INDEX
Every paper Pith has read and judged, in one searchable index.
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stat.ME arXiv submitted 2026-06-24Spatial-median test works for heavy-tailed high-dim location
Long Feng +2 · “Elliptical Regularized Hotelling Testing for High Dimensional Data”
2606.25942 -
stat.ME arXiv submitted 2026-06-24Scaling laws transfer smoothing parameters from small to large samples
Luyang Fang +4 · “Knowledge Cascade: Reverse Knowledge Distillation on Nonparametric Multivariate Functional Estimation”
2606.25927 -
stat.AP arXiv submitted 2026-06-24GLARMA negative binomial model yields stabler malaria forecasts
Adithya B. Somaraj +3 · “Count data modeling and forecasting of malaria incidence using generalized time series regression”
2606.25902 -
stat.AP arXiv submitted 2026-06-24GLARMA negative binomial yields stabler malaria forecasts
Adithya B. Somaraj +3 · “Count data modeling and forecasting of malaria incidence using generalized time series regression”
2606.25902 -
math.ST arXiv submitted 2026-06-24f-divergences stay unchanged under group actions in transformation models
Frank Nielsen +1 · “Group invariance of $f$-divergences and the Fisher--Rao distance”
2606.25790 -
math.ST arXiv submitted 2026-06-24Scale accumulation gives consistent pointwise Hurst estimates
Jokubas Petkevicius · “Pointwise Hurst Estimation via Scale Accumulation: A Noise-Robust Approach for Rough Volatility”
2606.25771 -
stat.ME arXiv submitted 2026-06-24Bayesian model identifies missing bivariate outcomes under nonignorable dropout
Andrea Gabrio +2 · “A Bayesian Approach for Nonignorable Dropout in Bivariate Longitudinal Models”
2606.25749 -
stat.ML arXiv submitted 2026-06-24MFVI overestimates predictive variance on training data
James Odgers +3 · “Gaussian Mean Field Variational Inference can Overestimate Predictive Variance”
2606.25745 -
stat.ME arXiv submitted 2026-06-24Scalar learning rate calibrates posteriors only when covariances proportional
Masahiro Tanaka · “A Theory of Bootstrap Coverage Calibration for Generalized Posterior Credible Sets”
2606.25729 -
stat.ME arXiv submitted 2026-06-24Imprecise transitions make health decision uncertain
Rowan Iskandar · “Imprecise Transition Matrices for Markov Cohort Models: Lower and Upper Expectations with a Practical Health Economic Application”
2606.25716 -
math.NA arXiv submitted 2026-06-24Two-sided SVD gauge recovers exact NMF in gap regime at full W-rank
Mithil Ramteke · “Gap-Aware Exact Nonnegative Matrix Factorization: A Two-Sided SVD Gauge and a Three-Regime W-Rank Taxonomy”
2606.25715 -
math.NA arXiv submitted 2026-06-24Exact NMF with a rank gap splits into three cases
Mithil Ramteke · “Gap-Aware Exact Nonnegative Matrix Factorization: A Two-Sided SVD Gauge and a Three-Regime W-Rank Taxonomy”
2606.25715 -
stat.ME arXiv submitted 2026-06-24Beta regression imputation recovers missing correlations
Riccardo De Santis +1 · “Dealing with partial missing correlations in multivariate and surrogate meta-analyses”
2606.25670 -
stat.ME arXiv submitted 2026-06-24Beta regression imputation cuts bias from missing correlations in meta-analysis
Riccardo De Santis +1 · “Dealing with partial missing correlations in multivariate and surrogate meta-analyses”
2606.25670 -
stat.CO arXiv submitted 2026-06-24Framework validates CSMC resampling under weak assumptions
Axel Finke +3 · “Resampling in conditional SMC algorithms”
2606.25603 -
stat.ML arXiv submitted 2026-06-24Hyperparameter selection gets finite-sample reliability guarantees
Amirmohammad Farzaneh +1 · “Statistically Valid Hyperparameter Selection: From Tuning to Guarantees”
2606.25601 -
stat.CO arXiv submitted 2026-06-24Exact Ensemble Kalman Filter consistent with optimal filter at 1/√N rate
Sylvain Rubenthaler (LJAD) · “An example of Ensemble Kalman Filter with resampling”
2606.25539 -
math.PR arXiv submitted 2026-06-24Boosting deviations converge to Gaussian process in RKHS
Cl\'ement Dombry (LMB) +1 · “A functional central limit theorem for kernel gradient flow and infinitesimal gradient boosting”
2606.25494 -
math.ST arXiv submitted 2026-06-24Closed forms derived for unrestricted generalized variational inference
Hien Duy Nguyen +1 · “Closed-form solutions to some generalized variational inference problems”
2606.25492 -
stat.AP arXiv submitted 2026-06-24Covariate spectral clustering recovers communities in heterogeneous networks
Chirayata Kusari +2 · “Understanding Geopolitical Alignments Through Covariate Augmented Spectral Clustering of Heterogeneous UNGA Voting Data”
2606.25490 -
cs.CY arXiv submitted 2026-06-24Causal templates from 29 cities guide e-scooter hub placement
Meng Jin +4 · “From Causal Discovery to Implementation: An Agentic AI Framework for E-Scooter Mobility Hub Planning Across 29 German Cities”
2606.25484 -
cs.LG arXiv submitted 2026-06-24GPU optimizer recovers every mode on 42 functions to dimension 64
Ira Wolfson · “\chisao{}: A GPU-Native Parallel Optimizer for Multimodal Black-Box Functions via Convergence-Anticonvergence Oscillation”
2606.26164 -
math.PR arXiv submitted 2026-06-24Adaptive bound for Lévy concentration of chi-square sums
Abhimanyu Choudhary +1 · “On the L{\'e}vy concentration function of Gaussian quadratic forms with applications to second order U-statistics”
2606.25441 -
math.ST arXiv submitted 2026-06-24Filters converge to mean-field limit at Monte Carlo rate
Frederic J. N. Jorgensen +3 · “Quantitative Wasserstein Propagation of Chaos for Transport Ensemble Filters”
2606.25346 -
stat.AP arXiv submitted 2026-06-24Rate AI market forecasts on confidence
Rishab Ghosh +1 · “FinBench: Time-Gated Calibration and Uncertainty Benchmarking for Agentic Financial Forecasting”
2607.16229 -
stat.ML arXiv submitted 2026-06-24Task-oriented randomization stabilizes black-box outputs
Yali Wang +1 · “Stabilizing black-box algorithms through task-oriented randomization”
2606.25269 -
stat.AP arXiv submitted 2026-06-24Joint factorization ties text topics to ratings
Cixiao Jiang +2 · “Learning Interpretable Text Signals for Structured Responses”
2606.25268 -
cs.LG arXiv submitted 2026-06-23Pretrained encoders cut training samples for data acquisition policies
Daolang Huang +5 · “Efficient Adaptive Data Acquisition via Pretrained Belief Representations”
2606.25197 -
stat.ML arXiv submitted 2026-06-23Variance reduction removes |Z| dependence in contextual MDP learning
Corentin Pla +3 · “Minimax PAC Bounds for Learning in Exogenous Contextual MDPs”
2606.25170 -
math.ST arXiv submitted 2026-06-23Laplace-Fisher identity gives optimal matrix gates for score blends
Alois Duston +1 · “Laplace-Fisher Gate Identities for Optimal Matrix-Gated Blended Score Estimation”
2606.25169 -
math.ST arXiv submitted 2026-06-23Optimal matrix gate derived for blended score estimation
Alois Duston +1 · “Laplace-Fisher Gate Identities for Optimal Matrix-Gated Blended Score Estimation”
2606.25169 -
stat.ME arXiv submitted 2026-06-23Estimator recovers optimal stochastic policies for distal outcomes
Jack M. Wolf +2 · “Nonparametric Estimation of Optimal Stochastic Just-In-Time Adaptive Interventions for Distal Outcomes”
2606.25107 -
cs.LG arXiv submitted 2026-06-23Hyperbolic embeddings beat trees and deep nets on tabular data
Tian Li +3 · “Manifold Constrained Tabular Deep Neural Networks”
2607.09710 -
cs.LG arXiv submitted 2026-06-23Optimizer redesigned for returned average cuts quadratic error by arbitrary factor
Kwok Chun Au +1 · “Training for the Model You Return: Improving Optimization for Iterate-Averaged Language Models”
2606.25086 -
cs.LG arXiv submitted 2026-06-23Optimal control for averaged models cuts error by large factors
Kwok Chun Au +1 · “Training for the Model You Return: Improving Optimization for Iterate-Averaged Language Models”
2606.25086 -
stat.ME arXiv submitted 2026-06-23Gamma overdispersion removes one latent variable per area-time pair
Noah Ripstein +2 · “Spatio-Temporal Disaggregation with Changing Areal Boundaries”
2606.25074 -
stat.ME arXiv submitted 2026-06-23Hierarchical posets improve grouped ranking models
Dongqing Li +3 · “Hierarchical Partial-Order Models for Ranking”
2606.25062 -
cs.IT arXiv submitted 2026-06-23Algebraic identity unifies many information theory results
Akshay Balsubramani · “Information from coincidences”
2606.25042 -
stat.ME arXiv submitted 2026-06-23SPRT-z adds futility stopping to A/B tests while controlling errors
Derek L. Ho +1 · “Sequential Probability Ratio Test using Z-Statistics (SPRT-z): A Practical Approach for Online Experimentation”
2606.24871 -
econ.EM arXiv submitted 2026-06-23New model finds varied peer effects on U.S
Duong Trinh +1 · “Heterogeneous Peer Effects with Endogenous Network Formation”
2606.24850 -
cs.AI arXiv submitted 2026-06-23Grading cascade hits 100% precision on agent outputs
Tian Zheng +1 · “Grading the Grader: Lessons from Evaluating an Agentic Data Analysis System”
2606.24839 -
math.ST arXiv submitted 2026-06-23Riemannian AR model gains strong consistency via new SLLN
Meshal Abuqrais +1 · “Autoregressive Processes on Riemannian Manifolds”
2606.24771 -
math.ST arXiv submitted 2026-06-23For bounded bets, worst-case growth is an entropy minimum
Ashwin Ram +3 · “Strong duality for the GROW criterion”
2606.24768 -
math.ST arXiv submitted 2026-06-23GROW value equals relative entropy of projection pair
Ashwin Ram +3 · “Strong duality for the GROW criterion”
2606.24768 -
math.ST arXiv submitted 2026-06-23Sharper bounds for data-dependent covariance eigenvalues
Huikang Liu +2 · “A Concentration Inequality for the Covariance Matrix of an Arbitrary Subset of Random Vectors”
2606.24766 -
stat.ME arXiv submitted 2026-06-23Polya tree prior yields near-oracle covariance estimators
Daniel Xiang +3 · “Hierarchical Bayesian Estimation of Covariance Matrices”
2606.24751 -
stat.AP arXiv submitted 2026-06-23Model shows Cenozoic proxy correlations reverse with climate shift
Mikkel Bennedsen +4 · “Continuous-time state space analysis of d18O, d13C, and CO2 in the Cenozoic Era”
2606.24729 -
stat.ML arXiv submitted 2026-06-23Mean scaled score resists skewness bias in time series model choice
Giorgio Corani +3 · “Model selection with proper scoring rules on data sets of time series: prefer the mean scaled score”
2606.24715 -
stat.CO arXiv submitted 2026-06-23Sampler changes speed estimation of nonlinear state-space models
Jan I. Failenschmid +3 · “Learning Nonlinear Dynamics: Improving the Estimation Efficiency and Reliability of Gaussian Process State-Space Models”
2606.24691 -
stat.ME arXiv submitted 2026-06-23Latent classes sharpen landmarking for time-to-event forecasts
V\'ictor Velasco-Pardo +3 · “Landmarking with Latent Class Mixed Models for Dynamic Prediction of Time-to-event Data with Heterogeneous Biomarker Trajectories”
2606.24678