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INDEX

Every paper Pith has read and judged, in one searchable index.

11,909 reviewed papers in stat · newest first · page 29

Pith rank means recent reader upvotes with each upvote's ranking weight halved after 24 hours. The archive itself is sorted by arXiv submission date.

  1. stat.ME arXiv submitted 2026-07-02
    Bayesian and quasi-Bayesian estimates merge for Poisson decisions

    Stefano Favaro +1 · “Merging of Bayes and quasi-Bayes empirical Bayes procedures for Poisson compound decisions”

    2607.02340
  2. stat.ME arXiv submitted 2026-07-02
    Fast recursive Poisson estimator merges with full Bayes

    Stefano Favaro +1 · “Merging of Bayes and quasi-Bayes empirical Bayes procedures for Poisson compound decisions”

    2607.02340
  3. stat.ME arXiv submitted 2026-07-02
    CAP matches empirical risk at first order and removes second-order bias

    Yijian Huang · “Cross-Audit Projection for Model Risk Prediction”

    2607.02328
  4. stat.AP arXiv submitted 2026-07-02
    iDiD estimator lets time-constant direct effects count as valid instruments

    Tran Trong Khoi Le +2 · “Instrumented difference-in-differences under case-control sampling”

    2607.02327
  5. stat.AP arXiv submitted 2026-07-02
    EVPI extensions show global validation of ADNEX model is complete

    Laure Wynants +7 · “Value-of-Information Analysis for External Validation of Risk Prediction Models in Multicenter Studies and Systematic Reviews”

    2607.02321
  6. stat.ME arXiv submitted 2026-07-02
    Multipliers create nondegenerate tests for Fréchet regression

    Leheng Cai +2 · “MATCH: Multiplier-Assisted Tests for Conditional Hypotheses in Non-Euclidean Data”

    2607.02295
  7. stat.ME arXiv submitted 2026-07-02
    Multipliers fix degenerate tests for metric-space regression

    Leheng Cai +2 · “MATCH: Multiplier-Assisted Tests for Conditional Hypotheses in Non-Euclidean Data”

    2607.02295
  8. stat.ME arXiv submitted 2026-07-02
    Joint distributions of sample statistics power new GOF tests

    Roman Guchenko · “Goodness of Fit Tests Based on Joint Densities of Multiple Sample Statistics”

    2607.02285
  9. math.ST arXiv submitted 2026-07-02
    AEW achieves T log(M)/(n+1) excess risk in expectation

    Mikael M{\o}ller H{\o}gsgaard +2 · “Aggregation with Exponential Weights is Optimal in Expectation”

    2607.02247
  10. stat.ML arXiv submitted 2026-07-02
    Additive MLP-GNN separates chemical and structural solubility drivers

    Sampreeti Bhattacharya +1 · “An Additive MLP-GNN Framework for Characterizing Chemical and Structural Contributions to Aqueous Solubility”

    2607.02212
  11. stat.ML arXiv submitted 2026-07-02
    Separate chemistry from structure

    Sampreeti Bhattacharya +1 · “An Additive MLP-GNN Framework for Characterizing Chemical and Structural Contributions to Aqueous Solubility”

    2607.02212
  12. stat.ML arXiv submitted 2026-07-02
    Policy-coupled coverage optimizes counterfactual prediction sets

    Yurui Zheng +1 · “Prediction Sets for Counterfactual Decisions: Coverage, Optimality, and Conformal Prediction”

    2607.02206
  13. stat.ME arXiv submitted 2026-07-02
    Weighted tilt restores coverage for censored label shift

    Seungjin Choi · “Conformal Bayes for Two-Sided Censored Gaussian Regression under Label Shift”

    2607.02173
  14. math.ST arXiv submitted 2026-07-02
    Weaker matrix condition extends simplex volume theorems to AR(1) models

    Shan Xizheng +1 · “A note on "The volume of random simplices from elliptical distributions in high dimension"”

    2607.02169
  15. stat.AP arXiv submitted 2026-07-02
    Quaternion wavelets classify breast histology into four classes

    Sara Antonijevic +1 · “Quaternion Nondecimated Wavelet Descriptors for Multiclass Breast Histology Classification”

    2607.02133
  16. cs.LG arXiv submitted 2026-07-02
    Conformal prediction flags 15 percent of samples but detects zero traction incidents

    Varshith Roy Kotla · “Predictive Conformal Slip Monitoring: An Empirical Evaluation of Rolling Split Conformal Prediction for Pre-Incident Traction Loss Detection”

    2607.02124
  17. stat.ME arXiv submitted 2026-07-02
    Expert portfolio detects PDE model errors missed by residuals

    Ieva Kazlauskaite · “Sequential Structure-Sensitive Residual Diagnostics for PDE Inverse Problems”

    2607.02101
  18. econ.EM arXiv submitted 2026-07-02
    GIV consistent at √T only when few units dominate aggregate

    Gokul Gopalan Ramachandran · “Granular Instrumental Variables in Large Panels: Identification and Inference Across Strong, Nearly Weak, and Weak GIV”

    2607.02095
  19. cs.CY arXiv submitted 2026-07-02
    Simulated lending: fairness tied to wealth beats profit-only policies

    Vedant Palit +3 · “Simulating Eutopia: Revisiting Long-term Fairness with Outcomes, Performativity, and Dynamics”

    2607.19389
  20. stat.ME arXiv submitted 2026-07-02
    Orthogonal arrays and difference schemes create larger grouped arrays

    Meixin Liu +3 · “Grouped Orthogonal Arrays from Orthogonal Arrays and Difference Schemes”

    2607.02027
  21. math.PR arXiv submitted 2026-07-02
    Geometric graphs indistinguishable from random above (nh(p))^3 dims

    Hang Du +4 · “Resolution of the Detection Threshold Conjecture for Random Geometric Graphs in the $d>n$ Regime”

    2607.02013
  22. stat.ML arXiv submitted 2026-07-02
    Shallow network optimum recovered by one linear solve

    Matej Benko +3 · “Born Discrete, Made Smooth: Variational Formulation of Shallow Neural Networks”

    2607.02003
  23. stat.AP arXiv submitted 2026-07-02
    Probit BKMR fits in bkmr rarely converge

    Akifumi Eguchi +3 · “Convergence fragility in probit Bayesian kernel machine regression implemented in the bkmr R package for binary-outcome environmental mixture analyses: a simulation study”

    2607.02000
  24. stat.ME arXiv submitted 2026-07-02
    Plausibility enables exact inference in general parametric families

    Stefan B\"ohringer +1 · “Plausibility: Exact inference in R”

    2607.01976
  25. stat.ME arXiv submitted 2026-07-02
    Moment method selects random effects consistently in mixed models

    Yifan Chen +2 · “Moment-Based Selection of Multiresponse Linear Mixed-Effects Models”

    2607.01971
  26. stat.AP arXiv submitted 2026-07-02
    IRT model extracts rider skill and condition difficulty from binary outcomes

    Fabio Carucci · “Inverse Suitability: Identifying Condition Difficulty and Rider Skill from Behavioural Outcomes via Continuous-Item Response Theory”

    2607.01961
  27. stat.ML arXiv submitted 2026-07-02
    Autorelevance function recovers lag structure in time series forecasts

    Julian Cardenas +2 · “Autorelevance function and other feature relevance measures for univariate time series”

    2607.01959
  28. stat.ML arXiv submitted 2026-07-02
    K-means centers from MCAR data converge at √n rate

    Xin Guan · “Statistical Properties of $k$-means Clustering for Data Missing Completely at Random”

    2607.01945
  29. math.ST arXiv submitted 2026-07-02
    Perturbation theory transfers sup-norm rates to functional principal components

    Hajo Holzmann +1 · “Transferring supremum-norm rates and weak convergence of covariance kernel estimators to functional principal components”

    2607.01931
  30. stat.ME arXiv submitted 2026-07-02
    Closed-form wrapped Gaussians beat Laplace without geodesic solvers

    Marcelo Hartmann +7 · “Beyond Laplace: Closed-form wrapped Gaussian posterior approximations on statistical manifolds”

    2607.01909
  31. stat.ME arXiv submitted 2026-07-02
    Closed-form wrapped Gaussians replace Laplace for posterior approximation

    Marcelo Hartmann +7 · “Beyond Laplace: Closed-form wrapped Gaussian posterior approximations on statistical manifolds”

    2607.01909
  32. cs.LG arXiv submitted 2026-07-02
    Variational estimator beats spectral for density ratios with abundant data

    Francis Bach (SIERRA) · “Regularized Variational and Spectral Log-Density-Ratio Estimation in the Gaussian Location Model”

    2607.01895
  33. stat.ME arXiv submitted 2026-07-02
    Calibration lets multimodal predictors borrow across missingness patterns

    Junhan Yu +3 · “Pattern-Calibrated Multimodal Prediction under Blockwise Missingness”

    2607.01821
  34. cs.LG arXiv submitted 2026-07-02
    Role projections lift directional accuracy on semantic benchmarks

    He Huang +3 · “Role-Aware Neural Convex Divergence Heads for Asymmetric Representation Learning”

    2607.01762
  35. q-bio.QM arXiv submitted 2026-07-02
    Point source restores identifiability of spatial dynamics from snapshots

    Rujie Gu +2 · “Identifiability Limits of Physics-Informed Inference for Spatial Stochastic Dynamics from Static Snapshots”

    2607.01749
  36. stat.ML arXiv submitted 2026-07-02
    No likelihood? This algorithm still does full Bayesian RL

    Stefano Masini +2 · “Full Bayesian Reinforcement Learning via LF-IBIS”

    2607.01741
  37. stat.ML arXiv submitted 2026-07-02
    Method brings full Bayesian inference to RL without likelihoods

    Stefano Masini +2 · “Full Bayesian Reinforcement Learning via LF-IBIS”

    2607.01741
  38. stat.AP arXiv submitted 2026-07-02
    Glicko-2 extended with margin and draw models for football

    Bich Van Nguyen +1 · “An Adaptive Glicko-2 Rating Framework for Probabilistic Football Forecasting and Season Simulation”

    2607.01722
  39. stat.AP arXiv submitted 2026-07-02
    Adaptive Glicko-2 turns football data into season forecasts

    Bich Van Nguyen +1 · “An Adaptive Glicko-2 Rating Framework for Probabilistic Football Forecasting and Season Simulation”

    2607.01722
  40. stat.ME arXiv submitted 2026-07-02
    Transportability estimates effect changes from modifier prevalence shifts

    Michael Cheung +5 · “From Subgroups to Population Composition: A Transportability Approach to Effect Heterogeneity”

    2607.01717
  41. stat.ME arXiv submitted 2026-07-02
    Lancaster copulas arise from orthogonal expansions of Lancaster probabilities

    Angelo Efoevi Koudou +2 · “Lancaster copulas”

    2607.01558
  42. stat.ME arXiv submitted 2026-07-02
    Spike-and-slab prior recovers multimorbidity clusters in EHR data

    Oyebayo R. Olaniran +4 · “Continuous-Time Bayesian Networks with Structured Shrinkage Priors for Modelling Multimorbidity Trajectories in Large-Scale Electronic Health Records”

    2607.01549
  43. physics.comp-ph arXiv submitted 2026-07-01
    Soliton dynamics recovered from scattering data without equations

    Seth Minor +2 · “Learning Effective Soliton Dynamics from Scattering Data”

    2607.01545
  44. stat.AP arXiv submitted 2026-07-01
    Kernel norm spots PV faults at 99% accuracy without labels

    Victoria Jorry +4 · “An unsupervised kernel norm monitoring for fault detection in a time series photovoltaic system”

    2607.01541
  45. cs.AI arXiv submitted 2026-07-01
    AI agents reproduce 72% of human ideological gaps in data analysis

    Jiacheng Miao +2 · “The Agentic Garden of Forking Paths”

    2607.01507
  46. cs.LG arXiv submitted 2026-07-01
    Unveiling the Non-Monotonic Effect of Privacy on Generalization under Byzantine Robustness

    Thomas Boudou +3

    2607.01492
  47. cs.LG arXiv submitted 2026-07-01
    Three-term law recovers optimal batch size from suboptimal runs

    Fabian Schaipp · “How to Allocate Your Tokens? Scaling Laws with Training Steps and Batch Size”

    2607.01487
  48. stat.AP arXiv submitted 2026-07-01
    Parameter uncertainty reduces epidemic sensitivity and yields conservative policies

    Nicholas R. Wu +1 · “Sensitivity Analysis and Optimization of Stochastic Epidemic Models under Parameter Uncertainty”

    2607.01476
  49. stat.AP arXiv submitted 2026-07-01
    20-50 sampled points per region lift spatial scan power

    Foad Namjoo +3 · “Sampling for Region-Aggregated Spatial Scan Statistics”

    2607.01451
  50. cs.LG arXiv submitted 2026-07-01
    Conditional forests rank 3rd-4th as feature selectors

    Robert Milletich +3 · “Conditional Inference Trees and Forests for Feature Selection”

    2607.01417