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792 papers in stat.AP · page 11

  1. stat.AP 2025-11-28 reviewed
    Screening method cuts extreme wave load prediction to 1-3% of usual effort

    Design loads for wave impacts -- introducing the Probabilistic Adaptive Screening (PAS) method for predicting extreme non-linear loads on maritime structures

    Sanne M. van Essen +1

  2. stat.AP 2025-11-27 reviewed
    Spatial boundaries improve filtering of noisy animal tracks

    Spatial constraints improve filtering of measurement noise from animal tracks

    Alexandre Delporte +2

  3. stat.ME 2025-11-27 reviewed
    Pair-of-pairs design separates always-compliers from switchers

    Design-based nested instrumental variable analysis

    Zhe Chen +3

  4. stat.AP 2025-11-25 reviewed
    Recursive multi-fidelity GPs train faster than non-recursive ones

    Multi-fidelity Gaussian process regression for noisy outputs and non-nested experimental designs: a comparison between the recursive and non-recursive formulations

    Nils Baillie +3

  5. cs.LG 2025-11-20 reviewed
    Post-processing yields skilled wind power forecasts up to 16 days ahead

    Achieving Skilled and Reliable Daily Probabilistic Forecasts of Wind Power at Subseasonal-to-Seasonal Timescales over France

    Eloi Lindas +2

  6. stat.ME 2025-11-18 reviewed
    Covariate adjustment sharpens win odds estimates in trials

    Covariate Adjustment for the Win Odds: Application to Cardiovascular Outcomes Trials

    Cyrill Scheidegger +2

  7. stat.ME 2025-11-18 reviewed
    Marginalized state-space models encompass INGARCH for counts

    State-Space Representation of INGARCH Models and Their Application in Insurance

    Jae Youn Ahn +2

  8. math.ST 2025-11-17 reviewed
    Density estimators on circle and sphere hit optimal rates with direct computation

    Rate-optimal and computationally efficient nonparametric estimation on the circle and the sphere

    Athanasios G. Georgiadis +1

  9. stat.AP 2025-11-10 reviewed
    Algebraic sets constrain parameters for evolutionary accumulation

    An Algebraic Approach to Evolutionary Accumulation Models

    Jessica Renz +2

  10. physics.soc-ph 2025-11-06 reviewed
    Sub-exponential growth fits most word diffusion curves

    Sub-exponential Growth Dynamics in Complex Systems: A Piecewise Power-Law Model for the Diffusion of New Words and Names

    Hayafumi Watanabe

  11. physics.soc-ph 2025-11-06 reviewed
    Sub-exponential growth fits most new word diffusion patterns

    Sub-exponential Growth Dynamics in Complex Systems: A Piecewise Power-Law Model for the Diffusion of New Words and Names

    Hayafumi Watanabe

  12. stat.ME 2025-11-03 reviewed
    Z-Dip standardizes multimodality scores for any sample size

    Z-Dip: a standardized measure for data modality assessment

    Edoardo Di Martino +2

  13. astro-ph.EP 2025-11-01 reviewed
    Diversity metrics flag biotic samples over abiotic ones

    Molecular diversity as a biosignature

    Gideon Yoffe +4

  14. eess.SP 2025-10-28 reviewed
    Heuristics gauge reliability of InSAR phase linking

    Heuristic Quality Coefficients for Interferometric Phase Linking

    Magnus Heimpel +2

  15. stat.AP 2025-10-28 reviewed
    Arctic model forecasts thaw two weeks out at 80 percent accuracy

    Forecasting Arctic Temperatures With Quantile Machine Learning

    Richard Berk

  16. stat.AP 2025-10-27 reviewed
    Multivariate views improve anonymization method selection

    Beyond the Trade-off Curve: Multivariate and Advanced Risk-Utility Maps for Evaluating Anonymized and Synthetic Data

    Oscar Thees +2

  17. stat.AP 2025-10-25 reviewed
    Late fusion wins for multimodal activity recognition

    Multimodal Fusion and Interpretability in Human Activity Recognition: A Reproducible Framework for Sensor-Based Modeling

    Yiyao Yang +1

  18. stat.AP 2025-10-25 reviewed
    EU carbon market shows predictability and concentrated power

    Understanding Carbon Trade Dynamics: A European Union Emissions Trading System Perspective

    Avirup Chakraborty

  19. stat.ME 2025-10-23 reviewed
    P-value adjustments always lose power in dual-outcome cluster trials

    A comparison of methods for designing hybrid type 2 cluster-randomized trials with continuous effectiveness and implementation endpoints

    Melody Owen +3

  20. stat.ML 2025-10-21 reviewed
    Signature kernel scores weather paths better than pointwise errors

    Signature Kernel Scoring Rule: A Spatio-Temporal Diagnostic for Probabilistic Weather Forecasting

    Archer Dodson +1

  21. econ.GN 2025-10-20 reviewed
    Penalty shootouts act like coin tosses in European club football

    Are penalty shootouts better than a coin toss? Evidence from international club football in Europe

    L\'aszl\'o Csat\'o +1

  22. stat.AP 2025-10-17 reviewed
    Estimands clarify intercurrent event strategies in meta-analyses

    Incorporating estimands into meta-analyses of clinical trials

    Antonio Remiro-Az\'ocar +11

  23. stat.ML 2025-10-16 reviewed
    Regression on local PCA improves manifold dimension estimates

    Manifold Dimension Estimation via Local Graph Structure

    Zelong Bi +1

  24. physics.soc-ph 2025-10-15 reviewed
    Formulas give exact citation counts per community

    The Price-Pareto growth model of networks with community structure

    {\L}ukasz Brzozowski +3

  25. stat.AP 2025-10-13 reviewed
    Technical delays and renewables cannibalisation dominate transition uncertainty

    Policy Robustness & Uncertainty in Model-based Decision Support for the Energy Transition

    Ian J. Burton +2

  26. stat.ME 2025-10-10 reviewed
    Bixplot shows bimodal patterns that boxplots miss

    The bixplot: A variation on the boxplot suited for bimodal data

    Camille M. Montalcini +1

  27. stat.AP 2025-10-10 reviewed
    Emulator ensembles quantify 10,000-year precipitation extremes

    Quantifying Very Extreme Precipitation and Temperature Using Huge Ensembles Generated by Machine Learning-based Climate Model Emulators

    Christopher J. Paciorek +1

  28. physics.ao-ph 2025-10-05 reviewed
    Diffusion emulator matches ESM outputs within internal variability

    Score-based generative emulation of impact-relevant Earth system model outputs

    Shahine Bouabid +2

  29. stat.AP 2025-10-02 reviewed
    Causal predictors raise short-term hurricane intensity skill

    Multidata Causal Discovery for Statistical Hurricane Intensity Forecasting

    Saranya Ganesh S +7

  30. physics.ao-ph 2025-09-30 reviewed
    EnScale downscales climate models at one-tenth the usual cost

    EnScale: Temporally-consistent multivariate generative downscaling via proper scoring rules

    Maybritt Schillinger +4

  31. stat.ME 2025-09-30 reviewed
    Spatially varying buffers improve estimates of healthcare exposure effects

    Modeling Spatial Heterogeneity in Exposure Buffers and Risk: A Hierarchical Bayesian Approach

    Saskia Comess +2

  32. stat.AP 2025-09-29 reviewed
    Single-lane roundabouts seen as safer by middle-aged users

    Assessing Roundabout Safety Perceptions under Heterogeneous Traffic: Socio-Demographic and Geometric Influences in Indian Urban Contexts

    Abhijnan Maji +1

  33. stat.AP 2025-09-28 reviewed
    Penalized lags improve regional mortality forecasts

    A penalized distributed lag non-linear Lee-Carter framework for regional weekly mortality forecasting

    Jens Robben +1

  34. stat.AP 2025-09-24 reviewed
    Residualization gives ML player metrics valid inference

    Rethinking player evaluation in sports: Goals above expectation and beyond

    Robert Bajons +1

  35. stat.AP 2025-09-24 reviewed
    Mandate advanced student shots by 80 days with no net gain

    Pull-Forward and Induced Vaccination Under Time-Limited Mandates: Evidence from a Low-Coercion Mandate

    Fabio I. Martinenghi +8

  36. cs.CY 2025-09-23 reviewed
    Digital twins match humans only modestly and show five clear distortions

    Digital Twins as Funhouse Mirrors: Five Key Distortions

    Tianyi Peng +22

  37. stat.ME 2025-09-22 reviewed
    Estimand quantifies health effects of shifting exposure mixtures

    Everything all at once: On choosing an estimand for multi-component environmental exposures

    Kara E. Rudolph +6

  38. q-bio.NC 2025-09-21 reviewed
    Low-cost EGG pipeline retains all channels and cuts data loss

    A tutorial on electrogastrography using low-cost hardware and open-source software

    Evgeniya Anisimova +3

  39. econ.EM 2025-09-19 reviewed
    U.S

    A Korean Macroeconomic Database for Data-Rich Policy Analysis and U.S.--Korea Dependence

    Changryong Baek +2

  40. stat.ME 2025-09-18 reviewed
    Tree kernel clusters DNase-seq profiles to reveal TF binding sites

    A tree-based kernel for densities and its applications in clustering DNase-seq profiles

    Yuliang Xu +2

  41. stat.AP 2025-09-18 reviewed
    Bayesian model estimates effects within compliance types in cluster trials

    A Bayesian Framework for Latent Compliance Modeling in Cluster Randomized Trials with One-Sided Noncompliance

    Anthony Sisti +2

  42. stat.AP 2025-09-12 reviewed
    Adaptive focus halves runtime for biobank-scale pQTL mapping

    Adaptive Bayesian computation for efficient biobank-scale genomic inference

    Yiran Li +3

  43. stat.AP 2025-09-11 reviewed
    Path signatures spot ad creative fatigue in performance paths

    A Path Signature Framework for Detecting Creative Fatigue in Digital Advertising

    Charles Shaw

  44. econ.EM 2025-09-08 reviewed
    NARFIMA hybrid beats benchmarks in BRIC exchange rate forecasts

    Neural ARFIMA model for forecasting BRIC exchange rates with long memory

    Tanujit Chakraborty +3

  45. stat.AP 2025-09-07 reviewed
    DPD-Lasso delivers stable hazard analysis despite data outliers

    Robust Analysis for Resilient AI System

    Yu Wang +2

  46. econ.GN 2025-09-07 reviewed
    Amazon satellite monitors cut homicides by 15 percent

    DETERring more than Deforestation: Environmental Enforcement Reduces Violence in the Amazon

    Rafael Araujo +2

  47. stat.ME 2025-09-05 reviewed
    Multidimensional MNLFA extends moderation to all parameters for 3+ factors

    Multidimensional constructs and moderated linear and nonlinear factor analysis

    R. Noah Padgett

  48. stat.AP 2025-09-04 reviewed
    Interactive plots flag artificial clusters from dimension reduction

    DRtool: An Interactive Tool for Analyzing High-Dimensional Clusterings

    Justin Lin +1

  49. stat.AP 2025-09-03 reviewed
    Minimal autoencoder captures Alzheimer's patterns in MRI latent space

    Latent space projections and atlases: A cautionary tale in deep neuroimaging using autoencoders

    J.M. Gorriz +7

  50. cs.LG 2025-09-02 reviewed
    Stacking beats voting for obesity risk prediction

    Ensemble Learning for Healthcare: A Comparative Analysis of Hybrid Voting and Ensemble Stacking in Obesity Risk Prediction

    Towhidul Islam +1