuracy for most samples
Zakk Heile +3 · “Multistage Defer Trees for Hybrid Interpretability: If at First You Can't Succeed, Tree Again”
2606.30995 -
stat.ME arXiv submitted 2026-06-30Hybrid PCA estimator is asymptotically normal for leading eigenvector
Koji Tsukuda +1 · “Hybrid principal component analysis in multivariate allometric regression”
2606.30994 -
stat.ME arXiv submitted 2026-06-30Clustering on spend correlations separates marketing channel effects
Yufei Wu +4 · “Hierarchical Clustering As a Novel Solution to the Notorious Multicollinearity Problem in Observational Causal Inference”
2606.30992 -
stat.ME arXiv submitted 2026-06-29Exchangeable bootstrap plus box calibration fixes hazard band coverage
Min Lin +3 · “Simultaneous confidence bands for cumulative hazard via exchangeable bootstrap and box calibration”
2606.30982